NFL WEEK 13 + WORLD CUP KNOCKOUT round + NYS HS FOOTBALL CLASS AA CHAMPIONSHIP + CFB Conference championships

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Pretty much a regular
What's up Family ??

Fantastic weekend kicks off today at 10 am as under dog USA plays Netherlands ...( Waiting for lineups to be confirmed before Simulating the match 25 times ....

College football conference championships= I've all but abandoned my favorite conference the MAC during my first losing season there since 2015 ...Will have some plays today though.....


NFL heating up with some marquee matchups tomorrow...As a BILLS fans I'll be rooting for the 49ers and Bengals , but that might not be where my money goes ...

The most anticipated event of the weekend in our house is my old Hs BENNETT takes on Newburgh in the class AA CHAMPIONSHIP on Sunday in the "Carrier dome " ....Never thought I'd see the day where we were the chalk dressing only 30-35 players including 6 or 7 who never/rarely come off the field...Just 6 years ago Buffalo public schools could only play each other , and the BENNETT team almost folded due to budget cuts... Now they can win the whole dang thing in the largest class (AA) in the state ...


NFL 59-50-2 +$754 season to date ...


NY STATE HS football
+$33,180. Almost 32k of this is solely on Bennett's success ...They lose a ton of talent to graduation , this Sunday will probably be my last chance to take advantage of this miracle 2 year opportunity...





Anyways Enough RAMBLING
Let's get to GAMBLING










BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS, BLESSINGS, AND LUCK TO ALL!!!!!
 
MAC CHAMPIONSHIP

What a disappointing betting season ..Glad I stepped away when I did as it would have only gotten worse lol .....

-$3680 overall believe it's my first Mac Losing season since 2015 ...Along the way there have been some very nice futures cashes including Ball St for over 11k ....

Anyways it's a war of attrition for both these squads QB as the MAPLE MISSLE ROURKE is done and Finn has broken down.....

I can't see many reasons to bet either side but the total looks nice at the current 54.5....Ohio's D is Swiss cheese and don't think the Rockets can slow down the Bobcats Athletic QB ...


Would not even bet this game if the HS profits weren't there...



OVER 54.5.
2 UNITS ( $400)





Also betting on TCU team total over 30.5 for 2 units in the BIG12 championship
 
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WORLD CUP

FIFA 23 suggested wager

USA to ADAVANCE +180
1 unit $200/360

Simulation result
USA advanced 10 times of 25 ( 2 in extra time , 2 in PK)
10 TIMES = -150 ...I'll jump on +180 ....

Netherlands Advanced 15 times ( 3 in PK )
 
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WORLD CUP

FIFA 23 suggested wager

USA to ADAVANCE +180
1 unit $200/360

Simulation result
USA advanced 10 times of 25 ( 2 in extra time , 2 in PK)
10 TIMES = -150 ...I'll jump on +180 ....

Netherlands Advanced 15 times ( 3 in PK )
USA had plenty of chances, just couldn't put the biscuits in the basket more than once ...
Some bad markings on a few defensive lapses.

The game predicted Netherlands to advance but I went with the odds value in the US ...
 
ARGENTINA vs AUSTRALIA

25 FIFA 23 PS4 SIMULATIONS =
ARGENTINA Advanced 23 of 25( -1150) ..Current odds are -1000 for Argentinia to advance ( Not laying that kind of juice) ...Argentina is clearly the FIFA 23 choice though ( 1-0)

14 of 25 Sims went over 2.5 goals ( -127 ) with the current price -120 I don't see any value there....





Personal thoughts: just looking for some small action without much risk in this spot ...





The wager ( small under 1 unit /$200)

Multi exact score +325
$31
3-0/3-1/0-3/1-3
 
Switching gears to my Favorite NFL player prop tomorrow...

GUS EDWARDS OVER 55.5 RUSH Y
3 UNITS ($600)
For what it's worth my projections have 58-107 yards and 0.87 TD.
 
Where you betting on hs football?
Growing niche market here in NYS ...Locals scrambling to stay in business with all the legal books taking their clients away .....3 locals ( probably more) specialize in HS and NY state college action here in WNY ...
From what I understand there are at least 6 locals doing the same down the road in Rochester ....One of my locals also referred to a book in PA that is taking HS action coast to coast...
 
Need the action

Buying some points In a parlay

PURDUE +21.5 and OVER 44 -102
1 UNIT

Just something to put on in the back ground during our family Foosball tournament
 
Need the action

Buying some points In a parlay

PURDUE +21.5 and OVER 44 -102
1 UNIT

Just something to put on in the back ground during our family Foosball tournament
For the second time in 3 days I'm lucky buying points ...

Still -$680 on CFB yesterday...
Tcu getting stuffed in OT was a $840 swing .
 
Not much of time this morning as we're leaving for the State championship down the 90 in Syracuse .



MADDEN 23 SIMULATIONS SUGGESTED WAGERS
( 41-28-2)

BEARS +4.5
LIONS -0.5
CHIEFS -2
CHARGERS +2.5



My personal POINT SPREAD RATINGS suggested wagers (22-16-2)

RAVENS -9.5
CHIEFS -2
 
Fifa 23 SIMS. ( 2-0 knockout round to advance) ( 0-1 Knockout round Suggested wager )

FRANCE V POLAND

The Sims love France here advancing 23 of 25 -1150 , no way I can lay -1000 ...Also don't think I can stomach -310 either to win ...France -1.25 is a suggested wager at-139 , as the Sims had France winning by 2+ in 16 of 25 .






My personal thoughts...The Polish Keeper has stood on his head for much of the 3 matches so far. .Don't see that happening today....


FRANCE -1.25 -139
1 UNIT ( $278 TO WIN $200)
 
NFL WEEK 131 pm est games INVESTMENTS

EDWARDS OVER 55.5 RUSH Y
3 UNITS

KMET OVER 28.5 REC Y
1.4 U



ML Parlay +113
2 units
RAVENS -400
CHIEFS. -143



Light early slate for me ...Don't see much other than a bunch of ATS coin flips ..As BILLS MAFIA clearly want the Chiefs to lose but this is a huge revenge spot for KC ...
 
World cup

England v Senegal

Many of the Sims were close right down to the final minutes or extra time ....England advanced in 18 of 25 , but 4 of those 18 were in extra time or penalty kicks.......the Sims have no suggested wager but do obviously select Engalnd to advance .




My personal thoughts: I would have taken a flier on Senegal here if Sadio Mane was playing...Would love to see Senegal advance but ill pass on a standard wager ...

Love the action though

Over 2.5 +120. $42

Senegal in penalty kicks +1200 $9
 
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State championship kicks off in 18 minutes ...
Buffalo's Bennett Tigers are only a 1 point favorite as Newburgh is a massive school with almost 4300 students over 2 campuses....


Tempted to HAMMER BENNETT , but $33k in seasons profit is way more than I'll likely ever win again on HS football ....

I'm guessing locals down state have Newburgh as a TD+ chalk as Joe Bettor sees Bennett has 6 losses ( 2 out of state vs power houses and 4 forfeits over a clerical error where a Fr who doesn't play didn't fill out the paper work that he played JV last year
 
Adding

Small wager

Something to listen to in the ride back to Buffalo

PARLAY +300
0.25 units ($50)
POLLARD over 13.5 rec yards
POLLARD TD
COWBOYS ML
 
World cup +241.40 yesterday

World cup to date match betting tournament to date
Suggested FIFA 23 standard wager 4-4-1 -$130

FIFA 23 SIMS knockout round team predicted to advance 4-0


Small wagers -$351.10

-$381.10 overall / -1.9+ u
 
World cup Monday

Croatia v Japan

FIFA Sims predict CROATIA to advance in 15 of the 25 Sims...Which is not enough to suggest a standard wager .. Japan advanced 10 times including 2 times in Penalty kicks...



My personal thoughts : good match for some small wagers on Samurai Blue

Japan to advance +155
$50/77.50

Japan to win on penalties +900
$12/$108
 
BENNETT WINS the state Championship 42-8

+$34,180 HS FOOTBALL on the season all thanks to the marvelous young men , coaches , parents/family, and the teachers...
 

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Adding Monday Night Football

Glad we won't be watching this crap game tonight ...Wouldn't be suprised if the refs help shady Brady win if needed.

Standard 1 unit wager ($200)
PARLAY+143

BUCCANEERS ML
BUCCANEERS OVER 1.5 FG


Succop has kicked 2+ fgs in 7 of the Buccs 11 games.
 
Woodbine Mohawk late pick 5 ( my favorite track and bet in the Galaxy lol )

30 cents
Race 6. 4,5,3
Race 7. 6,1,4,7,2
Race 8. 5,6,4,7
Race 9. 6,,1,5
Race 10. 3.
Cost $54


Will add another one shortly
 
Adding Monday Night Football

Glad we won't be watching this crap game tonight ...Wouldn't be suprised if the refs help shady Brady win if needed.

Standard 1 unit wager ($200)
PARLAY+143

BUCCANEERS ML
BUCCANEERS OVER 1.5 FG


Succop has kicked 2+ fgs in 7 of the Buccs 11 games.
That's a nice little parlay.

Good looking play, let's cash it!
 
Woodbine Mohawk late pick 5

20 cent
4,5
6,1,4,7,2
5,6
6,1
8,7,9
Cost 24

If this one hits I'm guessing it would pay $250+ ?
 
Adding some more to it


Standard 1.5 unit wager ($300)
PARLAY+143

BUCCANEERS ML
BUCCANEERS OVER 1.5 FG


Succop has kicked 2+ fgs in 7 of the Buccs 11 games
 
Woodbine Mohawk late pick 5

30 cents
Race 6. 4,5,3
Race 7. 6,1x,4,7,2,5 Sub the 5 with the 1 scratched
Race 8. 5,6,4,7
Race 9. 6,1,5
Race 10. 3.
Cost $54



20 cent
4,5
6,1x,4,7,2,5. Sub the 5
5,6
6,1
8,7,9
Cost 24






Adding

Can't believe they're betting the #6 in Race 6 ...Guess I better wheel him just in case


30 cent
6
2,4,6,7,5 1 got scratched using the 5
4,5,6,7
1,5,6
3
Cost $18


20 cent
6
2,4,6,7. #1 got scratched, not using the 5 like above though
5,6
1,6
7,8,9
Cost 9.60
 
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Woodbine Mohawk late pick 5

30 cents
Race 6. 4,5,3
Race 7. 6,1x,4,7,2,5 Sub the 5 with the 1 scratched
Race 8. 5,6,4,7
Race 9. 6,1,5
Race 10. 3.
Cost $54



20 cent
4,5
6,1x,4,7,2,5. Sub the 5
5,6
6,1
8,7,9
Cost 24






Adding

Can't believe they're betting the #6 in Race 6 ...Guess I better wheel him just in case


30 cent
6
2,4,6,7,5 1 got scratched using the 5
4,5,6,7
1,5,6
3
Cost $18


20 cent
6
2,4,6,7. #1 got scratched, not using the 5 like above though
5,6
1,6
7,8,9
Cost 9.60
Winner but lost money

3/6/6/5/3 paid $86.13 for 30 cents ..
Spent $105.60

Lost $19.47
 
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