NFL Week 11 Pick'em Pool Trends

Colin Wynner

Pretty much a regular
Every week 10 game listed below with total picks for each team and my category, Categories - >=70% or more of the picks on the favorite = Lop-Sided; 52%-69.9% on Favorite = Favorite Majority; 50.1%-51.9% Even Action; >=50% on Dog = Public Dog

Week 11 numbers:

Entries: 1165 (Total of 6990 picks, which includes CFB picks)
NFL Picks: 2766 (39.6%)
NFL Record so far: 0-1; 74-94 441%

Last week:
Overall consensus majority plays: 7-6-1 / 73-69-8 (full season)
Overall Pool Winning Percentage: 45.4% / 47.9%

Pool lines freeze at 10AM on Thursday's; picks due a 6AM MST.


Game/Spread
Fav_Picks
Dog_Picks
FAV_Pct
DOG_Pct
Total Picks
NFL Rank
NOTE
Broncos -2.5 over Vikings181108
62.6%​
37.4%​
2891Favorite Majority
Cowboys -10.5 over Panthers25330
89.4%​
10.6%​
2832Lop-Sided Favorite
Chiefs -2.5 over Eagles163117
58.2%​
41.8%​
2803Favorite Majority
Lions -7.5 over Bears21829
88.3%​
11.7%​
2474Lop-Sided Favorite
Steelers +1 over Browns102131
43.8%​
56.2%​
2335Public Dog
Texans -5 over Cardinals13784
62.0%​
38.0%​
2216Favorite Majority
Seahawks -1 over Rams10186
54.0%​
46.0%​
1877Favorite Majority
Dolphins -13.5 over Raiders13944
76.0%​
24.0%​
1838Lop-Sided Favorite
Bengals +3.5 over Ravens7494
44.0%​
56.0%​
1689Public Dog
Chargers -3 over Packers14325
85.1%​
14.9%​
16810Lop-Sided Favorite
49ers -11.5 over Bucs12638
76.8%​
23.2%​
16411Lop-Sided Favorite
Bills -7 over Jets10340
72.0%​
28.0%​
14312Lop-Sided Favorite
Jaguars -7 over Titans7832
70.9%​
29.1%​
11013Lop-Sided Favorite
Commanders -9 over Giants6030
66.7%​
33.3%​
9014Favorite Majority

Big surprise is the number of picks and percentages on the Chargers, I guess that is more Packers hate than Chargers love. But I guess people have a hard time quitting the Chargers.

I am interested to see how the Texans handle being the favorites - and line is climbing. It wouldn't shock me to see the Cardinals pull off an upset there.

Bills laying a touchdown to anyone seems like a good place to take the points, even if it is the Jets. But while I don't necessarily think Dorsey was the problem, I expect a pretty focused effort here by the Bills - in what is essentially an elimination game.

This is not a great watching or betting card, A good day to get some house projects done before the football/food induced coma of next weekend.

My pool picks:

Browns -1
Vikings +2.5
Chiefs -2.5

Good luck!
 
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