NFL thread

[SF_capper]

Not very good at NFL, so pickin my spots and playin them small. Just posting to try to keep a record organized etc

Like this one quite a bit. Philly has big revenge on NYG from last yrs humiliating display and how the giants just ate McNabb. Like Philly's D to force Manning into a couple turnovers and to limit Jacobs, and like the Philly crowd to be the difference in what should be a very exciting game

Philadelphia -3- 1.05 units to win 1

 

[SF_capper]

ok bad start. 0-1 -1.05

Niners +10 (-113ish)-1.0622 units to win .9378
Niners ML +412- .3906 to win 1.6094

look for arizona's corner to be limited. Fitz and Bolden match up vs harris and clements. Players should fight hard for singletary. Hill is a winner and looked real good both last yr and vs seattle. The game comes to whether the niners can put any kind of pressure on Warner. If they can, then the Niner O will be able to put up pts and the DBs will be able to hold the the stud WRs for a couple secs. I think Singletary brings out the tricks on D as his decisions now will show directly on him. 2 weeks to prepare for a divison opponent with revenge and imo the Niners can win this. Special teams go to Niners as well

 

[SF_capper]

1-2
-.5028 units

New England -3- 1.0244 units to win .9756
line is an overadjustment. Week 2 after the Brady injury, NE went into NYJ -1 and covered easily in a spread that many were calling an overadjustment saying NE should have been -3ish but because of overreaction the line was pushed to NE -1. Now at home NE -3? What has changed since week 2? a couple NE injuries- harrison/thomas. Although significant, how much does injuries seem to hurt NE? they continually brush off injuries and continue winning. It seems when one goes down, Belicick gets the next man in line ready to go and play like a pro bowler. Cassel has vastly improved since week 2 after having more comfort and experience. The offense is strategically killing the TOP. Think NE wins this one handily and think there's value in the -3

 

[SF_capper]

2nd H New England -3.5- .9625 units to win 1.0375

momentum, outyarding/1st downing. just messed up 4th down and blown kick return is the diff. get ball to start 2nd H

 

[SF_capper]

BM 'live betting"

New England +8.5- 1.0698 units to win .9302

 

[SF_capper]

got into the plus money after 2nd H and in game betting

Atlanta -6- 1.0476 units to win .9524
Tennessee -2.5- 1.0244 units to win .9756
Houston +8- 1.0476 units to win .9524
Tampa Bay -4- 1.0338 to win .9662
Seattle ML- .8439 units to win 1.1561

 

[SF_capper]

2nd H Dallas -3- 1.15 to win 1

 

[SF_capper]

Buffalo -4- 1.15 units to win 1

wouldn't trust a practically rookie QB on the road in a hostile environment on MNF. revenge game in multiple ways for Bills. Special teams is for bills. Must win for Buffalo

 

[SF_capper]

2nd H Bills -4- 1.15 to win 1

 

[SF_capper]

7-5
+2.4432

 

[SF_capper]

houston +3
Buffalo -3
New England pk
Minnesota +120
Tennessee -5.5
Detroit +9
Niner +9.5
Atlanta -1
Giants -3

 

[Inspekdah]

gl man

 

[SF_capper]

SD -3 -115

 

[SF_capper]

2nd H GB pk -115

dont think NO can hold onto lead w/o a run game

 

[SF_capper]

13-12

Niners +7 -120
Niners ML +245
Tampa Bay -4 -108
Carolina +3 -108
Carolina ML +140
NYG -3.5 -105
Cleveland +4.5 +105
Cleveland ML +210
Pittsburgh +1 +104

 

[SF_capper]

Houston -3 -109

 

[Inspekdah]

Pretty good day yesterday bro.

 

[SF_capper]

thanks Spek

21-14
+8.6

Bengals +14 -120
-Bengals ML +686
Chicago -6.5 -108
Houston +6 +101
-Houston ML +233
Giants -6.5 -106
Atlanta +3 +105
-Atlanta ML +151
Jets -3.5 -108

 

[cinderfella]

As crazy as your picks sound I like em our cards look the same, except NYG GL to us...