NFL Season Win Totals

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Pretty much a regular
South Point posted its Season Win Totals today (4/30) Is it too early to get a discussion going? I'm somewhat surprised that even with the key offseason acquisitions, New England opened at 11. In years past, they were higher. They're giving Tennessee a lot of respect, but maybe that's due to their division? I kinda like Jacksonville's Over at 5.5 and think Detroit could be a sub-.500 team.


New England Patriots 11 over-120


Pittsburgh Steelers 10.5 over-120


Seattle Seahawks 10.5 over/under-110


Atlanta Falcons 10 under-120


Green Bay Packers 10 under-120


Dallas Cowboys 9.5 over-120


Oakland Raiders 9.5 over-120


Tennessee Titans 9.5 under-120


Baltimore Ravens 9.5 under-125


Carolina Panthers 9 over-120


Kansas City Chiefs 9 over-120


New York Giants 9 over-115


Indianapolis Colts 9 under-115


Cincinnati Bengals 8.5 over-120


Denver Broncos 8.5 over-120


Houston Texans 8.5 over-120


Minnesota Vikings 8.5 over/under-110


Philadelphia Eagles 8.5 over/under-110


New Orleans Saints 8.5 under-120


Detroit Lions 8 over/under-110


Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8 over/under-110


Washington Redskins 7.5 over-120


Arizona Cardinals 7.5 over/under-110


Los Angeles Chargers 7.5 over/under-110


Miami Dolphins 7.5 over/under-110


Buffalo Bills 6 over/under-110


Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5 over-120


Los Angeles Rams 5.5 over-120


New York Jets 5.5 over-120


Chicago Bears 5 over/under-110


San Francisco 49ers 4.5 over/under-110


Cleveland Browns 4 over/under-110


 
I'm biased but I think the only thing that can prevent the Titans from winning 11 or 12 games is another injury to Mariota. They've greatly upgraded their return game with Jackson and Davis is a beast. They have the best offensive line in the NFL and have no real weaknesses. If they were in a bigger market I have no doubt the media would be hyping them as a legit threat to have a big season.

They are begging people to take out the equity on their mortgage and bet Dallas over. Therefore the under has to be the play. Lots of confidence by the books to allow themselves a substantial loss if the Cowboys win ten games.
 
Seattle over. 4 auto wins in the division and split at worst with AZ. I wouldn't play at 11 but 10.5 is good IMO. I like Oakland too.

Fins over (defense is good and offense getting better) and Balty under (that defense was awful last year in critical moments and they don't seem to have weapons in the passing game).
 
MusicCityGambler said:
I'm biased but I think the only thing that can prevent the Titans from winning 11 or 12 games is another injury to Mariota. They've greatly upgraded their return game with Jackson and Davis is a beast. They have the best offensive line in the NFL and have no real weaknesses. If they were in a bigger market I have no doubt the media would be hyping them as a legit threat to have a big season.

They are begging people to take out the equity on their mortgage and bet Dallas over. Therefore the under has to be the play. Lots of confidence by the books to allow themselves a substantial loss if the Cowboys win ten games.
Click to expand...


Right on
they win 10 games easy.
 
Tennessee I like, think Houston will be overvalued in that division. I do not think Seattle wins 5 in the West, and they get the 1st place sched (GB, ATL, DAL)
 
CASH said:
Pats over 11 ...HUGE.... Find me 4 losses, never mind 5... I see 3 maybe...
Click to expand...



----

I give them 11-5...with losses @ NO, Miami, Pitt, Denver, and OAK.... This figures them 8-0 @ home, which is 100% reasonable.

If they can flip one of those, they go 12-4, or maybe 2 13-3.
,
Upgrades all over the field, w/o any key losses.
 
The Jets at under 5.5 is nice....that team is the furthest away from being competitive amongst any teams in the NFL. I would say even further away than the Browns
 
I think even of those pats 5 losses you have they can easily win. 2 or 3

Oakland isn't even away it's neutral site

I'd say 7-1 at home just to factor in one off game, then all you need is 4-4 away for a push and 5-3 or 6-2 are not a shock at all
 
guaranteeed said:
I think even of those pats 5 losses you have they can easily win. 2 or 3

Oakland isn't even away it's neutral site

I'd say 7-1 at home just to factor in one off game, then all you need is 4-4 away for a push and 5-3 or 6-2 are not a shock at all
Click to expand...

Same thoughts for their schedule.
 
guaranteeed said:
I think even of those pats 5 losses you have they can easily win. 2 or 3

Oakland isn't even away it's neutral site

I'd say 7-1 at home just to factor in one off game, then all you need is 4-4 away for a push and 5-3 or 6-2 are not a shock at all
Click to expand...

just trying to be unbiased...i actually see 16-0.
 
Anybody else just love the Dallas under? I just can't see how they go over when a ten win season would certainly means massive losses for the books.

I don't really understand Baltimore 9.5. I would be inclined to under them but the line seems to really top out for them.

Carolina over 9 is enticing.
 
Marlo said:
The Jets at under 5.5 is nice....that team is the furthest away from being competitive amongst any teams in the NFL. I would say even further away than the Browns
Click to expand...
Agree. I would also say the Rams will be an entirely better team from a coaching standpoint. Rams alumni have been killing kindly Jeff the Fraud Fisher.
This team could have a bad year and still win 6.
 
played the following
titans over 8.5-135 for 10x : i like this team, I like the coach. They didn't give up last year and they should be even better this year. I got them winning the division. got them winning 10 this year
jets under 4.5+115 for 5x : as you guys said, this team looks like shit. I give them 3 wins this year.
balty under 8.5 +110 for 5x : they were lucky to win 8 last year and they look worse to me. i got them at 8 wins max and thats being very very generous. likely a 6 win team
 
I'm telling you guys, as bad as the Rams were last year, I say 85% of it was the cause of Fraud Fisher and his incompetent coaching staff. I've listened to alumini who have been in their meetings room such as Tom Mack, Dennis Harrah and Jackie Slater. They have kindly killed last years meeting compared to what they're hearing this year. Tom Mack said, last year was about assignments. This year it's about oline technique to fulfill their assignments.
McVay knows how to run an offense and Wade Phillips certainly knows defense. 5.5 wins in what has become a winnable division seems very doable. I think the Rams fall into the 7-9 to 9-7 category and with a little luck could be 10-6. Their schedule is not that tough.
 
[FONT=&quot]On April 30th, the South Point Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada became the first sportsbook to post win totals for the 2017 NFL regular season. In the subsequent weeks, many offshore sportsbooks have posted their own NFL win totals including the market-setting Bookmaker.eu.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Since these numbers were initially posted by South Point, the win totals for five teams has moved by at least a full win: New England Patriots (11 to 12.5), Jacksonville Jaguars (5.5 to 6.5), Baltimore Ravens (9.5 to 8.5), New York Jets (5.5 to 4.5) and Tennessee Titans (9.5 to 8.5). That’s great news for anybody who followed my advice and took Jacksonville Over 5.5, Tennessee Under 9.5 and Baltimore Under 9.5 back in early May.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]While sharp money is responsible for most of that movement, public money can impact the NFL win total market as we’ve seen with the New York Jets. According to the public betting trends from Bookmaker, over 90% of wagers placed on the Jets win total have taken the under — easily the most of any team in the league. That influx of public money (along with some questionable roster moves) has been largely responsible for the recent line movement.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The table below displays the current win total and public betting percentages for every NFL team.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]<label style="margin: 1em 0px 0.3em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 13px; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; display: block;">Search:<input type="search" class="" placeholder="" aria-controls="tablepress-1984" style="font-size: 13px; margin: 2px 2px 2px 0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; -webkit-appearance: textfield; box-sizing: content-box; display: inline; width: auto;"></label>
[TABLE="class: tablepress tablepress-id-1984 dataTable no-footer, width: 640"]
<thead style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;">[TR="class: row-1 odd"]
[TH="class: column-1 sorting, colspan: 1, align: left"]TEAM[/TH]
[TH="class: column-2 sorting, colspan: 1, align: left"]BOOKMAKER (6/7)[/TH]
[TH="class: column-3 sorting, colspan: 1, align: left"]OVER[/TH]
[TH="class: column-4 sorting, colspan: 1, align: left"]UNDER[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody class="row-hover" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: inherit; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;">[TR="class: row-2 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Arizona Cardinals[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8 (o-130)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]75.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]25.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-3 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Atlanta Falcons[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]9.5 (o-119)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]56.3%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]43.7%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-4 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Baltimore Ravens[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8.5 (o-133)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]26.7%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]73.3%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-5 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Buffalo Bills[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]6.5 (o-119)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]50.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]50.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-6 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Carolina Panthers[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]9 (o-133)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]83.3%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]16.7%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-7 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Chicago Bears[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]5.5 (u-140)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]15.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]85.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-8 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Cincinnati Bengals[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8.5 (i-121)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]52.9%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]47.1%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-9 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Cleveland Browns[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]4.5 (u-126)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]36.4%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]63.6%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-10 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Dallas Cowboys[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]9.5 (o-126)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]30.8%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]69.2%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-11 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Denver Broncos[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8.5 (u-131)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]69.2%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]30.8%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-12 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Detroit Lions[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]7.5 (o-130)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]71.4%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]28.6%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-13 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Green Bay Packers[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]10.5 (u-136)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]55.6%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]44.4%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-14 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Houston Texans[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8 (o-119)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]85.7%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]14.3%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-15 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Indianapolis Colts[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8.5 (o-114)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]55.6%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]44.4%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-16 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Jacksonville Jaguars[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]6.5 (o-130)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]23.1%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]76.9%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-17 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Kansas City Chiefs[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]9 (o-136)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]80.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]20.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-18 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Los Angeles Chargers[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]7.5 (u-125)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]57.1%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]42.9%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-19 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Los Angeles Rams[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]5.5 (o-118)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]22.6%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]77.4%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-20 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Miami Dolphins[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]7.5 (u-115)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]65.2%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]34.8%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-21 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Minnesota Vikings[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8.5 (u-125)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]57.1%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]42.9%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-22 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]New England Patriots[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]12.5 (u-125)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]54.3%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]45.7%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-23 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]New Orleans Saints[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8 (o-121)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]50.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]50.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-24 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]New York Giants[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8.5 (o-145)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]87.5%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]12.5%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-25 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]New York Jets[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]4.5 (o-115)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]6.9%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]93.1%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-26 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Oakland Raiders[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]9.5 (o-130)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]50.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]50.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-27 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Philadelphia Eagles[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8 (o-120)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]80.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]20.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-28 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Pittsburgh Steelers[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]10.5 (o-135)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]25.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]75.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-29 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]San Francisco 49ers[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]4.5 (o-130)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]16.7%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]83.3%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-30 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Seattle Seahawks[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]10.5 (o-130)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]25.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]75.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-31 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Tampa Bay Buccaneers[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8 (o-145)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]88.9%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]11.1%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-32 even"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Tennessee Titans[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]8.5 (o-130)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]66.7%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]33.3%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: row-33 odd"]
[TD="class: column-1"]Washington Redskins[/TD]
[TD="class: column-2"]7.5 (u-116)[/TD]
[TD="class: column-3"]50.0%[/TD]
[TD="class: column-4"]50.0%[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Most popular overs[/FONT]

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 8 (88.9%)
  2. New York Giants Over 8.5 (87.5%)
  3. Houston Texans Over 8 (85.7%)
  4. Carolina Panthers Over 9 (83.3%)
  5. Kansas City Chiefs Over 9 (80.0%)
[FONT=&quot]Most popular unders[/FONT]

  1. New York Jets Under 4.5 (93.1%)
  2. Chicago Bears Under 5.5 (85.0%)
  3. San Francisco 49ers Under 4.5 (83.3%)
  4. Los Angeles Rams Under 5.5 (77.4%)
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars Under 6.5 (76.9%)
 
wizardofodd said:
played the following
titans over 8.5-135 for 10x : i like this team, I like the coach. They didn't give up last year and they should be even better this year. I got them winning the division. got them winning 10 this year
jets under 4.5+115 for 5x : as you guys said, this team looks like shit. I give them 3 wins this year.
balty under 8.5 +110 for 5x : they were lucky to win 8 last year and they look worse to me. i got them at 8 wins max and thats being very very generous. likely a 6 win team
Click to expand...

adding two more team totals, and I'm pretty sure that should be it

Patriots Over12.5 ev for 10x: I can see 4 loses on their schedule, at Tampa, at Raiders, at Steelers and Atlanta. I think they are good enough to take 2 of these 4. 14-2 or better IMO for the defending Super Bowl Champs!

Falcons Over 9.5-130 for 5x: That loss last year hurt and I think the team is better overall, mentally! Not sure about the division they are in, its a wild card division as we never know who is going to be good. 10-6 shouldnt be hard for this team. I got them at 11-5 this year.
 
vk said:
Surprised to see the Pats pick. I suspect they lose at least 2 division games
Click to expand...

I can't argue there, I to Miami and maybe, one to Buffalo on an off weekend or something. They play Bills and Jets last two games of the season, and they will be favs, so I do have the option to hedge if Pats are 11-3 at that point
 
Indy Under. I expect them to be last in the South this year.
Luck won't make it thru a whole season unfortunately
 
ProV1Colt said:
Indy Under. I expect them to be last in the South this year.
Luck won't make it thru a whole season unfortunately
Click to expand...

agree. Holes all over the place for me. Might need another year or two to get back on track, IF Luck even stays healthy.

My book has that TT down currently
 
[TABLE="class: TableSchedule, width: 100%, align: center"]
<tbody>[TR="class: TNTHeader"]
[TD="colspan: 4"]FL - SEASON PROPS - PERFECT REGULAR SEASON[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrTntDetail"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]45515[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3"]YES (16-0)[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+800<input name="text_" value="45515_1347234_0_800" type="checkbox">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrTntDetail"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]45516[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3"]NO[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1250<input name="text_" value="45516_1347234_0_-1250" type="checkbox">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TNTHeader"]
[TD="colspan: 4"]Aug 31 - 1:00 PM [/TD]
[TD="colspan: 4"]NFL -SEASON PROPS - PERFECTLY BAD SEASON[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrTntDetail"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]45517[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3"]YES (0-16)[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+1000<input name="text_" value="45517_1347235_0_1000" type="checkbox">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrTntDetail"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]45518[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3"]NO[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1800<input name="text_" value="45518_1347235_0_-1800" type="checkbox">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TNTHeader"]
[TD="colspan: 4"]Aug 31 - 1:00 PM [/TD]
[TD="colspan: 4"]NFL - SEASON PROPS - TRUE PERFECT SEASON[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrTntDetail"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]45519[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3"]YES (19-0)[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+1000<input name="text_" value="45519_1347236_0_1000" type="checkbox">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrTntDetail"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]45520[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3"]NO[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1500<input name="text_" value="45520_1347236_0_-1500" type="checkbox">[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Thanks Cash. I will be sprinkling some on both. Reg & True Perfect.
No doubt they run the AFC East. That's 6-0. Brady's only Kryptonite is the Mike High City, OH and Eli
 
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