NFL Plays (Week Five)...

[emkee]

11-10 (+4.23)

The real season starts in Week 5.

New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The play...

Patriots -5.5 (2 units)

As bad as the Pats are defensively, they are the polar opposite offensively.

Versus another team with no pass rush and a shitty secondary, I'll ride with the better QB and coach on a short week.

Helps that the Pats are getting shade thrown on them by the media about their issues.

Historically they've also responded well of a loss.

opcorn:

 

[emkee]

Historically they've also responded well of a loss.

29-6 SU (23-11-1 ATS) the past decade.

Also the best game the Pats have played this season was on the road in New Orleans against a similar team.

 

[Hulu]

Like you say, death, taxes and the Pats off a loss. But this isn't the pats team of old with this almost historically bad defense. I'm not sure how long any of the old maxims hold up. We could be witnessing the beginning of the decline of the Patriot empire.

Anyway, I have them in a Parlay with the eagles so we're on the same side of it. BOL

 

[emkee]

We're definitely witnessing the decline of the Pats, Hulu.

Just don't see it in this spot off a home loss and on a short week vs a so-so and somewhat overrated Bucs team.

Bucs' defense almost as bad and the Pats most complete game this season was their lone road outing.

If you look at who both teams have played so far, Pats with the more authentic 2 win record.

Tom and Hoody get it done.

 

[Metallica]

Line is at 5 on my book. Leaning toward the Pats as well. But will wait til tomorrow to see any more movement.
BOL Em.

 

[emkee]

Thanks M.

Can't see the spread dropping any lower than 4.5, possibly rising.

Spread should be 3, tbh.

ELO has 3, CG Tech advance spread was 3 (back in April), my line is 3.5,

Fact it's 5/5.5 will 'bait' Bucs bettors, imo.

All I've heard from the talking heads this week is about how bad the Pats are.

Like the Pats to win by 7+...

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Bucs have some linebacker and safety injury issues. Gilmore was in another world last week, like he never woke up, he is listed as doubtful, hightower is such a key

 

[emkee]

Got in a little early with the spread by the looks, holding a 'bad' number.

Gronk out and it's 3.5, trust Hoody to execute a game plan and Tommy Uggs to tear up that secondary without his TE.

3.5 to 5.5 is meh in terms of 'key-ness'. Maybe it lands on 4, very unlikely 5 but if it does so be it.

Still like Pats by enough.

Leggo...

 

[YoungGun11]

If there is 1 team that wouldn't be effected by a superstar going out, it is likely the sloth and Tom. They have been overcoming injuries for 3 years running, no way Gronk going out should have moved the line 2 full points and past the prime number of 4.

Good luck

 

[emkee]

Pats affected by a superstar going out ? Rarely happens.

And Gronk is on the decline more than his 40 year old QB, his superstar days are behind him.

4 never has or will be a prime number.

3 is the 'primest' number in football.

Health with your TB 'hammer', youngfella.

 

[austinhous]

prime number of 4

that's a new one

 

[emkee]

Yep.

Gave the frontdoor KC money back because of a Tampa backdoor.

The league is special like that.

But ran into those early play problems, play it on gameday and I get the cake.

See y'all Sunday.

 

[twinkie13]

Amazing that bitch fell on the cinco....LV is just amazing

I didn't look, was busy with 6 yr old soccer, but the game hit the 3.5 number Em? Just on Gronk you think? Either way, it did hit 3-3'?

GL this weekend.....the NFC East should be a fun one this year

 

[YoungGun11]

You guys honestly don't consider 4 a prime number? Of course 3 and 7 are obvious but there are plenty others I would consider prime as well.

 

[KJ]

Confucius say prime number is only divisible by itself and one

 

[austinhous]

at first glance I always thought 51 was a prime number, but it's really not. math can be really fun sometimes you guys

 

[VirginiaCavs]

BOL Amigo

 

[emkee]

0-1 to start the week.

adding...

Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals

The play...

Bengals ML -150 (3 to win 2)

ML here, all I'm seeing is juiced -3's and many a mush or two on the Bungles.

Can't pass the spot they're in so taking the relatively short ML.

Bills off a big upset and riding a 4-0 ATS streak with the bye on deck, think we see a letdown of sorts.

opcorn:

 

[emkee]

adding...

Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants

The play...

Chargers +3 +103 (2 to win 2.06)

Bolo > Sheli

opcorn:

 

[emkee]

Probably a few more plays.

Lean Birds, Hags and Cows.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Only way to play Bengals is ML today. I agree.
-1.5 is my number, GL Em.

 

[emkee]

adding...

Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

The play...

Cowboys ML -125 (2.5 to win 2)

opcorn:

 

[emkee]

ML again, always weary of spreads under 3. Cheap enough, would play to -140.

Cows need this game and the Pack aren't road warriors for the most part.

Sprinkle some past playoff revenge in there as well.

 

[emkee]

Wow, Garrett just called a smart timeout.

 

[emkee]

'Allas Cowgirls, no D.

adding...

Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans

The play...

Chiefs ML -123 (2.46 to win 2)

:shake:

 

[emkee]

Aside from the O-line injuries, everything points to the Chiefs tonight. Good teams overcome such issues.

Paying to see how the league's new rookie sensation responds off a 'career' game vs arguably the league's best team.

ELO spread is 5, advance spread was 1 and my line is 2.5

Undefeated teams favored in Week 5 are 33-11 SU.