NFL Divisionals....

CapTwo · Jan 5, 2009

2-0 Sides
0-1 Totals

+1.13U in wildcard...... took it light that week. time to turn it up.

Steelers ML/Texas ML (-117) 2 units
Gmen/Panthers ML Parlay (-122)2 units

Ravens TT Under 17 1 unit
Panthers TT Over 28.5 1 unit
Tenny -3 (+100) 1 unit

If I can find a TT @ 17... then Bolts TT under. Stalking this....

This weekend's games include a couple of teams that I have been riding on 2H wagers all season.
These are teams that play smash-mouth football, find themselves in a close game at the half.... but then their big,physical lineman and the fact that they have been pounding it in between the tackles all game wears you down by the 4Q....

We've seen them do it. I'm not going to cite every single game... but a few that come to mind off the top of my head are Gmen Vs Carolina.... and Tenny vs Indy (first meeting).....

Which is why I will be stalking 2H plays on all of the teams listed below if they are down at the half:

GMen
Tenny
Carolina (doubt they will be down though. )

GL fellas :cheers:

Joe Public · Jan 5, 2009

I like that number and I like this play. Good price. Good luck.

CapTwo · Jan 5, 2009

:shake:

Thanks, Joe P. After losing about five separate wagers by two points or less during bowl season, Im reluctant to lay points in playoff games. Like to get the ML when the situation presents itself. Just my mindset.... and BOL to your iggles this week bro:shake:

I don't like that I like all home faves this week but that's just how it worked out. Last week liked two dogs, two faves. This week I think two of the home teams match up extremely well against their opponent and should roll (Carolina and Pitt)

Weird thing about Tenny/Baltt and G-men/Philly, is all 3 times these teams have met in 2008(philly/g-men twice and tenny/balt once)... the road team has coverd and won SU. Will revisit these two more later on in the week....

CapTwo · Jan 5, 2009

Really liking carolina as possible ML parlay material as well.

Zona cant win out east and Steve smith should be able to torch this swiss-cheese secondary giving up 225 a game. I expect the extremely balanced carolina offense to seldom punt in this one. Arizona has had stuggles giving up the big play on defense all year... In fact I may have talked myself into a Carolina TT here...

Would normally take them 1H in this spot instead of laying the DD, but since they are more of a grind-it-out team I like them more in the 2H or 4Q as their big, physical OL (i believe #1 in size in NFL, if not that then NFC. dont quote me on that though)should be able to wear down zona and result in deangelo to break some big runs late in this game to put it out of reach

Need to dig up some numbers here as far as how they perform home/away and 1H/2H, maybe find a reason to play them 1H or just get involved at the half.

Tito · Jan 5, 2009

Cap, I agree with you - I've already teased Carolina and Pitt - just missed getting the Panthers at 2.5, but don't think it will matter, I just don't want to lay DD's with the Panther D - which worries me a little.

starting to really like the Titans...

GL this weekend

3rd & Long · Jan 6, 2009

All 4 favs for me.

Glad you got the W tonight.

CapTwo · Jan 9, 2009

Thanks fellas..... BOL to you all this wknd

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Zona is a Dr jekyl/Mr hyde team of home/away, and even moreso traveling out east… where they have not won yet. Theyre 3-5 on the road- with their only victories being divisional ones against the mighty 9ers, rams, and hawks. Great fade material traveling cross country…..

Carolina has IMO, the most balanced offense in the NFL and possibly the most weapons which really keeps opposing defenses guessing.
You have smith who can stretch the defense on some vertical routes… but is versatile as he can also use his speed for some screens/underneath stuff.

Then, you have the 1-2 punch of Williams and Stewart which really takes a toll on opposing defenses in the 2H.

Zona secondary giving up 225 a game through the air…Ill take the balanced offense against the one-dimensional, pass-happy one any day.
Zona still has no running game…. Don’t buy into all that “edge is back” shit. Overrated back who had success against one of the worst run defenses in the country. Even steed could run on Atlanta….
Carolina 31- Zona 20.

CapTwo · Jan 9, 2009

Gmen---

I expect a very close, grind-it-out, divisional rivalry game here. Two teams that have faced eachother a billion times, have scouting reports longer then my cock, and are going to employ very cautious offensive gameplans as each will be making sure they don’t beat themselves. In a game of this nature, as close as it may get, turnovers can definitely be the difference to separate the winner from loser.
The under is 10-2 in the last 12 matchups in NY for a reason…..

I think the difference in this game, vs the last matchup which philly won, is westbrook's health/effectiveness.
westbrook is only about 85% right now from what i saw in the minny game.... how can he take 33 carries like he did in the last win?

When he was healthy in the last matchup, he took 33 carries for 131 yards…. He was relatively ineffective in the minny game… 20 for 38 yards, but he did have that one big run for a TD on the dumpoff pass underneath. But still, theres no way hes going to get more then 20-25 carries here… nowhere close to 33.

That game also was eli’s worst performance of the season (barring the browns game), and we can expect him to improve upon that in this game.

Last win for the eagles was also the fact that they caught the g-men in a letdown spot. They had 7 in a row, and were looking at game 1 of a VERY tough last 4 games of the season including- philly, dallas, Carolina, and minny. I personally think the g-men were more interested and looking ahead to the rematch with dallas the next week.

Giants 23- Philly 16----- Sorry gabibbo…..

cogenman · Jan 9, 2009

Nice write-ups cap, good luck. :shake:

aplous · Jan 9, 2009

Nice writeups.....loving Carolina to pound......cant wait for tomorrow.

Tide High · Jan 9, 2009

good work. if you do well this weekend so will i

CapTwo · Jan 9, 2009

aplous said:
Nice writeups.....loving Carolina to pound......cant wait for tomorrow.

:cheers:

You and me both bro.I really believe linesmakers inflated this line making zona a DD dog just to encourage money on them. You know there are certain people out there that just cant pass on a DD dog in the playoffs. Carolina rolls though.

I had the carolina TT @ somewhere around 30.5 ..... but just checked and its only 28.5.

So wlll probably be adding that later on in the day- Anyways, GL man lets clean up this weekend.

CapTwo · Jan 9, 2009

Cogen- lets do it this weekend bro

Basically in the gmen game, it's just going to be a battle of who can run the football better. These NFC east divisional games always are.

Philly won the last matchup in new york. Because they outrushed the g-men 144-88... and the gmen won the previous by via outrushing them by a margin of 219-106.

The 3 headed beast is finalyl healthy and jacobs should finally be 100%. The gmen did not have to play last week and have plenty of time to prepare for this game.

Tide-
You win I win CTG wins we're all winners (hopefully). GL if you ended up doing fantasy postseason football, i you always seem to do well in that shit

Mokey · Jan 9, 2009

CapTwo said:
Gmen---

I expect a very close, grind-it-out, divisional rivalry game here. Two teams that have faced eachother a billion times, have scouting reports longer then my cock, and are going to employ very cautious offensive gameplans as each will be making sure they don’t beat themselves. In a game of this nature, as close as it may get, turnovers can definitely be the difference to separate the winner from loser.
The under is 10-2 in the last 12 matchups in NY for a reason…..

I think the difference in this game, vs the last matchup which philly won, is westbrook's health/effectiveness.
westbrook is only about 85% right now from what i saw in the minny game.... how can he take 33 carries like he did in the last win?

When he was healthy in the last matchup, he took 33 carries for 131 yards…. He was relatively ineffective in the minny game… 20 for 38 yards, but he did have that one big run for a TD on the dumpoff pass underneath. But still, theres no way hes going to get more then 20-25 carries here… nowhere close to 33.

That game also was eli’s worst performance of the season (barring the browns game), and we can expect him to improve upon that in this game.

Last win for the eagles was also the fact that they caught the g-men in a letdown spot. They had 7 in a row, and were looking at game 1 of a VERY tough last 4 games of the season including- philly, dallas, Carolina, and minny. I personally think the g-men were more interested and looking ahead to the rematch with dallas the next week.

Giants 23- Philly 16----- Sorry gabibbo…..

Giants had carolina the next week and that game was for homefield throughout win or lose against philly didnt matter if they beat carolina they had homefield and they were looking ahead to that.

Tito · Jan 9, 2009

your NYG write-up is spot on cap

NFL Divisionals....

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

Joe Public

Gabibbo's Finest

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

Tito

The Salty Dog

3rd & Long

Tom Brady is a douchebag

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

cogenman

Raider Nation for Life

aplous

Donkey Hater

Tide High

p90sex

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

CapTwo

Richmond Local TV Legend

Mokey

Guest

Tito

The Salty Dog

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