NFL 25
- Thread starter caboto13
- Start date
0-5 -7.49 fitting the weather ice cold.
ML parlay Jags / Bucs / Titans / 49ers / Rams @614 to win 6.14u
Going with the better quarterback in all games: Lawrence > Rivers; Mayfield > Ewers; Ward > Shough; Purdy > Wiliams; Stafford > Cousins
The reverse ML parlay is @18700 and worth a try
ML parlay Jags / Bucs / Titans / 49ers / Rams @614 to win 6.14u
Going with the better quarterback in all games: Lawrence > Rivers; Mayfield > Ewers; Ward > Shough; Purdy > Wiliams; Stafford > Cousins
The reverse ML parlay is @18700 and worth a try
Actually 0-4 -6.49 so far, as I thought I had the Packers in the parlay. Doesn't matter. Nothin to lose, as the season is a desaster bettingwise, so trying "Vapster system"0-5 -7.49 fitting the weather ice cold.
ML parlay Jags / Bucs / Titans / 49ers / Rams @614 to win 6.14u
Going with the better quarterback in all games: Lawrence > Rivers; Mayfield > Ewers; Ward > Shough; Purdy > Wiliams; Stafford > Cousins
The reverse ML parlay is @18700 and worth a try
Jets +13.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
Panthers +7 @-125 to win 1.5u
Week 17
ML Parlay Jags / Steelers / Pats @113 to win 1.13u
Cowboys -9 @-109 to win 1u
Parlay: TD Gibbs / TD Jones / Vikings +10.5 / under 61.5 @688 to win 3.44u
Chargers ML @-130 to win 2u
ML parlay Jags / Bucs / Titans / 49ers / Rams @614 to win 6.14u
Jets +13.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
Panthers +7 @-125 to win 1.5u
Parlay TT over: Jags 23.5 / Titans 16.5 / Bengals 27.5 / Panthers 13.5 / Steelers 16.5 / Bucs 19.5 / Pats 23.5 @972 to win 9.72u
Week 17: 0-8 -9.89u
Overall: 55-101-1 -75,24u
ML Parlay Jags / Steelers / Pats @113 to win 1.13u
Cowboys -9 @-109 to win 1u
Parlay: TD Gibbs / TD Jones / Vikings +10.5 / under 61.5 @688 to win 3.44u
Chargers ML @-130 to win 2u
ML parlay Jags / Bucs / Titans / 49ers / Rams @614 to win 6.14u
Jets +13.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
Panthers +7 @-125 to win 1.5u
Parlay TT over: Jags 23.5 / Titans 16.5 / Bengals 27.5 / Panthers 13.5 / Steelers 16.5 / Bucs 19.5 / Pats 23.5 @972 to win 9.72u
Week 17: 0-8 -9.89u
Overall: 55-101-1 -75,24u
Week 18
Free bet: Parlay Panthers +2.5 / 49ers +2.5 / Falcons - Saints over 44.5 / Browns +8.5 / Titans +13.5 / Bears -2.5 @4560 to win 15.2u
Bucs - Panthers over 43 @-115 to win 1u
Panthers ML @130 to win 1.3u
The Bucs are 0-4 and 1-7 SU the last 4 resp. 8 games. Panthers with a chance to clinch the division and a playoff berth. That's of course true for the Bucs but they have to rely on the Falcons to lose against the Saints tomorrow. Panthers with win and in.
Don't know what happened with Mayfield who turned into a turnover machine the last games (8 int last 7 games, only 2 first 9 games). The Bucs lost every game, where Mayfield threw at least 1 int. Lots of injuries of course but I don't think the Bucs can make the turnaround. Panthers should pound the run with Dowdle and Hubbard and Bryce Young get his first playoff appearance.
As I am on the worst negative run of my life, the Bucs will probably win 38 - 3 with 5 td by Baker....
Free bet: Parlay Panthers +2.5 / 49ers +2.5 / Falcons - Saints over 44.5 / Browns +8.5 / Titans +13.5 / Bears -2.5 @4560 to win 15.2u
Bucs - Panthers over 43 @-115 to win 1u
Panthers ML @130 to win 1.3u
The Bucs are 0-4 and 1-7 SU the last 4 resp. 8 games. Panthers with a chance to clinch the division and a playoff berth. That's of course true for the Bucs but they have to rely on the Falcons to lose against the Saints tomorrow. Panthers with win and in.
Don't know what happened with Mayfield who turned into a turnover machine the last games (8 int last 7 games, only 2 first 9 games). The Bucs lost every game, where Mayfield threw at least 1 int. Lots of injuries of course but I don't think the Bucs can make the turnaround. Panthers should pound the run with Dowdle and Hubbard and Bryce Young get his first playoff appearance.
As I am on the worst negative run of my life, the Bucs will probably win 38 - 3 with 5 td by Baker....
Thx. Nevertheless a catastrophal season. Try to bounce back in the playoffs.
Week 18
Free bet: Parlay Panthers +2.5 / 49ers +2.5 / Falcons - Saints over 44.5 / Browns +8.5 / Titans +13.5 / Bears -2.5 @4560 to win 15.2u
Bucs - Panthers over 43 @-115 to win 1u
Panthers ML @130 to win 1.3u
49ers +7.5 / over 41.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
For fun: System 4 of 6: Packers +10.5 / Colts +11 / Titans +13.5 / Cardinals +13.5 / Chargers +14 / Dolphins +12 // 1u to win 11.2u max
Bears ML / Bills TT over 23.5 / Falcons - Saints over 43.5 @400 (boosted) to win 2u
Bears ML / ChiefsML @102 to win 1.02u
Bears ML / Bills TT over 25.5 @156 to win 1.56u
Bears -3.5 @-109 to win 2u
0-9 -9.3u
Week 17: 0-8 -9.89u
Week 18: 0-9 -9.30u
Overall: 55-110-1 -84,54u
Worst two-weeks result ever. As I had winning seasons over the last years no problem but have to learn and be more careful.
On to playoffs:
Panthers - Rams
Don't know if I can bet a 10-point road favorite, but can't bet on the Panthers when the Rams seeking revenge. Backdoor cover possible. Maybe under in a 27-17 type of win?
Bears - Packers
Don't get the line. Would have made the Bears a small fav with the home advantage and the Packers not being able to stop the run.
Free bet: Parlay Panthers +2.5 / 49ers +2.5 / Falcons - Saints over 44.5 / Browns +8.5 / Titans +13.5 / Bears -2.5 @4560 to win 15.2u
Bucs - Panthers over 43 @-115 to win 1u
Panthers ML @130 to win 1.3u
49ers +7.5 / over 41.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
For fun: System 4 of 6: Packers +10.5 / Colts +11 / Titans +13.5 / Cardinals +13.5 / Chargers +14 / Dolphins +12 // 1u to win 11.2u max
Bears ML / Bills TT over 23.5 / Falcons - Saints over 43.5 @400 (boosted) to win 2u
Bears ML / ChiefsML @102 to win 1.02u
Bears ML / Bills TT over 25.5 @156 to win 1.56u
Bears -3.5 @-109 to win 2u
0-9 -9.3u
Week 17: 0-8 -9.89u
Week 18: 0-9 -9.30u
Overall: 55-110-1 -84,54u
Worst two-weeks result ever. As I had winning seasons over the last years no problem but have to learn and be more careful.
On to playoffs:
Panthers - Rams
Don't know if I can bet a 10-point road favorite, but can't bet on the Panthers when the Rams seeking revenge. Backdoor cover possible. Maybe under in a 27-17 type of win?
Bears - Packers
Don't get the line. Would have made the Bears a small fav with the home advantage and the Packers not being able to stop the run.
2-3 -0,2u
The Packers missed two fg and screwed the over 3.5. Think I was on the right side as well as the Packers whose collapsing is Le Fleurs take in my opinion. Clock management and use of timeouts and playcall in the last quarter were horrible.
Bills +1.5 @-110 to win 2u
Bills TT over 24.5 @-115 to win 2u
Tailing Lexington125.
The Packers missed two fg and screwed the over 3.5. Think I was on the right side as well as the Packers whose collapsing is Le Fleurs take in my opinion. Clock management and use of timeouts and playcall in the last quarter were horrible.
Bills +1.5 @-110 to win 2u
Bills TT over 24.5 @-115 to win 2u
Tailing Lexington125.
Wild Card
Rams TT over 27.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
Rams score every quarter yes @200 (boost) to win 1u
Bears - Packers over 3.5 fg @100 to win 1u
Packers -1.5 @-120 to win 1u
Bills +1.5 @-110 to win 2u
Bills TT over 24.5 @-115 to win 2u
Eagles - 49ers over 44.5 @-110 to win 2u
Texans -2.5 @-133 to win 1u
over 4.5 fg @155 to win 0,78u
5-4 +2.6u
Finally a winnig weekend
Rams TT over 27.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
Rams score every quarter yes @200 (boost) to win 1u
Bears - Packers over 3.5 fg @100 to win 1u
Packers -1.5 @-120 to win 1u
Bills +1.5 @-110 to win 2u
Bills TT over 24.5 @-115 to win 2u
Eagles - 49ers over 44.5 @-110 to win 2u
Texans -2.5 @-133 to win 1u
over 4.5 fg @155 to win 0,78u
5-4 +2.6u
Finally a winnig weekend
Divisional
Bills +1.5 @-115 to win 2u
Bills TT over 22.5 @-115 to win 2u
Take the better, more experienced qb. The Denver defense is very good but Allen is capable to take over imo. Little concerned about the Broncos advantage at head coach position but I hope the Bills will take their chance with the Chiefs being eliminated to go to the sb.
Bills +1.5 @-115 to win 2u
Bills TT over 22.5 @-115 to win 2u
Take the better, more experienced qb. The Denver defense is very good but Allen is capable to take over imo. Little concerned about the Broncos advantage at head coach position but I hope the Bills will take their chance with the Chiefs being eliminated to go to the sb.
Divisional round
Bills +1.5 @-115 to win 2u
Bills TT over 22.5 @-115 to win 2u
Cook TD yes @-110 to win 1u
Seahawks -6.5 @-115 to win 2u
Pats - Texans over 3.5 field goals @105 to win 2.1u
Texans +3.5 @-125 to win 2u
Texans TT over 19.5 @-105 to win 2u
Texans ML @145 to win 1.45u
Rams TT over 27.5 @-107 to win 3u
Rams -3.5 @-110 to win 2u
1-9 -16.86u
Playoffs: 6-13 -14.26u
Regular season overall: 55-110-1 -84,54u
AFC Championship game
Stats Stidham
I can't bet on a qb haven't played a game since 2023. Maybe the defense can make some big plays, maybe turnover will come into play and for sure the Broncos will run a lot. But on this stage with the Conference Championship on the line, I do believe that you need a qb that can make some throws. Yes I know that Maye fumbled the ball six times over the last two games and lost three and the Denver defense leads the NFL in sacks, but nevertheless I expect the Pats to win, cover the spread and play the total over because turnover and defensive scores.
As I lost 100 units this season fade me and cash in with a 31-10 win by the Broncos by four td passes by Stidham.
Bills +1.5 @-115 to win 2u
Bills TT over 22.5 @-115 to win 2u
Cook TD yes @-110 to win 1u
Seahawks -6.5 @-115 to win 2u
Pats - Texans over 3.5 field goals @105 to win 2.1u
Texans +3.5 @-125 to win 2u
Texans TT over 19.5 @-105 to win 2u
Texans ML @145 to win 1.45u
Rams TT over 27.5 @-107 to win 3u
Rams -3.5 @-110 to win 2u
1-9 -16.86u
Playoffs: 6-13 -14.26u
Regular season overall: 55-110-1 -84,54u
AFC Championship game
Stats Stidham
I can't bet on a qb haven't played a game since 2023. Maybe the defense can make some big plays, maybe turnover will come into play and for sure the Broncos will run a lot. But on this stage with the Conference Championship on the line, I do believe that you need a qb that can make some throws. Yes I know that Maye fumbled the ball six times over the last two games and lost three and the Denver defense leads the NFL in sacks, but nevertheless I expect the Pats to win, cover the spread and play the total over because turnover and defensive scores.
As I lost 100 units this season fade me and cash in with a 31-10 win by the Broncos by four td passes by Stidham.
Conference Games
Seahawks -2.5 @-108 to win 4u
Pats -3.5 @-115 to win 2.5u
Pats TT over 23.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
Broncos - Pats over 43 @-115 to win 1.5u
1-3 -2.32u
Playoffs: 7-16 -16.58u
Regular season overall: 55-110-1 -84,54u
So I'm down 100u and will check out with a losing season after five winning ones in a row.
Can only be worse, but -80u or -120u won't make a difference.
Try to figure out how to bet and lean to the Seahawks and the under. Over 3.5 fg @-105 seems tasty. Can get a 30% odds boost for max 3u and will likely play a ML bet @-117.
Lots of good anylysis and capping here at CTG and I can't add something new. Key factor in my opinion will be the turnover battle and if Darnold takes care of the ball, which I think he will, Walker, JSN and the defense are to good and will make the difference. 20 - 13 Seahawks.
Seahawks -2.5 @-108 to win 4u
Pats -3.5 @-115 to win 2.5u
Pats TT over 23.5 @-115 to win 1.5u
Broncos - Pats over 43 @-115 to win 1.5u
1-3 -2.32u
Playoffs: 7-16 -16.58u
Regular season overall: 55-110-1 -84,54u
So I'm down 100u and will check out with a losing season after five winning ones in a row.
Can only be worse, but -80u or -120u won't make a difference.
Try to figure out how to bet and lean to the Seahawks and the under. Over 3.5 fg @-105 seems tasty. Can get a 30% odds boost for max 3u and will likely play a ML bet @-117.
Lots of good anylysis and capping here at CTG and I can't add something new. Key factor in my opinion will be the turnover battle and if Darnold takes care of the ball, which I think he will, Walker, JSN and the defense are to good and will make the difference. 20 - 13 Seahawks.
You had the perfect cap in that last paragraph...
No matter the season, always nice to finish strong