nfl 24 bets

[EL CAPO]

futures
--all in on the jets this year. When I look at the afc I think it's a 2 horse race between the jets and the chiefs and a bunch of pretenders (maybe bengals). Also kind of feel same way about nfc with eagles and niners on paper.

super bowl exacta
niners vs jets (1u to win 28) 2800
eagles vs jets (1u to win 84 u) +8400

Division parlay +470 (jets and eagles to win division (1 to win win 4.7) (jets and chiefs +320 (1 to win 3.2), jets and falcons +470 (.5 to win 2.3) Panthers +1000 to win nfc south (.5 u to w 5)

panthers o 5.5 (-135) 3 to win 2.2
titans u 6.5 (-140) 3 to win 2.14
broncos o 5.5 (-155) 2 to win 1.3
texans u 9.5 +125 2 to win 2.5
jets o 9.5. (-165)..2 to win 1.2

coach of year
canales +1800....(1 to win 18)
mvp
mahomes +500 (1 to win 5)
hurts +1300 (1 to win 13)
rodgers 2000 (1 to win 20)
defensive rookie of year laitu latu +300 (1 to win 3)
offensive player of year (saquan) +1800...(1 to win 18)
offensive rookie of year (caleb williams 155 (1 to win 1.5)
comeback (rodgers 175 (1 to win 1.75)
team to concede most points, (titans 1400, cardinals 450, commanders 600, giants 800) all .5
team to score least, patriots 500 raiders 800; .5

week 1
chiefs -2.5 vs ravens (-120) 3 to win 2.5
eagles -2.5 vs packers (-120) 3 to win 2.5
panthers 3.5 @ saints -110) 2 to win 1.9

vikings giants o 41 (-110) 2 to win 1.9
raiders chargers u 42.5 (-110) 2 to win 1.9

 

[wiseplayer]

futures
--all in on the jets this year. When I look at the afc I think it's a 2 horse race between the jets and the chiefs and a bunch of pretenders (maybe bengals). Also kind of feel same way about nfc with eagles and niners on paper.

super bowl exacta
niners vs jets (1u to win 28) 2800
eagles vs jets (1u to win 84 u) +8400

Division parlay +470 (jets and eagles to win division (1 to win win 4.7) (jets and chiefs +320 (1 to win 3.2), jets and falcons +470 (.5 to win 2.3) Panthers +1000 to win nfc south (.5 u to w 5)

panthers o 5.5 (-135) 3 to win 2.2
titans u 6.5 (-140) 3 to win 2.14
broncos o 5.5 (-155) 2 to win 1.3
texans u 9.5 +125 2 to win 2.5
jets o 9.5. (-165)..2 to win 1.2

coach of year
canales +1800....(1 to win 18)
mvp
mahomes +500 (1 to win 5)
hurts +1300 (1 to win 13)
rodgers 2000 (1 to win 20)
defensive rookie of year laitu latu +300 (1 to win 3)
offensive player of year (saquan) +1800...(1 to win 18)
offensive rookie of year (caleb williams 155 (1 to win 1.5)
comeback (rodgers 175 (1 to win 1.75)
team to concede most points, (titans 1400, cardinals 450, commanders 600, giants 800) all .5
team to score least, patriots 500 raiders 800; .5

week 1
chiefs -2.5 vs ravens (-120) 3 to win 2.5
eagles -2.5 vs packers (-120) 3 to win 2.5
panthers 3.5 @ saints -110) 2 to win 1.9

vikings giants o 41 (-110) 2 to win 1.9
raiders chargers u 42.5 (-110) 2 to win 1.9

Are you a Jets fan by chance? Definitely a bold prediction for the Super Bowl. GL!

 

[B.A.R.]

Stepping out!

I definitely want to jump back in and discuss a few early next week.

 

[EL CAPO]

updating, forgot to post eagles pack o

week 1
chiefs -2.5 vs ravens (-120) 3 to win 2.5
eagles -2.5 vs packers (-120) 3 to win 2.5
panthers 3.5 @ saints -110) 2 to win 1.9
vikings giants o 41 (-110) 2 to win 1.9
raiders chargers u 42.5 (-110) 2 to win 1.9

ADD
colts 3 vs texans - (-128) 3 u
dallas ML @ browns (+120) 2 u
bears -3 vs titans (-135) 2u
panthers 4 - additional 2u
bengals/pats u 40.5 (1u)
jags dolphins o 49 (1u)
jets 4.5 @ niners 1u
denver 6 @ seattle 1u
raiders 3 @ chargers 1u
cardinals 6.5 @ bills 1u
steelers 3.5 @ atlanta 1u7

-9 units
+17.2 units
10-6

 

[HUNT]

futures
--all in on the jets this year. When I look at the afc I think it's a 2 horse race between the jets and the chiefs and a bunch of pretenders (maybe bengals). Also kind of feel same way about nfc with eagles and niners on paper.

super bowl exacta
niners vs jets (1u to win 28) 2800
eagles vs jets (1u to win 84 u) +8400

Division parlay +470 (jets and eagles to win division (1 to win win 4.7) (jets and chiefs +320 (1 to win 3.2), jets and falcons +470 (.5 to win 2.3) Panthers +1000 to win nfc south (.5 u to w 5)

panthers o 5.5 (-135) 3 to win 2.2
titans u 6.5 (-140) 3 to win 2.14
broncos o 5.5 (-155) 2 to win 1.3
texans u 9.5 +125 2 to win 2.5
jets o 9.5. (-165)..2 to win 1.2

coach of year
canales +1800....(1 to win 18)
mvp
mahomes +500 (1 to win 5)
hurts +1300 (1 to win 13)
rodgers 2000 (1 to win 20)
defensive rookie of year laitu latu +300 (1 to win 3)
offensive player of year (saquan) +1800...(1 to win 18)
offensive rookie of year (caleb williams 155 (1 to win 1.5)
comeback (rodgers 175 (1 to win 1.75)
team to concede most points, (titans 1400, cardinals 450, commanders 600, giants 800) all .5
team to score least, patriots 500 raiders 800; .5

week 1
chiefs -2.5 vs ravens (-120) 3 to win 2.5
eagles -2.5 vs packers (-120) 3 to win 2.5
panthers 3.5 @ saints -110) 2 to win 1.9

vikings giants o 41 (-110) 2 to win 1.9
raiders chargers u 42.5 (-110) 2 to win 1.9

Good luck el capo. Anxious to see this jets team. Big problem is their head coach is an idiot.

 

[EL CAPO]

Week 2
Jax -3 vs browns. 5 units
Texans -6.5 vs bears 3 units
Jets -4 @ titans 3 units
Pitt Denver u 38 2 units
Bengals 5.5 @ chiefs 1 unit

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Go Jags. I just worry about Trevor‘s weak track record against strong pass defenses and about Jax‘s issues with pass protection.

 

[EL CAPO]

Good luck el capo. Anxious to see this jets team. Big problem is their head coach is an idiot.

right on point on saleh. absolutely dreadful.........prbly better to wait on futures with teams counting on a huge jump until they show sometime

 

[B.A.R.]

right on point on saleh. absolutely dreadful.........prbly better to wait on futures with teams counting on a huge jump until they show sometime

Defense was the bummer here.

Rodgers was fine.

Breece is Breece.

Wilson will have his best year.

That being said, they are light on weapons overall.

The defenses should be above average. So far, that's not the case.

 

[EL CAPO]

Week 2
Jax -3 vs browns. 5 units
Texans -6.5 vs bears 3 units
Jets -4 @ titans 3 units
Pitt Denver u 38 2 units
Bengals 5.5 @ chiefs 1 unit

week 1
10-6 +8.2 units

Already looking hedge off texans/jets

add
dolphins -2 vs bills 4 units
san fran -6 @ minnesota 1 u
minnesota/san fran o 46 1 unit
tampa/detroit u 52 (1u)
chargers -6.5 (1u)
packers 3.5 (3.5 u) -120
giants washington o 44 (2.5 units)
jets titans o 40.5 (1u)
giants ml (2units) +105
vegas raiders u 41.5 (2 u)
seattle patriots u 38 (1.2 u)
bengals 6 - 2 units
bears 6.5 -105 (1.5u)
titans 4 (1.5 u)
Colts Packers o 41 (1u)
Raiders 10 @ Baltimore 1.5u -120
Atlanta Philly o 47 1u
Bengals chiefs o 48 1u
Denver 2.5
Atlanta 5.5

 

[EL CAPO]

Defense was the bummer here.

Rodgers was fine.

Breece is Breece.

Wilson will have his best year.

That being said, they are light on weapons overall.

The defenses should be above average. So far, that's not the case.

i thought they may be vulnerable against the run. but the pass d sucked too. just all the way around bad. they will settle in. best defense in the league from last year can't drop off this bad. rodgers is the big positive.

 

[EL CAPO]

some more futures
2u -150
bills u 10.5
ravens u 10.5
browns u 8.5
colts u 8.5
commanders u 6.5
packers o 8.5 (125)

 

[HUNT]

Defense was the bummer here.

Rodgers was fine.

Breece is Breece.

Wilson will have his best year.

That being said, they are light on weapons overall.

The defenses should be above average. So far, that's not the case.

And Saleh is garbage...no adjustments on both sides of the ball at all, same as last year.

 

[EL CAPO]

11-11 -3 units pending Atlanta and over. Will take it considering the carnage.

Week 3
Patriots 6 @ jets 3u
Saints ml 110
Tampa -6.5 , 2 u
Tampa Denver u 39.5 , 2 u
Chargers pitt u 36 , 2u
Chargers ml 105
Vikings 3
Panthers 6
Detroit Arizona o 51.5
Baltimore Dallas u 48.5
Seattle -5.5 vs Miami

 

[EL CAPO]

11-11 -3 units pending Atlanta and over. Will take it considering the carnage.

Week 3
Patriots 6 @ jets 3u
Saints ml 110
Tampa -6.5 , 2 u
Tampa Denver u 39.5 , 2 u
Chargers pitt u 36 , 2u
Chargers ml 105
Vikings 3
Panthers 6
Detroit Arizona o 51.5
Baltimore Dallas u 48.5
Seattle -5.5 vs Miami

updated
saints -3 ! 8u
2u
colts 1
browns -6.5
dallas 1
chiefs -3
denver 6.5
1u
dolphins 4.5
bears/colts u 43.5
eagles/saints o 49.5
browns giants u 38.5
broncos/bucs u 41
wash/cincy o 47
derek carr mvp +3000
saints super bowl +2500

11 wins
10 losses
sides 5-7
totals 6-3
-21 units'
+12.6 units
(-8.4 units)

 

[EL CAPO]

season record
Sides 20-18
Totals 13-10
Overall 33-28
(-3.3 units)

Week 4
3 units (laying 3.3)
jets -7 vs denver (+2.2 units)
panthers 4.5 vs bengals
vikings 2.5 @ packers
cardinals -3.5 vs commanders
detroit -4 vs seattle
browns/raiders u 38
add:
49ers -10 vs patriots
2.2
jets denver u 38.5
colts steelers u 40
bengals/panthers o 47.5
titans/dolphins o 36
add:
cowboys/cowboys o 45
lions/seattle u 46
saints/falcons u 42
chiefs/chargersu 40
jaguars/texans o 45.5
rams/bears u 41

 

[EL CAPO]

season record
Sides 20-18
Totals 13-10
Overall 33-28
(-3.3 units)

Week 4
3 units (laying 3.3)
jets -7 vs denver (+2.2 units)
panthers 4.5 vs bengals
vikings 2.5 @ packers
cardinals -3.5 vs commanders
detroit -4 vs seattle
browns/raiders u 38
add:
49ers -10 vs patriots
2.2
jets denver u 38.5
colts steelers u 40
bengals/panthers o 47.5
titans/dolphins o 36
add:
cowboys/cowboys o 45
lions/seattle u 46
saints/falcons u 42
chiefs/chargersu 40
jaguars/texans o 45.5
rams/bears u 41

Week 4 - update with reasoning
teaser 6 point teamer -125
jets -2 with chiefs -1; 7 units
jets -7 , 5.5 units - big fade of denver off huge win vs a superior team
3 units (laying 3.3)
cardinals -3.5 vs commanders -let down spot. see cardinals superiority in offensive line physicality, better defense, and regression for nfl history making commanders output that had less then 300 yards of offense against tampa
cardinals -3 -125 (2.5u)
vikings 2.5 @ packers - don't understand how a defense that looks pourus in game 1 and had some vulnerabilities vs colts, and benefited from playing ahead against titans are on same level as vikings defense now. Vikes just destroyed 2 teams more similar to philly and not as impressed as others for thrashing 2 of the worst run defenses in league in colts and titans.
add eagles -1.5 @ tampa - eagles dominated bucs last year in regular season and were favorites in playoffs, market faded tampa last week for a reason. An overachieving team, vs a team in philly that underachieved last year and is a different tier when both regression is to the mean. philly offseason additions is more similar to market expectation of being favs last year.
detroit -4 vs seattle - fade of seattle as much as play on detroit. seattle played no one, has no run game, and struggled to defend run vs patriots.
browns/raiders u 38
add:
2.2
panthers 4.5 vs bengals -bought 1.1 back on bengals - i argue commanders have worse defense then panthers. Everyone likes cincy because "the offense looks good",.....vs the commanders ? cincy showed no heart, effort, or must win mentality in a must win vs a bottom 5 team in nfl possibily. Panthers might be undervalued due to outlier start.
49ers -10 vs patriots - pats d may suck. niners can copy jets gameplan defensively of using speed who also struggled vs run coming into game. must win for san fran.
ravens --2.5 vs bills - situation spot for ravens.
lions/seattle u 46
saints/falcons u 42
chiefs/chargersu 40
1.1
jets denver u 38.5
colts steelers u 40
bengals/panthers o 47.5
titans/dolphins o 36
add:
cowboys/cowboys o 45
jaguars/texans o 45.5
rams/bears u 41 , o 40.5

props
james conner anytime td -140 (1.4)
james connor o 70 yards 1.15
dalton kinkaid o 3.5 receptions 1.3
derek henry o 68.5 rushing , 1.15
deandre swift u 34.5 1.15
rhamonde stevenson o 15 rush attempts +115
chubba hubbard o 60.5 rush yards 1.15
braelen allen o 33.5 rushing 1.15
aaron jones o 57.5 yards 1.10
aaron jones anytime td +110

-33.6 units
+25 units
7-3 props
6-5 totals
4-4 sides
0-1 teaser

 

[B.A.R.]

Good analysis on these sides.
.

Chuba, Jones and Braelon rush props look nice.

Connor anytime.

 

[EL CAPO]

week 5
steelers -2.5 vs dallas 5u
3u
bears -3.5 vs carolina
pats -1 vs miami
jaguars -2.5 vs colts
commanders-3 vs browns
2
niners -7 vs arizona
vikings -2.5 vs jets
houston -1 vs bills
saints 5.5 @ chiefs

2 u
jaguars/colts o 46
packers/rams o 48.5
giants/seattle o 42.5
pats miami u 36
denver raiders u 35.5
commanders browns o 43.5
arizona/san fran o 49.5
Saints/chiefs u 43.5


props 1u
jordan mason o 84.5 -115
james connor o 58.5 -115
deandre swift o 54.5
rhamonde stevenson o 56.5
Justin Fields o 46.5

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Let‘s gooo Jags! BOL amigo

 

[EL CAPO]

3u
chargers -3 @ denver
browns 9.5 @ philly
jaguars 1 vs bears
packers -5 vs cardinals
colts 3 vs titans (-125)

browns eagles u 42.5
jax/bears u 44.5
chargers/denver u 35.5
falcons/panthers o 47

 

[EL CAPO]

week 7
5u
jets -2 @ steelers
3u
jags -6 vs pats
colts -3 vs dolphins
seahawks 3 @ atlanta
titans 10- @ buffalo -125
2u
packers -3 vs texans
bengals -6 @ browns

3u
jags pats o 42
bengals/browns u 41.5
seattle/atlanta u 51
buffalo/titans u 41

 

[EL CAPO]

really like the nfl card this week

4u
Bears -2.5 @ washington
Chargers -7 vs saints
Bills -3 vs seattle
Las vegas 10 vs chiefs
Giants 7 (-125) @ steelers
Atlanta -2.5 @ tampa
1u
Jets -7 vs patriots
Jaguars 4 vs packers
Panthers 10 @ chargers
Rams 3 vs vikings

Totals
2
Giants steelers under 36.5
Raiders chiefs under41.5
Jets patriots o 41.5
Chargers/saints o 40.5
Tampa/atlanta o 46
1
Niners dallas o 46.5
Rams vikings under 48
Bears commanders u 44
Colts/texans u 46

player props -115
bijan robinson o 61.5
rashad white o 39.5
cousins o 240
james connor o 71.5
murray o 34.5
dobbins o 75.5
chubba hubbard o 59.5
jordan mason o 79.5
dobbins anytime td

 

[EL CAPO]

3
Jets -2.5 vs Texans
Vegas 7 @ Cincy
Saints -7 @ Carolina
Rams -1.5 @ seattle
Minnesota -5.5 vs colts
Chiefs -8.5 vs Tampa
Vikings colts o 46.5

1
Jets Texans u 43
Browns chargers u 42.5
Jax 7.5 @ eagles