NFC Wildcard Discussion

Tampa Bay has to be happy. Baker and company will have fun vs that secondary.

Philly should handle the Packers. GB a good team but vs elite competition this year have struggled. Packers DL would have to dominate.
 
B.A.R. said:
Tampa Bay has to be happy. Baker and company will have fun vs that secondary.

Philly should handle the Packers. GB a good team but vs elite competition this year have struggled. Packers DL would have to dominate.
Click to expand...
But maybe no Otten and defense might be down a couple starters in the secondary
 
B.A.R. said:
Statue QB man.

That plus having Goldilocks back was big.

Great job by AG all week and tonight.
Click to expand...

That was a big add tonight for Detroit, no doubt.

Purdy destroyed Detroit last week, all from within the pocket. He's got decent mobility, of course, but needed none of it.

Anyway, great, scratch that, unbelievable turnaround by Detroit defensively. Go from giving up 30+ over the last 4 games to not surrendering a TD against one of the 2 or 3 most potent offenses in the game. Wow.
 
VirginiaCavs said:
The point was they made adjustments after the Buffalo game and apparently became a considerably different team
Click to expand...
Rams for some reason went pass 1st in the last few and it rarely works for them. Their formula to scoring is getting the run game going. Rams lost Corum today for the postseason. Rivers has been a decent backup RB for them and will be used to spell KW23.
 
wiseplayer said:
Rams for some reason went pass 1st in the last few and it rarely works for them. Their formula to scoring is getting the run game going. Rams lost Corum today for the postseason. Rivers has been a decent backup RB for them and will be used to spell KW23.
Click to expand...
Oh damn, Blake was really coming on the last 5-6 weeks finally.
 
Ravens line looks steep as it did in their last matchup and playoff Lamar has been awful but I've been on the fade Steelers bandwagon for awhile and will stay on it. Another thing to watch for; Tomlin might finally part ways with Pittsburgh after another playoff failure though thats been rumored before and that team changes coaches about once a century.
 
Brewers888 said:
Ravens line looks steep as it did in their last matchup and playoff Lamar has been awful but I've been on the fade Steelers bandwagon for awhile and will stay on it. Another thing to watch for; Tomlin might finally part ways with Pittsburgh after another playoff failure though thats been rumored before and that team changes coaches about once a century.
Click to expand...

Yeah, I see it the same way. Lamar and the Ravens on offense won’t be a smooth operation like they were inside a dome vs Texans a couple of weeks ago. But the Steelers are a 4-13 team who somehow got into the playoffs.
 
Inspekdah said:
Skins won 12 games. Bucs 10 in the horrible South.

Just playing devils advocate.

Early splits seem to be close to even or favoring Skins.
Click to expand...
Tampa is a better team.

Redskins played one of the softest schedules out there.

They played 17 games

FIVE of those were versus playoff teams.

The Eagles count for TWO, including a game where Hurts was out very early.

That's 1-1

Losses to the Steelers, Ravens and these SAME buccaneers.

That's 1-4 vs playoff and likely 0-5 if not for injury.

The 12 wins masks their real identity.

Good team, excellent turnaround..but more like a 9 win team if not for a Hoosiers like schedule.

Both teams have changed a lot since 37-20 though.

For me, this line should have opened 4.5 is all.

We'll see. I'd wouldn't be upset with a DC win
 
B.A.R. said:
Tampa is a better team.

Redskins played one of the softest schedules out there.

They played 17 games

FIVE of those were versus playoff teams.

The Eagles count for TWO, including a game where Hurts was out very early.

That's 1-1

Losses to the Steelers, Ravens and these SAME buccaneers.

That's 1-4 vs playoff and likely 0-5 if not for injury.

The 12 wins masks their real identity.

Good team, excellent turnaround..but more like a 9 win team if not for a Hoosiers like schedule.

Both teams have changed a lot since 37-20 though.

For me, this line should have opened 4.5 is all.

We'll see. I'd wouldn't be upset with a DC win
Click to expand...
Fading a rookie QB on the road is usually profitable.
 
B.A.R. said:
Tampa is a better team.

Redskins played one of the softest schedules out there.

They played 17 games

FIVE of those were versus playoff teams.

The Eagles count for TWO, including a game where Hurts was out very early.

That's 1-1

Losses to the Steelers, Ravens and these SAME buccaneers.

That's 1-4 vs playoff and likely 0-5 if not for injury.

The 12 wins masks their real identity.

Good team, excellent turnaround..but more like a 9 win team if not for a Hoosiers like schedule.

Both teams have changed a lot since 37-20 though.

For me, this line should have opened 4.5 is all.

We'll see. I'd wouldn't be upset with a DC win
Click to expand...
But I don’t think the Bucs‘ resume is impressive, either. Yes they beat Leos and Eagles. But Detroit‘s offense was in that early-season funk before the Seattle game and Eagles O was not remotely the same without AJ Brown plus it was early-season Fangio
 
wiseplayer said:
Fading a rookie QB on the road is usually profitable.
Click to expand...
QBs playing first playoff game is another angle

Also this:

“There have been 30 NFL playoff games since 2003 in which the road team won more games in the regular season. These visitors are just 14-16 SU and 11-18-1 ATS (37.9%).
It would seem that home-field advantage is heightened in the postseason. In many cases, these hosts also draw motivation from being underdogs. It’s not always the “better” team that wins, particularly early in the postseason. For 2025, we have three road teams that posted better won-lost records on wild card weekend: the Chargers, Commanders, and Vikings.”
 
wiseplayer said:
Fading a rookie QB on the road is usually profitable.
Click to expand...
Rookie QB's in the playoffs during the Super Bowl era are 6-19 SU on the road. Flacco & Sanchez account for 4 of those wins in 2008 & 2009. Rookies at home are 8-8 SU. Couldn't find the ATS info.
 
dg84 said:
Rookie QB's in the playoffs during the Super Bowl era are 6-19 SU on the road. Flacco & Sanchez account for 4 of those wins in 2008 & 2009. Rookies at home are 8-8 SU. Couldn't find the ATS info.
Click to expand...
Great stuff. I didn’t know these numbers but just through memory know rookie QBs usually don’t fair well. I’m a little hesitant to bet these 3pt road favorites also. Just seems like the Chargers line is light for this game.
 
wiseplayer said:
Great stuff. I didn’t know these numbers but just through memory know rookie QBs usually don’t fair well. I’m a little hesitant to bet these 3pt road favorites also. Just seems like the Chargers line is light for this game.
Click to expand...
We had the rookie QB discussion heavily here last year with Stroud having his great year + playoff berth.
 
Love a few props today:

Hurts u38.5 rushing - gb strong rush D and Hurts coming off concussion. I’d be shocked if he ran a bunch.

B Robinson u44.5 rush - TB strong rush D and time share with Ekeler. Expect a ceiling of 15 carries (prob more like 12) and he has worst avg yards per carry on the team.

J McMillan o4.5 receptions - Evans will get Lattimore and he has 5 receptions in each of last 4 games. Baker growing confidence in him to make plays.
 
C-MAN said:
Love a few props today:

Hurts u38.5 rushing - gb strong rush D and Hurts coming off concussion. I’d be shocked if he ran a bunch.

B Robinson u44.5 rush - TB strong rush D and time share with Ekeler. Expect a ceiling of 15 carries (prob more like 12) and he has worst avg yards per carry on the team.

J McMillan o4.5 receptions - Evans will get Lattimore and he has 5 receptions in each of last 4 games. Baker growing confidence in him to make plays.
Click to expand...
GL on the SNF game.

Routine on Hurts
 
I'll keep this simple and welcome all criticisms and answers. I have to run and wanted to get points of view here for tonight's game.

Stafford = Baker Mayfield today from my perspective. I mean that not in a derogatory fashion

Which team (including the QB) will run the ball most effectively tonite? I think that's who wins

Which team has the best pass defense?

Which team has best kicker from distance?
 
bones said:
I'll keep this simple and welcome all criticisms and answers. I have to run and wanted to get points of view here for tonight's game.

Stafford = Baker Mayfield today from my perspective. I mean that not in a derogatory fashion

Which team (including the QB) will run the ball most effectively tonite? I think that's who wins

Which team has the best pass defense?

Which team has best kicker from distance?
Click to expand...

Minny on the surface allows a ton of pass yards but they are #1 in opponents QBR.

Stafford has thrown about 10 picks last 3 weeks that always drop to the turf. Story of this guys career.
 
Who is going to run ball more effectively tonite?

I did not want to say, but I strongly lean Rams. I will not bet Vikes. I have not bet Rams and may not do so
 
Loves2kickass said:
That didn't happen in the Chargers/Texans game. I think that's more of a SB champ analogy in my opinion
Click to expand...

Of course it doesn’t happen every time. But, if you have a team with a better QB and Coach when one team has both of those qualities, you’d do pretty well picking that side every time to win the game.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

B
Week 2 picks
Replies
1
Views
93
B.A.R.
B.A.R.
B
Week 9 picks
Replies
1
Views
104
blackcrow
B
Big_Degenerate
NFL Thanksgiving
Replies
0
Views
80
Big_Degenerate
Big_Degenerate
L
1 Winner
Replies
2
Views
135
Loves2kickass
L
G-Man
*****G-Man's NFL Wild Card Plays*****
Replies
9
Views
619
B.A.R.
B.A.R.
Back
Top