NCAAF Week 4

CrimsonK

CrimsonK

Sid Bream Supporter
Week 0: 3-0 (+6 units)
Week 1: 28-17 (+14.90 units)
Week 2: 24-13 (+20.15 units)
Week 3: 28-15 (+21.95 units)
Overall: 83-45 (+63.00 units)

Week 4:

GOY:

NC State +19.5 @ FSU -120 (3 units)
Stanford -7 v. UCLA -110 (3 units)
Duke +8 @ UNC -120 (2 units)
Arkansas +10 v aTM -120 (1 unit)
GT -2 v. Pitt -120 (1 unit)

Should do lot better on GOY value and outcomes this week. Wish I wouldn't have been shy with GT.
 
JohnnyGambler said:
Good god man you're just killing it.:cheers3:
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Thanks, really happy with the start!

FAU +3.5 @ Buffalo +100 (1.5 units)
Utah -3.5 @ Arizona +100 (1 unit)
Wake Forest -3 @ App St -105 (1 unit)
Louisville -35 v. Kent State -110 (1 unit)
Cal +17.5 v. USC -110 (1 unit)
 
Last edited:
Good stuff Crimson. Don't know if you follow NFL, but if you get a chance check me out in the NFL forum.. have been doing pretty good on plays and would like to return the favor for your CFB knowledge.
 
GOY:

Week 7:
Utah +14 @ USC -110 (1.5 units)

Week 11:
Utah -2.5 v. Washington State -110 (2.5 units)

Week 13:
Utah -5.5 v. Colorado -110 (1 unit)
 
Love seeing you work with the GOYs, my book does not offer but love seeing the strategy. Keep it up CK! :cheers3:
 
Virginia/Boise State Under 54 -105 (1 unit)
Duke/UNC Over 60.5 -110 (1 unit)
Michigan/Purdue Under 53.5 -110 (1.5 units)
Mississippi State/UGA Under 51.5 -112 (1 unit)
FAU/Buffalo Over 52 -110 (2 units)
Washington/Colorado Under 53 -110 (1 unit)
Army/Tulane Under 51 -110 (2 units)
UAB/North Texas Over 56 -110 (1 unit)
FIU/Rice Over 51.5 -110 (1 unit)
UCLA/Stanford Under 65.5 -110 (1.5 units)
 
GOY:

NC State +19.5 @ FSU -120 (3 units)
Stanford -7 v. UCLA -110 (3 units)
Duke +8 @ UNC -120 (2 units)
Arkansas +10 v aTM -120 (1 unit)
GT -2 v. Pitt -120 (1 unit)

Utah -2.5/3.5 @ Arizona -105 (avg price) (2 units)
FAU +3.5 @ Buffalo +100 (1.5 units)
Wake Forest -3 @ App St -105 (1 unit)
Louisville -35 v. Kent State -110 (1 unit)
Cal +17.5 v. USC -110 (1 unit)

FAU/Buffalo Over 52 -110 (2 units)
Army/Tulane Under 51 -110 (2 units)
Michigan/Purdue Under 53.5 -110 (1.5 units)
UCLA/Stanford Under 65.5 -110 (1.5 units)
Virginia/Boise State Under 54 -105 (1 unit)
Duke/UNC Over 60.5 -110 (1 unit)
Mississippi State/UGA Under 51.5 -112 (1 unit)
Washington/Colorado Under 53 -110 (1 unit)
UAB/North Texas Over 56 -110 (1 unit)
FIU/Rice Over 51.5 -110 (1 unit)

Don't think I'm gonna have a ton more this week barring some major variable changes. Have a few TT that interest me and will shop the prop market as well.
 
CrimsonK said:
It stands for "Games of Year"

Sportsbook, BetUSA, 5dimes and several in Vegas
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I knew it meant game of the year. Just wondering how u for +19 for NC state. I'm on 5dimes and a couple other books but don't see these.
 
bamabradley2424 said:
I knew it meant game of the year. Just wondering how u for +19 for NC state. I'm on 5dimes and a couple other books but don't see these.
Click to expand...

I bet and posted that game on July 5th this summer. So I bet many of these GOY bets days, weeks, months in advance and post them once I do. Like in Post #9 for example, those games aren't until October or November.
 
I figured u had to bet em before the season. I was just trying to make sure lol. I just now seen the post about the games in October etc..
 
Hmm maybe I need to put some funds in my BOL account. I use 3 right now 5dimes, a kind of local o line and betus.
 
Nice work as always.

That Fau game is interesting. By the time I glanced at over the number was long gone. Buffalo has been good against the run but it will be interesting to see what they do against FAU pass attack. I suspect they are weaker at pass defense.
 
Thanks, guys. Appreciate it! Hope everyone has a great week.

Buffalo has def been pretty good against run but I think the FAU offense presents such a stylistic difference that the number just opened way too low. I also think this is an FAU offense that rates to dramatically improve over the course of the season as they adjust to the new scheme and Parr gets more reps. He was QB3 on the depth chart until game week so I think his timing and command should grow immensely. Should be plenty of pace and I think that Buffalo will actually need to go to air a bit more than they'd like because from what I've seen the FAU defense is much improved defending the run, although that won't show up in the stats - Navy and Wisconsin will do that to you.
 
Louisiana Monroe +7 @ Louisiana Lafayette -115 (1 unit)

Have three totals and one, maybe two sides I'd still kinda eyeing at current numbers. I'm a half point away on one total and hope to wake up to having the number I want. Looks like the majority of the team totals I wanted won't be the numbers I had targeted after the totals got smashed. Also, played a few long shots today to win the title:

Virginia Tech 150/1 (.10 unit)
Utah 250/1 (.10 unit)
Mississippi State 275/1 (.10 unit)
Duke 1000/1 (.05 unit)
GT 5000/1 (.10 unit)
 
Spidey sense tells me I'm not gonna get a 59 -110. Rarely pay the extra 10c and it's unwise long term but listening to my gut here.

UCF/Maryland Over 59 -120 (1 unit)
 
lumpy19 said:
CK, bookmaker has changed the pricing on buying points, it's no longer a flat 10c, I disagree with buying points but if you have to try them first
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Nice, thanks. Appreciate that. I hadn't seen it. I use BM primarily right at open and I switch to classic interface while I refresh for old time's sake then not so much after so hadnt really seen the changes they've mad but could have saved 3c.
 
vk said:
So Rypien likely a go and the total drops? What is going on there?
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Odd one, huh? I saw right when he was cleared it spiked up on BM to 54.5 for a very short time and then checked it later in evening and it was back down. There have been several totals that I would venture to say already have a lot of money invested on both sides. That one and GT/Pitt seem to have some strong opinions on both sides. Could be more but everytime I look at the screen, which is prob once an hour when I'm awake, it's dancing. If Boise and UVA OL's have improved SIGNIFICANTLY over the past few days then I can see why over is getting some action. If they haven't, I just don't see it..
 
lumpy19 said:
CK, bookmaker has changed the pricing on buying points, it's no longer a flat 10c, I disagree with buying points but if you have to try them first
Click to expand...

Wow. I did not realize that. For some reason, the bookmark I've been using is Betzone (old format) rather than Bookmaker. I thought they were still the same (mirror sites), but I guess there's a difference now.
 
booksbestfriend said:
Great prep work CK. Envy those Futures you got.
Click to expand...
Thanks BBF. Hope you have a great weekend!

More props: (Utah/Arizona)

Darren Carrington Over 5.5 catches -115 (1 unit)
Darren Carrington Over 90.5 receiving yards -115 (1 unit)

Carrington for year: 10-127 (12 targets), 7-129 (9 targets), 9-153 (11 targets)

Arizona has given up to teams' WR1 so far: 8-147, 9-59, 4-82

Carrington and Huntley make up one of most dynamic duos in CFB. Think these are bad numbers - this dude is a beast and the Rocky Mountain Mike Vick loves throwing to him!
 
You invited me to take another look at that Louisiana battle. I have been leaning dog, so will probably join you.
 
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