NCAAF Week 14

CrimsonK

CrimsonK

Sid Bream Supporter
Week 0: 3-0 (+6.00 units)
Week 1: 28-17 (+14.90 units)
Week 2: 24-13 (+20.15 units)
Week 3: 28-15 (+21.95 units)
Week 4: 20-11 (+14.50 units)
Week 5: 18-12 (+8.72 units)
Week 6: 20-14 (-7.75 units)
Week 7: 24-8 (+26.40 units)
Week 8: 16-17 (+1.50 units)
Week 9: 13-16 (-3.18 units)
Week 10: 16-16 (-0.95 units)
Week 11: 18-13 (+1.02 units)
Week 12: 20-15 (+5.05 units)
Week13: 16-9 (+8.10 units)
Overall: 264-176 (+116.41 units)

Clemson -4.5 -115 (1 unit)

Not sure how much I'll add this week. May focus more on FCS, but I'm prob not gonna be prepared for much at open. Have some fun stuff from futures in the championships: FAU ML +950, UCF ML +2500 and Memphis ML +550, Wisconsin +700, Toledo ML +250 and App St ML +185. It's been a great season, really looking forward to the bowls.
 
I like Clemson too, and like them big. I suspect their D is going to play the best they have played since Auburn and crush Miami.

Did anyone notice that total on Memphis/UCF? 85. I can recall a total that big, and it may be bet up more. That final could easily be 70-67 or so.
 
TahoeLegend said:
I like Clemson too, and like them big. I suspect their D is going to play the best they have played since Auburn and crush Miami.

Did anyone notice that total on Memphis/UCF? 85. I can recall a total that big, and it may be bet up more. That final could easily be 70-67 or so.
Click to expand...
I remember Texas Tech and maybe Ok State last year opened 90. I could be wrong on it being those two exact teams but I saw a game open 90 on bookmaker last season. I almost bet it on principle but passed and it won, barely, IIRC?
 
CrimsonK said:
I remember Texas Tech and maybe Ok State last year opened 90. I could be wrong on it being those two exact teams but I saw a game open 90 on bookmaker last season. I almost bet it on principle but passed and it won, barely, IIRC?
Click to expand...

In the Sportsdatabase.com database there are 10 games with a total over 84.5, with the over 6-4. The game last year between Texas Tech/Ok State is listed below at 88.5, ended at 89.

upload_2017-11-27_12-3-43.png
 
Thanks, guys.

Just one more for me. I just can't pass on this situationally.

Louisiana Monroe +27 @ FSU -110 (1 unit)
 
CK are you looking at FCS playoffs this weekend? If so, I was curious about your take on South Dakota at SHSU. I noticed that SHSU is favored by 2 at 5D and was surprised that they are the favorite. Any thoughts on that game?
 
M.W. said:
What's the situational angle? The Jimbo-to-TAMU stuff?
Click to expand...
That was my angle. FSU buddy that's dialed in on FSU everything says he would take LA Monroe for sure.
But 1 thing Jimbo has a huge ego and does NOT wanna have a losing season. Players may not give two shits about sat & LA Monroe. I'm taking the points. Maybe something small on LA Monroe ML. Just my thoughts.
I am curious as to what the Great CK's thoughts are
 
Not the great CK, but I wouldn't play FSU at this number. I jumped the under on release. I would expect a 31-17 type game. Having 27 in your pocket sounds good.
 
Timh said:
CK are you looking at FCS playoffs this weekend? If so, I was curious about your take on South Dakota at SHSU. I noticed that SHSU is favored by 2 at 5D and was surprised that they are the favorite. Any thoughts on that game?
Click to expand...
Tim, I am. Took some stuff already at 5dimes but I'm going to try to wait until more shops post anything before I post anything. I have SD +2500 to win the ship, I had this one as a win for them. Like the hard nosed teams against SHSU.
 
M.W. said:
What's the situational angle? The Jimbo-to-TAMU stuff?
Click to expand...
Ya, this is just the ultimate lame duck game. I'm almost certain there was little to no preparation done this week and when gauging further motivation, do any of these FSU players want to play in the emerald nuts or weed whacker bowl? I know James, Tate and McFadden have to be thinking more about which agent to hire, not ULM and playing in some insignificant bowl game that no one cares about. Jimbo just resigned, I figured he would but honestly was partly hoping he would stay and coach and the team would be even less motivated. Perhaps the interim sparks them, he seems like a guy that could get them to play for him. ULM could give up 100 but the one thing I like about them as big dog is they can score.
 
If South Dakota is dogged again I would look to play them, just opened -4.5 in larger market, and if Kennesaw State gets back up over +10, (+7.5 now) would play them.
 
Kennesaw State +11 @ Jacksonville State -110 (1 unit)

Let me look at Barrett some more. There is definite upside with the injury possibility. Not as sweet as Kerryon Johnsons but it's an element for sure.
 
Week 0: 3-0 (+6.00 units)
Week 1: 28-17 (+14.90 units)
Week 2: 24-13 (+20.15 units)
Week 3: 28-15 (+21.95 units)
Week 4: 20-11 (+14.50 units)
Week 5: 18-12 (+8.72 units)
Week 6: 20-14 (-7.75 units)
Week 7: 24-8 (+26.40 units)
Week 8: 16-17 (+1.50 units)
Week 9: 13-16 (-3.18 units)
Week 10: 16-16 (-0.95 units)
Week 11: 18-13 (+1.02 units)
Week 12: 20-15 (+5.05 units)
Week13: 16-9 (+8.10 units)
Week 14: 4-2 (+3.80 units)
Overall: 268-178 (+120.21 units)

Week 15:

Army +6 v. Navy -110 (1.5 units)

Won't make new thread for this upcoming week but will post a new one for all my bowl picks. Already have two locked in for bowls, will move them over to the new thread when I post in next few days:

UAB +11 v. Ohio -120 (1 unit)
UAB/Ohio Under 65.5 -120 (1 unit)
 
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