NCAAF Week 10

CrimsonK

CrimsonK

Sid Bream Supporter
Week 0: 3-0 (+6 units)
Week 1: 28-17 (+14.90 units)
Week 2: 24-13 (+20.15 units)
Week 3: 28-15 (+21.95 units)
Week 4: 20-11 (+14.50 units)
Week 5: 18-12 (+8.72 units)
Week 6: 20-14 (-7.75 units)
Week 7: 24-8 (+26.40 units)
Week 8: 16-17 (+1.50 units)
Week 9: 13-16 (-3.18 units)
Overall: 194-123 (+103.19 units)

GOY:

Utah -1/2.5 v. UCLA -110 (4 units)
NC State +9.5/11.5 v. Clemson -110 (2.5 units)
Texas A&M +13.5 v. Auburn -110 (1.5 units)
South Carolina +14 v. UGA -120 (1 unit)
Florida Atlantic -3 v. Marshall -120 (1 unit)
Kentucky -2 v. Ole Miss -120 (1 unit)
 
CK, thoughts on the SCar GOY? A bit surprised to see you on that but was not sure if that was a situation where you thought we may be better than w are currently when you placed it or if you still like that number? I was expecting to see a pretty high number today.
 
ksimpsc said:
CK, thoughts on the SCar GOY? A bit surprised to see you on that but was not sure if that was a situation where you thought we may be better than w are currently when you placed it or if you still like that number? I was expecting to see a pretty high number today.
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I bet it this summer. I'm not going to have any value on it. I thought that South Carolina was going to be considerably better than they are and I certainly didn't expect UGA to be a top two team in CFB. Will likely take an L on that one. I guess UGA could be hungover and USCe sells out to stop run and wins TO battle but I wouldn't bet it on. Hoping for something like 20-7 but not overly optimistic. I imagine UGA will be closer to -21 than -14.
 
CrimsonK said:
I bet it this summer. I'm not going to have any value on it. I thought that South Carolina was going to be considerably better than they are and I certainly didn't expect UGA to be a top two team in CFB. Will likely take an L on that one. I guess UGA could be hungover and USCe sells out to stop run and wins TO battle but I wouldn't bet it on. Hoping for something like 20-7 but not overly optimistic. I imagine UGA will be closer to -21 than -14.
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yes this was my thought that it would be closer to 20 and after watching vandy get easy 6-8 yards on screens and draws I was preparing myself to lay it
 
ksimpsc said:
yes this was my thought that it would be closer to 20 and after watching vandy get east 6-8 yards on screens and draws I was preparing myself to lay it
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I would lay 14 if I could get it but don't see that being a reality. I think if I had to guess it opens like -21/45
 
That's too high. Big letdown/lookahead this week for Georgia between its two conference rivalry games. It could open as high as 20, but really would expect 17 or 18.
 
Virginia Tech +3.5 @ Miami -110 (1.5 units)
Southern Miss +10 @ Tennessee -110 (1.5 units)
Michigan State +13 v. Penn State -110 (1.5 units)
Oregon +26.5 @ Washington -110 (1.5 units)
Ole Miss +4.5 @ Kentucky -110 (1 unit)
Colorado State -2.5 @ Wyoming -115 (1 unit)
 
VirginiaCavs said:
Wow at Oregon. Isn't it a possibility that Herbert plays?
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Yes, was in full pads warming up last game. Only need one more to secure bowl so I suppose they could hold him out until after bye for Zona and Civil War but if he can go, I think he will. If I knew he was good to go I would put considerably more down but I think it's a good bet either way. Prob only need 14 points to feel pretty good about cover.
 
Looks fun, eh? Good weekend to take a hike without electronics and not come out of the woods until about midnight

CMU/WMU Under 58.5 -110 (2.5 units)
Army/Air Force Under 66.5 -110 (2.5 units)
Colorado State/Wyoming Over 46.5 -110 (2.5 units)
NIU/Toledo Under 64.5 -110 (2 units)
UCF/SMU Over 68.5 -110 (2 units)
Nevada/Boise Over 51.5 -110 (1.5 units)
Wake Forest/Notre Dame Under 60 -110 (1.5 units)
Ohio State/Iowa Under 53.5 -110 (1.5 units)
Stanford/Washington State Under 55.5 -110 (1.5 units)
Southern Miss/Tennessee Under 54 -110 (1.5 units)
WKU/Vanderbilt Over 51.5 -110 (1.5 units)
Illinois/Purdue Under 50 -110 (1 unit)
LSU/Alabama Under 51.5 -110 (1 unit)
Colorado/Arizona State Under 60 -110 (1 unit)

Army +7.5 -110 (1 unit)
 
Colorado State/Wyoming Under 51 -110 (1.5 units)

Weather pretty concerning here so really wanting to reduce my position while keeping some key numbers in play.
 
LSU would need multiple OT to get 10 :)


Side note:

I've got what I consider to be pretty credible info that Josh Rosen won't play tonight. I figured as much seeing the total drop and side climb this morning but got pretty good info shortly thereafter he won't play. So I think there is chance we see total drop bit more and this line get up closer to 10 by kick, IMO.
 
Thanks.

Utah TT 31 deserves a look.

UCLA's bad defense has been atrocious on the road giving up 49 ppg. Utah isn't your typical high-powered offense but that UCLA bunch can turn a team into one.
 
Frank Costanza said:
Thanks.

Utah TT 31 deserves a look.

UCLA's bad defense has been atrocious on the road giving up 49 ppg. Utah isn't your typical high-powered offense but that UCLA bunch can turn a team into one.
Click to expand...
Utah has been an interesting study. Really liked what they had going with Huntley early in year. He gets hurt and Williams is a fine backup but just isn't close to the athlete that Huntley is. Safe to say Huntley was rusty in first game back at ASU but was pretty good last week. I think if he rounds back into form they can hang a pretty massive number on this defense. Throw in thew fact that this place is the sneakiest HFA in CFB and UCLA is a team full of utter trash except for the first round QB, and will likely be without him, there is potential for this one to be a real walloping.
 
South Carolina +24 @ UGA -110 (1 unit)
Baylor/Kansas Over 58.5 -110 (1 unit)

Have one other I'm considering.
 
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