NCAA Week Five

SHSUHorn

Thief
NCAA CFB 2002-2003
Sides 118-88 +70.28 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2003-2004
Sides 124-103 +75.42 UNITS
Teasers/Pleasers/Parlays 1-6 +10.00 UNITS
Total 125-109 +85.42 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2004-2005
Sides 111-109 –18.18 UNITS
Player Props - 62-44 +90.10 UNITS
Teasers/Pleasers/Parlays - 7-9 +4.60 UNITS
Total 173-153 +76.52 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2005-2006
Sides 60-50 +35.26 UNITS
Player Props 40-17 +79.37 UNITS
Total 100-67 +114.63 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2006-2007
Sides 79-54 +100.01 UNITS
Player Props 55-34 +54.35 UNITS
Total 134-88 +154.36 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2007-2008
Sides 33-24 +26.50 UNITS
Player Props 10-7 –23.00 UNITS
Total 43-31 +3.50 UNITS

Future Plays

Chris Wells OVER 625.5 Rushing Yards (1 UNIT)
Chris Wells OVER 7 TDs (1 UNIT)
Jermichael Finley OVER 4 TDs (1 UNIT)
Jermichael Finley OVER 480 Passing Yards (1 UNIT)
Allen Patrick UNDER 950 Rushing Yards (1 UNIT)
Tim Tebow OVER 9.5 Rushing TDs (1 UNIT)
Quan Cosby UNDER 780 Receiving Yards (1 UNIT)
Malcolm Kelley UNDER 900 Receiving Yards (1 UNIT)


Getting beat up for the first time in awhile on my player props. Love this week side card so good luck to everyone this weekend.

WVU –7 @ South Florida (3 UNITS)

WVU will be looking for revenge here after being upset by 6 in last year’s contest due to four turnovers one of which led to fumble return for a TD and the other was on the goal line while going in for the score.

WVU is still one of the best ATS teams in the country covering 17 of its last 26 games including 9 of 11 on the road.

I see a lot of folk are calling for the upset while I think WVU will be a little more prepared and focused then last year’s contest. The key to this game won’t be the WVU offense but how much more improved the defense is this year.

I might be the only won but I like WVU by double digits here.

PSU –3 @ Illinois (5 UNITS)

Paterno has beaten the Illini in 10 of 11 meetings. PSU has also won SU 19 of the last 20 games it was the favorite.

Illinois is to one-dimensional on offense to pull out a win in this ballgame. When they do decide to finally throw Juice Williams has still been shaky completing only 55% of his passes for 94 ypg.

PSU has one of the best defenses in the country led by a superb LB corp that is going to give Juice fits. Yes Michigan won a hard fought game last week on the legs of Michael Hart but he is also one of the best RBs in the country and had to do it on 44 carries.

Also watch the return game as Illinois has one of the worst punters in the Big 10 while PSU will have electric Derrick Williams back there returning for them.

AF @ Navy –3 (4 UNITS)

Navy has covered 11 of the last 15 meetings between these two teams. Navy has also won 9 straight service academy games as well.

While both teams seem evenly matched on paper I’m giving the edge to Navy because of their dominance of the other service academies, they are at home in a huge rivalry game, and they have a ton of more weapons they can throw at AF. Navy has 6 players that have rushed for at least 175 yards or more.

Hawaii –25 @ Idaho (5 UNITS)

Hawaii is also one of the best ATS teams in the country regardless of where it plays. It also has covered 13 of the last 17 games they were a favorite.

Hawaii has beaten Idaho by a combined score of 92-10 in the last two meetings. Colt Brennan had a field day last year going 40-51 for close to 500 yards.

I expect Hawaii to pile it on even with Brennan on a gimpy ankle.

OU –22.5 @ Colorado (5 UNITS)

Going to keep riding the Sooner train until someone gets close to them (covered all 4 games so far). I’ll say it again all the talk right now is on USC vs LSU and OU right now is one the outside needing to make a statement (unfortunately I think that will come in a ass whopping put on Texas).

OU has covered 8 of its last 10 road games while CU has only covered 3 of its last 14 games they were a dog.

No one in the country right now looks as good as OU on all phases of the game. I think they crush CU here in Boulder.


UAB @ Tulsa –20.5 (5 UNITS)

UAB has a QB that stinks on offense (50% completion pct) and a defense giving up close to 500 ypg. Their lone win is vs Alcorn St.

Tulsa features one of the best QBs in the country in Paul Smith and have moved the ball pretty well even with BYU and OU on the schedule.

UAB have been prone to big plays this seasons so I expect plenty from the no-huddle attack led by Smith.

Indiana @ Iowa –11 (4 UNITS)

Big time revenge game here as Indiana upsetting Iowa sent them into their downward spiral last year after starting 5-1.

The huge mismatch here is the Iowa DL vs Indiana’s OL. QB Kellen Lewis is basically what makes this offense go as he is not only the leading passer but leading rusher as well. With Iwebema and King playing lights out up front for Iowa I don’t see how Lewis is able to pull off his magic here.

Iowa holds Indiana to a TD or less and covers this one at home.

ISU @ Nebraska -21 (4 UNITS)

Nebraska has won and covered the spread the last 7 games in Lincoln. The Cyclones have only won once in 47 years in Lincoln.

ISU finally came back down to earth after beating Iowa to lose to Toledo.

This line might be an indication of the Huskers almost losing to Ball St. which was a definite wake up call for the program. I look for them to come out much stronger and crush ISU here.

ECU @ Houston -10.5 (5 UNITS)


:cheers:
 
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Horn, everytime I read your signature I can still hear Herbstreit saying it himself. I remember laughing my ass off after he said it.

BOL, me thinks your gonna have a big week.
 
totaly in agree with you on the WV play...i dont even think this is close as WV blows them out..also like PSU and Navy plays

GL this week
 
People keep talking about how PSU is a trap game ("the line could be 6, and they'd still get a ton of PSU action," etc.), but I'm willing to get trapped. I think it's close for a while and then a turnover or two makes it 24-10 at the gun. We'll see.
 
NCAA CFB 2002-2003
Sides 118-88 +70.28 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2003-2004
Sides 124-103 +75.42 UNITS
Teasers/Pleasers/Parlays 1-6 +10.00 UNITS
Total 125-109 +85.42 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2004-2005
Sides 111-109 –18.18 UNITS
Player Props - 62-44 +90.10 UNITS
Teasers/Pleasers/Parlays - 7-9 +4.60 UNITS
Total 173-153 +76.52 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2005-2006
Sides 60-50 +35.26 UNITS
Player Props 40-17 +79.37 UNITS
Total 100-67 +114.63 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2006-2007
Sides 79-54 +100.01 UNITS
Player Props 55-34 +54.35 UNITS
Total 134-88 +154.36 UNITS

NCAA CFB 2007-2008
Sides 33-24 +26.50 UNITS
Player Props 10-7 –23.00 UNITS
Total 43-31 +3.50 UNITS

Hawaii –25 @ Idaho (5 UNITS)

Hawaii is also one of the best ATS teams in the country regardless of where it plays. It also has covered 13 of the last 17 games they were a favorite.

Hawaii has beaten Idaho by a combined score of 92-10 in the last two meetings. Colt Brennan had a field day last year going 40-51 for close to 500 yards.

I expect Hawaii to pile it on even with Brennan on a gimpy ankle.



:cheers:

Boy, tough one here:)
HawaiiGuy doesn't figure his boys will cover this game


GL
 
I especially like Tulsa, but I am not crazy about Hawaii covering a 25 pt spread when USC only beat Idaho by 28 pts. Regardless, GL and congratulations on your first black chick.
:tiphat:
 
Horny,

Im thinking about Aggy -17. Fran's on the hot seat. J-Lane was give like 1 carry last week vs. the Canes. Aggy nation in an uproar because they realize they suck. I usually fade A&M, but this is a good spot; home game @ Kyle Field and a real rivalry game since no one in the Big 12 South is on A&M's level except for BU.

What are your thoughts on this game?

(Disclaimer: attempts to make fun of aggie were just a joke. Don't get your panties in a wad, A&M fans.)
 
Always like your plays. Gotta go against ya on AF/Navy though. Like Neb, PSU, Tulsa, and might take WVU. I still can't believe that you didn't win the Chase Daniel prop bet a few weeks ago. I three bet that one at -180. that was such a joke that MU kept running clock and playing a deep soft zone in the 4th q. They could've easily put it away by running some o and scoring again. That was the poker equivalent of an one outer on the river. GL this week
 
Horny,

Im thinking about Aggy -17. Fran's on the hot seat. J-Lane was give like 1 carry last week vs. the Canes. Aggy nation in an uproar because they realize they suck. I usually fade A&M, but this is a good spot; home game @ Kyle Field and a real rivalry game since no one in the Big 12 South is on A&M's level except for BU.

What are your thoughts on this game?

(Disclaimer: attempts to make fun of aggie were just a joke. Don't get your panties in a wad, A&M fans.)

I stay away from this game just because Baylor has been playing Aggie tough. They usually role into this game with a little more confidence.

Which is pretty sad.
 
Slaton -60.5 Rushing Yards vs Ford (-150) (3 UNITS)

Either team will score in the first 5 1/2 minutes of game (4 UNITS)
 
GL Horn - Looking for you to bounce back strong on the player props (your bread and butter). GL on the weekend!
 
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