S
signalcaller
Guest
7-8-1 Overall
0-4 on half plays
2-0 on Totals
Not the Saturday I was hoping for to start the season but still on the positive side of the units with FSU and FSU under pending so it cant be all that bad. Hopefully we get some better results for Week 2 and discussion is always welcomed.
Penn State -16.5 (4 units) WIN
Damn, I wish I could have got this play at 11, shit I still woul have pounded it at 13 but this was some crazy line movement and congrats to all who got it at below 2Td's. Maybe it will go back down with all the Domer backers but it wont see 14.5 again so might as well get it now before it gets to 17. Notre Dame last week showed they a. have no viable option at the most important position on offense QB. Starter Demetrius Jones didnt last long. He was 1/3 with a fumble. Sharpley was the most impressive going 10/13 so I could see him being the starter in Happy Valley. However Clausen showed hes got some major talent with a rocket arm. Hes still a true frosh though and almost never do True frosh QB's come in and make an immediate impact. Clausen might see some PT though depending on the situation. Defense is even a bigger question though for ND. They allowed 6 yards a rush against GT. 260 total rushing yards and 196 to Choice. ND new 3-4 didnt turn out very well for them. Inexperienced group. Scott should be able to get some good YPC against this front 7. For some reason ND tries to sneak an eigth into the box, PSU should be able to make em pay. IMO Morelli is a whole different QB this year. He improved as the year went on last year and everything I have read so far this year has been positive. They might be able to burn ND secondary for some big plays with Williams and Butler. Zbikowski is a statue back there and often gets beat by the big play. This could be the worst ND team in a while. And IMO Happy Valley is easily the best homefield in the Big 10. Worth 4-5 points in itself maybe more. Great student section and a revenge game after the Irish put a whooping on PSU last year.
Prediction
Penn State 38
Notre Dame 14
Rutgers -14.5 (3 units) WIN
Ray Rice proved hes for real even if it was against Buffalo. When you get 7 yards a rush I dont care who its against, its damn impressive. And surprisingly Teel was very impressive completing on 16 of 23. Buffallo isnt a very good barometer to judge how good a team is but they seemed impressive. That defense stuffed the run alllowing only 2.1 a carry. Seeing thats what Navy is all about could see them struggling to get an effective run game going. Even though Temple seems to be better this year they are still sort of Temple. They surprisingly got some good yardage against Navy and even made some sort of a game out of it trailing 14-10 at one point midway through the 3rd. Im hoping Rice and Teel provide a good one 2 punch to provide some big numbers against what seems to be a below average Navy D.
Rutgers 31
Navy 14
Iowa -22 (2 units)
What did I learn on Friday? Syracuse still sucks. UDub came into their house and destroyed them. Washington ran up and down the field vs the Orange and I can honestly see Albert Young breaking the 200 maybe even the 230 mark. Christinsen didnt play great against NIU going 12/29 but every week he should improve. And hell they shouldnt even need to pass at all this week. Pound the ball down the Orange throat and you should be able to score at will.
Iowa 31
Syracuse 7
Washington State -13.5 (2 units)
I was very surprised they came into Camp Randall and drove up and down the field as easy as they did. Alex Brink is a very underrated QB. Hes got a good arm, makes good decisions and can take off and run for a first down at any time. They also had some success on the ground as Tardy racked up 96 yards and Brink had some success taking off. The only thing that scares me is their pass defense. Its horrible. Donovan killed them with 284 and a very high completion percentage. They got some new DBs out there including one who made his debut against Wisconsin and got torched repeatedly. SD State makes its season debut so they could be a little rusty. Cougars also held PJ Hill down and had a very good day defending the run. If you can do it against Wisconsin you can do it against almost anyone. SD State will have to put the ball in the air if they want to stay close.
Washington St. 34
SD State 17
Mizzu -6 (2 units) WIN
Kentucky -14 (2 units) WIN
Florida -25.5 (1 unit) WIN
Hawaii -28 (1 unit) LOSS
PSU/ND over 44 (1 unit) LOSS
West Virginia -25 (2 units) PUSH
See BAR thread. Hes got a great writeup
Miami FL +11 (1 Unit) LOSS
Following Rexy and Mags on this one. Led me to the money last week with the U hopefully it can happen again.
0-4 on half plays
2-0 on Totals
Not the Saturday I was hoping for to start the season but still on the positive side of the units with FSU and FSU under pending so it cant be all that bad. Hopefully we get some better results for Week 2 and discussion is always welcomed.
Penn State -16.5 (4 units) WIN
Damn, I wish I could have got this play at 11, shit I still woul have pounded it at 13 but this was some crazy line movement and congrats to all who got it at below 2Td's. Maybe it will go back down with all the Domer backers but it wont see 14.5 again so might as well get it now before it gets to 17. Notre Dame last week showed they a. have no viable option at the most important position on offense QB. Starter Demetrius Jones didnt last long. He was 1/3 with a fumble. Sharpley was the most impressive going 10/13 so I could see him being the starter in Happy Valley. However Clausen showed hes got some major talent with a rocket arm. Hes still a true frosh though and almost never do True frosh QB's come in and make an immediate impact. Clausen might see some PT though depending on the situation. Defense is even a bigger question though for ND. They allowed 6 yards a rush against GT. 260 total rushing yards and 196 to Choice. ND new 3-4 didnt turn out very well for them. Inexperienced group. Scott should be able to get some good YPC against this front 7. For some reason ND tries to sneak an eigth into the box, PSU should be able to make em pay. IMO Morelli is a whole different QB this year. He improved as the year went on last year and everything I have read so far this year has been positive. They might be able to burn ND secondary for some big plays with Williams and Butler. Zbikowski is a statue back there and often gets beat by the big play. This could be the worst ND team in a while. And IMO Happy Valley is easily the best homefield in the Big 10. Worth 4-5 points in itself maybe more. Great student section and a revenge game after the Irish put a whooping on PSU last year.
Prediction
Penn State 38
Notre Dame 14
Rutgers -14.5 (3 units) WIN
Ray Rice proved hes for real even if it was against Buffalo. When you get 7 yards a rush I dont care who its against, its damn impressive. And surprisingly Teel was very impressive completing on 16 of 23. Buffallo isnt a very good barometer to judge how good a team is but they seemed impressive. That defense stuffed the run alllowing only 2.1 a carry. Seeing thats what Navy is all about could see them struggling to get an effective run game going. Even though Temple seems to be better this year they are still sort of Temple. They surprisingly got some good yardage against Navy and even made some sort of a game out of it trailing 14-10 at one point midway through the 3rd. Im hoping Rice and Teel provide a good one 2 punch to provide some big numbers against what seems to be a below average Navy D.
Rutgers 31
Navy 14
Iowa -22 (2 units)
What did I learn on Friday? Syracuse still sucks. UDub came into their house and destroyed them. Washington ran up and down the field vs the Orange and I can honestly see Albert Young breaking the 200 maybe even the 230 mark. Christinsen didnt play great against NIU going 12/29 but every week he should improve. And hell they shouldnt even need to pass at all this week. Pound the ball down the Orange throat and you should be able to score at will.
Iowa 31
Syracuse 7
Washington State -13.5 (2 units)
I was very surprised they came into Camp Randall and drove up and down the field as easy as they did. Alex Brink is a very underrated QB. Hes got a good arm, makes good decisions and can take off and run for a first down at any time. They also had some success on the ground as Tardy racked up 96 yards and Brink had some success taking off. The only thing that scares me is their pass defense. Its horrible. Donovan killed them with 284 and a very high completion percentage. They got some new DBs out there including one who made his debut against Wisconsin and got torched repeatedly. SD State makes its season debut so they could be a little rusty. Cougars also held PJ Hill down and had a very good day defending the run. If you can do it against Wisconsin you can do it against almost anyone. SD State will have to put the ball in the air if they want to stay close.
Washington St. 34
SD State 17
Mizzu -6 (2 units) WIN
Kentucky -14 (2 units) WIN
Florida -25.5 (1 unit) WIN
Hawaii -28 (1 unit) LOSS
PSU/ND over 44 (1 unit) LOSS
West Virginia -25 (2 units) PUSH
See BAR thread. Hes got a great writeup
Miami FL +11 (1 Unit) LOSS
Following Rexy and Mags on this one. Led me to the money last week with the U hopefully it can happen again.
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