Eastern Michigan +21: Just love the eagles in this spot catching MN off a thrilling come from behind win that they had no business winning. 4 turnovers for NE, many in the scoring zone. what would this spread be if NE takes care of business and wins by 2-3 scores like they should have...-14 or so? Love the Eagles to muddy this game up and just lurk in the late stages, keeping the score close. I am concerned that they could not stop the run game against howard, but MN didnt gash all that much and their QB play was horrific until the last 5 minutes. EMU has made hay as big underdogs in the past and with MN in a Nebraska, UNC sandwich, this is a great spot to catch the eagles at their best, as a big dog. 34-21
Syracuse: this is a big WMU fade. they are down this year any way (we have WMU under 4.5 RSW also) and now taking a big step up against Syracuse, after messing around and letting SFPA (a weak SFPA at that) hang around for a while. Think the cuse D will feast here and I would guess their big physical WR group finds alot of space. 41-10 Cuse
UTSA/Tex St...man the bobs played out of their mind. Baylor missed chances and putzed around all game and it cost them. If you remember back to my RSW/Futures Card that i posted back in the summer, we took the bobs to win the SBC at 80/1...now down to 10/1, not going to overreact over one game, but if they win this game at UTSA, max play the conference futures because they are going to really compete in league play and hopefully get that elusive first bowl appearance. I see Both teams having success, and hope UTSA comes out with piss and vineager in their veins after gift wrapping and bow tieing the houston game (2nd year in a row) costing the Duck big money on a huge swing game. Frank Harris looked rattled, but Hope the friendly alamo dome confines and a weaker pass rush can have him finding guys open downfield...back and forth game, 42-41 someone wins.
tulane/ole miss: Tulane showed up and smashed south ala in the mouth, maybe the jags are not all they are cracked up to be, maybe the wave is really good again this year. maybe both. all I know is that they should get big chunk plays and so should ole miss. maybe tulane is a lil too jacked for this one early, wouldnt suprise me to see them down 21-0 early and battle back. Ill take over in this one. 44-38
Air force- ho hom dick around and take care of business win against Bobby Mo...could have been 84-0 but they took their 1st platoon out at half...now they travel to houston (nuetral site game) against the Kats...what a gutty performance they had against BYU. Defense came to play, and really brought it....are their defense that good, or is byu lost offensively? or both? Kats couldnt move it all game, missed out on their one chance in the RZ, and had a blocked FG returned for a TD called back that would have made it 7-7 in the 4th...as is the game was 7-0 deep in the 4th and the +24, +23, +22, +19 or whatever else you bet them at was never in question. now...off a huge physically exhausting performance where the offense did nothing, now they have to prepare for the AF triple in a spot where AF was able to coast....yeah I dont think this will end up well for SHSU and the books dont eather, given that they posted -17 on open (bet down quickly) and a total of 36.5...seems like they dont have confidence in the kats to score more than 7-10 points. I did buy a point on this game at heritage for reduced juice to get under 2 TDs here but I think AF triple option might be humming in this one, and SHSU might be a little lost after the max effort they gave last week. Flyboys- 27-7
UTEP ML...gut play. books saw what I saw from NW...no pass rush, defense a step slow, offense did nothing. 5 FD until the last 5 minutes of garbage time. fake punt didnt work. reverse pass didnt work, run game was woeful...pass game was equally bad. now they have to face big, physical UTEP who cruised against vaunted UIW (and covered) and we are a few bad (like, inexcusably bad) coaching playcalls away from UTEP being 2-0 and crusing to a RSW o5.5 (which we are holding)...books know what they saw, Ill side with them in this one and back the miners to make history and beat a B10 team for the first time in how long?? 16-10, Miners
APP state- maybe a bit of line overreaction due to NC blitzing past sou carolina who could not establish the run, but that UNC D is still bad and this is appy state. the book on them is that their starting QB went out, but the back up played better anyway and they run the ball with 22 personnel 66% of the time anyway. I think this line is too big. App should compete in this game like they did last year. maybe slow the pace, control possessions, and lean into that run game to get the cover. 35-20
FAU- How in the world is Ohio going to trot Rourke out there in a meaningless Non-Con spot before they host iowa state. if he was ready to go, he wouldnt have left the opener after 2 drives, and sat out against LIU-Post. I could be wrong, and this is a guess, but I cannot imagine they roll him out at FAU on the road even if he is marginally doing better, as they have revenge embarrassment game hosting Iowa state and then MAC play, I cannot see him playing and their is a huge drop off in talent difference as we have all seen. i mean they only scored 27 against LIU...not going to be good here, and once he is confirmed out this line will balloon to -7.5 or higher. Im getting in now. if he plays, he plays but I cannot see it. 31-12, Owls
California- man they looked great in the opener. back and forth for a while but their offense is going to be a problem for numerous P12 teams...great QB play by both 1st and 2nd string QBs, starter was banged up Ill have to check the status, but I am locking in on some +7 that is a LONG roady for Auburn fresh off a UMASS waxing...big step up here. should be points galore, and I give cal a punchers chance at the end.
UNT- faded them last week, but totally different animal this week. FIU we all saw them and their 4 pass yards against La Tech, well this week they had 6 rush yards against the stingy black bear Maine Defensive front 7, and won 14-12 never threatening to cover -13,14,15. Maine had 5 drives inside the FIU 40 yard line that resulted in 0 points. 3 SOD 4th down fails (one at the 6 yard line), a missed FG, a fumble on the 24 and End of the 1st half, they were throwing into the endzone. maine had more yards, more total yards, dominated the TOP, FIU had 3 turnovers. just dont see a team ready to compete as FIU hasnt improved...physiologically they get the Mouse off their back by getting a win, but i think they get blitzed this week. 38-13 Mean Joe Greenes
