NBA, Week 11...

[brewers7]

Week 11:

Noticed my #1 records were not updated. They are fixed now.

37-22 (regular season), +$1280.

Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-4
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 43-23-2
#1 Totals: 41-26-1

Picks

Sides: (1) Mil, (2) Mem, (3) Bkn, (4) Det, (5) Den, (6) Sac, (7) Orl, (8) Dal

Totals: (1) Det ov, (2) Dal ov, (3) Bkn ov, (4) Mil ov, (5) Mem ov, (6) Orl un, (7) Den un, (8) Sac ov

Thoughts: Top plays cooling off slightly and I am 0-2-1 with my last three #1 Sides, so maybe I will not make any official plays until I see a “W” with my #1’s. However, I do like my top side and top 3 totals. All 4 picks are automatic/default picks because they are all chart-plays. The Bulls had their C9 snapped last time out at Boston as the Celtics had a revenge spot from against Chicago due to the Bulls blowing them out at Chicago 108-85 just 12 days prior to the Celtics returning the favor 117-92 at Boston their last game. So we have a strong chart-play to fade Chicago here and add to that a revenge spot for Milwaukee as they just lost to Chicago themselves 11 days ago 115-109 at home. So the Bucks get another crack at them at home in a revenge spot with a chart-play against the Bulls. Fairly strong spot for the Bucks. But man, I hate laying 6.5 with this Milwaukee team. Not an official play, but it probably should be. Same with my top 3 totals as they are all chart-plays to the Over. Indiana at Detroit is the best play of those 3, in my estimation.

If I have an official play, I will post it. Maybe I can muster up a second-half play tonight for the first time in forever. If the Bucks are losing a the half, I will undoubtedly take them in the 2H as long as Giannis Antetokounmpo is playing and that is another point I need to make here. Make sure Antetokounmpo is playing tonight before betting the game. He is listed as probable, which usually means he will play. I may take Milwaukee 1Q or 1H. Need to check the Bucks ATS records for both since I have that updated now.

 

[B.A.R.]

:shake:

 

[brewers7]

Milwaukee Bucks -6.5, 2H, laying $110 to win $100

GL...

 

[brewers7]

37-23 (regular season), +$1170.

Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 43-24-2
#1 Totals: 41-27-1


Picks

Sides: (1) OKC, (2) Cha, (3) Was, (4) Mem, (5) NO, (6) Chi, (7) Den, (8) Dal, (9) Uta, (10) Sac

Totals: (1) Was ov, (2) Uta un, (3) NO un, (4) OKC ov, (5) Den ov, (6) Mem un, (7) Sac ov, (8) Chi ov, (9) Dal un, (10) Cha ov


Thoughts: After a good run of about 8+ weeks, the cold spell has moved in like the artic weather in the northeast. My plays/bets have gone cold and the #1 picks are going cold. The chart-plays got demolished last night. Milwaukee got demolished in the 4Q last night, too. Probably no bets for me until I see signs of a turnaround in my #1 picks and top picks overall. Maybe I will go to 2H plays, but I need to see some more wins there in my practice picks, too.

 

[brewers7]

37-23 (regular season), +$1170.

Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 44-24-2
#1 Totals: 41-28-1


Picks

Sides: (1) Min, (2) Phi, (3) SA, (4) Orl, (5) Bos

Totals: (1) Min ov, (2) SA ov, (3) Phi un, (4) Orl ov, (5) Bos un

Thoughts: I do not like much tonight at all other than my top total and my totals are fading fast. Going to take it easy until I start seeing the boards better. My Sides were good last night, so let’s see if those keep doing ok.

 

[tuck321]

Lean opposite, lean opposite, Lean on. Hard to say I would like to like Orlando but Detroit had a laughter last game and everyone is rested. Boston Houston is a total mystery GL
Might have small money on Portland and Spurs

 

[brewers7]

37-23 (regular season), +$1170.

Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 44-25-2
#1 Totals: 41-29-1


Picks

Sides: (1) OKC, (2) Chi, (3) Mia, (4) Sac, (5) LAC, (6) Atl, (7) Cha, (8) Dal, (9) Was

Totals: (1) OKC un, (2) Chi un, (3) Atl ov, (4) Cha ov, (5) Sac un, (6) Mia un, (7) LAC un, (8) Was un, (9) Dal un

Thoughts: #1 picks are the only 2 I like, so hopefully they can win and break a cold spell. I am going to be conservative with plays until I see those turn around or see a play I absolutely love.

 

[tuck321]

Miami is a great Days play. OKC is definitely going well but playing off a great player.

 

[B.A.R.]

37-23 (regular season), +$1170.

Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 44-25-2
#1 Totals: 41-29-1


Picks

Sides: (1) OKC, (2) Chi, (3) Mia, (4) Sac, (5) LAC, (6) Atl, (7) Cha, (8) Dal, (9) Was

Totals: (1) OKC un, (2) Chi un, (3) Atl ov, (4) Cha ov, (5) Sac un, (6) Mia un, (7) LAC un, (8) Was un, (9) Dal un

Thoughts: #1 picks are the only 2 I like, so hopefully they can win and break a cold spell. I am going to be conservative with plays until I see those turn around or see a play I absolutely love.

:shake:

 

[brewers7]

37-23 (regular season), +$1170.

Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 44-26-2
#1 Totals: 42-29-1


Picks

Sides: (1) Atl, (2) SA, (3) Orl, (4) NO, (5) Uta, (6) Mem, (7) Den

Totals: (1) Uta ov, (2) NO ov, (3) Atl un, (4) Orl un, (5) Den ov, (6) SA un, (7) Mem un

Thoughts: Another late scratch affected a #1 pick on the side with Paul George being scratched for OKC last night. That scratch did not affect the total pick as George is a very good defender. Anyway. On to today, Atlanta is 6-1-1 ATS on back-enders and 5-3 to the Under in that spot. Not too crazy about this board.

 

[brewers7]

37-23 (regular season), +$1170.

Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 45-26-2
#1 Totals: 42-30-1


Picks

Sides: (1) Hou, (2) Cha, (3) Phi, (4) Sac, (5) Dal, (6) Min, (7) Chi, (8) Bkn

Totals: (1) Mem un, (2) Bkn un, (3) Cha ov, (4) Dal un, (5) Min un, (6) Phi ov, (7) Chi un, (8) Hou un

Thoughts: Houston would be a play but Harden is questionable. If he plays, I will bet it. Ball still out for the Lakers. Houston has a revenge spot here as Los Angeles just beat the rockets at Houston 11 days ago, which started the Rockets current 5-game losing streak. If Harden plays, I would expect a 20+ point win here. Memphis is at Sacramento as these 2 teams are ranked 30 and 29, respectively in Pace this season. The only reason I am not betting this game is because I watched almost the entire Memphis game last night at Golden State and the Warriors color announcer said that the interim Memphis coach wants the Grizzlies to play faster. The pace of that game last night despite the 269 points was only 96.2, but both teams shot lights out from the field and especially behind the arc last night. I do not like much else other than Charlotte. I think I have too many Unders selected. We shall see.

 

[Eazyduzit]

Nice work this year, man. I’ve been following your picks and recently became a fellow capper after a 10 year hiatus.

 

[brewers7]

Nice work this year, man. I’ve been following your picks and recently became a fellow capper after a 10 year hiatus.

Thank you....Hopefully today is the day I break out of this week-long slump...Are you going to post at all?....best of luck to you with your capping and your bets.....


37-23 (regular season), +$1170.

Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 45-27-2
#1 Totals: 42-31-1

Picks

Sides: (1) Mil, (2) LAL, (3) Bkn, (4) Chi

Totals: (1) Mil un, (2) LAL ov, (3) Bkn ov, (4) Chi un

Thoughts: Once again, we have the “Eliminated from the playoffs revenge angle” in play here, an angle that states that a team (Bucks) who were eliminated from the playoffs the season before by their opponent (Raptors) and this is the first time they are playing this season, which gives Milwaukee a strong revenge angle. This angle was 2-1 on Christmas and should have been 3-0 had they called an obvious foul on Durant when he hacked Lebron twice on a drive to the hoop very late in the game. Milwaukee a strong chart-play to the under and Toronto has 4 straight Unders at home.

The Lakers are only 2-5 ATS in back-enders and are coming off a double-OT game at Houston last night where a few of their starters played heavy minutes, but Minnesota has a penchant for giving away leads at home and allowing back-door covers this season. The Lakers may have found something after moving Julius Randle to the starting center spot the last 2 games. Randle has responded with 18 points and 7 boards against the Clippers and 29 points, 15 boards and 6 assists before fouling out against Houston Sunday night. Los Angeles could back-door this number. Lakers over 4 straight games now, too.

The Bulls have been incredible since Nikola Mirotić returned to the team to make his 2017-18 debut after getting in a fight with teammate Bobby Portis in the preseason. Chicago has gone 10-3 straight-up and 12-1 ATS since his return. The Bulls were 3-20 without Mirotec before his return. If Damian Lillard does not pay again tonight, then I like the Bulls as they are 6-0 SU and ATS at home since Mirotec returned. Lillard is a game-time decision for Portland with a hamstring issue. I also believe if Lillard plays, this game goes Over and if he does not, it stays Under.

I actually like this board, but with the way it has gone the last week, I may stay on the sidelines in terms of making bets until I see some winners with my #1 picks.

 

[Eazyduzit]

Thank you....Hopefully today is the day I break out of this week-long slump...Are you going to post at all?....best of luck to you with your capping and your bets.....


37-23 (regular season), +$1170.

Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 45-27-2
#1 Totals: 42-31-1

Picks

Sides: (1) Mil, (2) LAL, (3) Bkn, (4) Chi

Totals: (1) Mil un, (2) LAL ov, (3) Bkn ov, (4) Chi un

Thoughts: Once again, we have the “Eliminated from the playoffs revenge angle” in play here, an angle that states that a team (Bucks) who were eliminated from the playoffs the season before by their opponent (Raptors) and this is the first time they are playing this season, which gives Milwaukee a strong revenge angle. This angle was 2-1 on Christmas and should have been 3-0 had they called an obvious foul on Durant when he hacked Lebron twice on a drive to the hoop very late in the game. Milwaukee a strong chart-play to the under and Toronto has 4 straight Unders at home.

The Lakers are only 2-5 ATS in back-enders and are coming off a double-OT game at Houston last night where a few of their starters played heavy minutes, but Minnesota has a penchant for giving away leads at home and allowing back-door covers this season. The Lakers may have found something after moving Julius Randle to the starting center spot the last 2 games. Randle has responded with 18 points and 7 boards against the Clippers and 29 points, 15 boards and 6 assists before fouling out against Houston Sunday night. Los Angeles could back-door this number. Lakers over 4 straight games now, too.

The Bulls have been incredible since Nikola Mirotić returned to the team to make his 2017-18 debut after getting in a fight with teammate Bobby Portis in the preseason. Chicago has gone 10-3 straight-up and 12-1 ATS since his return. The Bulls were 3-20 without Mirotec before his return. If Damian Lillard does not pay again tonight, then I like the Bulls as they are 6-0 SU and ATS at home since Mirotec returned. Lillard is a game-time decision for Portland with a hamstring issue. I also believe if Lillard plays, this game goes Over and if he does not, it stays Under.

I actually like this board, but with the way it has gone the last week, I may stay on the sidelines in terms of making bets until I see some winners with my #1 picks.

I started posting yesterday. Went 6-0 in the NFL! 1-1 today in CFB. I’ll start posting NBA and CBB picks soon...