SF_capper
CTG addict
3-2
+1.28 units
-started new recod yesterday as I decided imma flat bet. not too much of a rip as I had a pretty good record going and was definitely +, but having 4 unit plays on the same day as 30 unit plays, imo will not work for me
I'll likely not play any full games, but its a short card so Ill give a couple thoughts
Wash should win 2night. I hate betting against lebron off a loss, but the cleveland team is too shorthanded to do anything. lebron played all but 2 minutes in the 2nd Q yesterday. I watched the full game, and Cleveland looked really bad. no hustle whatsoever, and most of it was just lebron. they got lucky (and I got lucky w cavs 2nd H) that devin brown and damon jones knocked down the 3s, but really, you cannot expect devin brown to go 4-4 from 3 or 4-8 from damon jones again. the offense is ugly as theres not much ball moevement, and was mostly lebron getting the ball near half court with 10 seconds to go, and sometimes got a layup/drive n dish. their defense looked even worse, and made NJ offense looked better than most teams. Sasha Pav is not ready yet, and there is no1 off the bench with the injuries. really if you think about it: boobie, ben and z out. thats 3 starters. they'll likely be giving points on the road to the unsexy wash wizards. Im thinkin of waiting and possibly getting wash 2nd H hoping they're down 7 at HT. will post if I do play anything. caron should at least hold lebron to his averages, and I don't see any1 else stepping up esp on the b2b where every1 thatll play 2day logged too many minutes yesterday
Sac and Portland. Portland in 5th in 7, the 4/5 all pretty close games hwere players had to duke it out. I like the matchups for Sac, the home team in this one, but was hoping for +money. May still lay the chalk, gotta think. Artest prolly mad he had to sit out end of laker game. Hawes looked real good on both sides. Roy should have it hard with Artest on him, and Salmons to spell. Roy has problems with Artest on him. This Sac team is motivated to make it to .500, and really have more talent (udrih, Martin, Artest, Miller, Salmons, Garcia, Moore) , imo, than portland. Brad Miller was called out and should respond well. Moore is an underrated defender and should do well w Hawes on Aldridge who doesn't really band anyway. Artest should hold his own against Roy, and won't need the help, as Portland shooters get open off double teams on Roy. I would be worried about a flat spot off upset, but they've had many days to calm down and prep.
GS and Phoenix, eh. I wanna watch first. I think 2:1 should be good value for GS, as I say this game is a tossup. imo, shaq will not play many minutes, as GS will make him useless, so it'll be old phoenix - Marion. GS on ML looks good, but they had to log too minutes yesterday, and Phoenix has revenge. matchup wise tho, Baron owns Nash, and Monta owns whoever on Phoenix. Pietrus is playin real well. If shaq plays, he'll get a lot of turnovers which will lead to the break
so leans are:
Sac- don't trust layin chalk with em. maybe hope for HT down, then 5/7 portland legs come in 2nd H)
Wash (might wait for HT and hope to get 8+)
GS (might wait for HT to get 8+)
thoughts?
2nd H Washington -4
Golden St +7.5 -105
Golden St ML +310
Golden St 2nd H +7 (-120)
1-3
-2.2 units
4-5
-.92
+1.28 units
-started new recod yesterday as I decided imma flat bet. not too much of a rip as I had a pretty good record going and was definitely +, but having 4 unit plays on the same day as 30 unit plays, imo will not work for me
I'll likely not play any full games, but its a short card so Ill give a couple thoughts
Wash should win 2night. I hate betting against lebron off a loss, but the cleveland team is too shorthanded to do anything. lebron played all but 2 minutes in the 2nd Q yesterday. I watched the full game, and Cleveland looked really bad. no hustle whatsoever, and most of it was just lebron. they got lucky (and I got lucky w cavs 2nd H) that devin brown and damon jones knocked down the 3s, but really, you cannot expect devin brown to go 4-4 from 3 or 4-8 from damon jones again. the offense is ugly as theres not much ball moevement, and was mostly lebron getting the ball near half court with 10 seconds to go, and sometimes got a layup/drive n dish. their defense looked even worse, and made NJ offense looked better than most teams. Sasha Pav is not ready yet, and there is no1 off the bench with the injuries. really if you think about it: boobie, ben and z out. thats 3 starters. they'll likely be giving points on the road to the unsexy wash wizards. Im thinkin of waiting and possibly getting wash 2nd H hoping they're down 7 at HT. will post if I do play anything. caron should at least hold lebron to his averages, and I don't see any1 else stepping up esp on the b2b where every1 thatll play 2day logged too many minutes yesterday
Sac and Portland. Portland in 5th in 7, the 4/5 all pretty close games hwere players had to duke it out. I like the matchups for Sac, the home team in this one, but was hoping for +money. May still lay the chalk, gotta think. Artest prolly mad he had to sit out end of laker game. Hawes looked real good on both sides. Roy should have it hard with Artest on him, and Salmons to spell. Roy has problems with Artest on him. This Sac team is motivated to make it to .500, and really have more talent (udrih, Martin, Artest, Miller, Salmons, Garcia, Moore) , imo, than portland. Brad Miller was called out and should respond well. Moore is an underrated defender and should do well w Hawes on Aldridge who doesn't really band anyway. Artest should hold his own against Roy, and won't need the help, as Portland shooters get open off double teams on Roy. I would be worried about a flat spot off upset, but they've had many days to calm down and prep.
GS and Phoenix, eh. I wanna watch first. I think 2:1 should be good value for GS, as I say this game is a tossup. imo, shaq will not play many minutes, as GS will make him useless, so it'll be old phoenix - Marion. GS on ML looks good, but they had to log too minutes yesterday, and Phoenix has revenge. matchup wise tho, Baron owns Nash, and Monta owns whoever on Phoenix. Pietrus is playin real well. If shaq plays, he'll get a lot of turnovers which will lead to the break
so leans are:
Sac- don't trust layin chalk with em. maybe hope for HT down, then 5/7 portland legs come in 2nd H)
Wash (might wait for HT and hope to get 8+)
GS (might wait for HT to get 8+)
thoughts?
2nd H Washington -4
Golden St +7.5 -105
Golden St ML +310
Golden St 2nd H +7 (-120)
1-3
-2.2 units
4-5
-.92
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