NBA playoffs historical data...

[brewers7]

Checking on Swede's hypothesis that the Teams that have at least 10 more wins than their opponents cover the spread in Game 1 of Round 1, I found the following data (all are ATS):

2005-06: 3-1
2004-05: 4-0
2003-04: 3-1
2002-03: 2-1
2001-02: 1-2
2000-01: 0-2
1999-00: 1-2
1998-99: 1-0
1997-98: 3-3
1996-97: 2-2
1995-96: 5-0
1994-95: 5-1
1993-94: 3-1
1992-93: 3-2
1991-92: 3-2
1990-91: 1-2-1
1989-90: 3-3
1988-89: 1-3
1987-88: 1-2-1
1986-87: 4-1
1985-86: 3-1-1

last 21 years: 52-32-3 ATS, 61.9%


Games that fit for this weekend:

Detroit vs. Orlando
Dallas vs. Golden State
Phoenix vs. L.A. Lakers
San Antonio vs. Denver

<!-- / message -->

 

[c.r.e.a.m.]

Nice info!!!

Thanks!!!

 

[anzhu]

hey steve good to see ya posting on here. we can sure use your input here for the playoffs!

 

[BetCrimes1984]

:shake:

 

[spiderman]

Get back for the playoffs! Would love to hear your analysis on the games!

 

[Billivy]

2005-06: 3-1
2004-05: 4-0
2003-04: 3-1
2002-03: 2-1

i'm more interested in the last 4 years....12-3...why? b/c there's more seperation in the league's best and worst playoff teams now

 

[smh212]

Good info, since I like to bet dogs.....certain to steer me off some of some of them on tha fav's

 

[c.r.e.a.m.]

So far, if you got Detroit -8 the first one is a push.

Anyone here thinks the other three game 1's win ATS?

 

[brewer]

c.r.e.a.m., he uses closing lines in getting these ats results.

 

[c.r.e.a.m.]

c.r.e.a.m., he uses closing lines in getting these ats results.

Ok, didn't know that. So, that's 0-1 for this trend this year. Anyone thinks the other three favorites cover tomorrow? If so, which one is the strongest play tomorrow based on this trend?

Thanks!!!

 

[brewer]

clev/wash is interesting. clev has won 50 games. wash 41. however, wash would not have 41 games w/ their current roster (no gilbert, no caron).

hmmm ....

 

[linewatcher]

i'd say, san antonio and dallas. both home teams have reason to win by DD. (they both got emabarassed by the same opponent last time out...)

 

[brewers7]

Checking on Swede's hypothesis that Elimination games go Under, I found the following data (all are ATS):

2005-06: 10-10-1 to the Under
2004-05: 13-7 to the Under
2003-04: 10-8 to the Under
2002-03: 9-14-1 to the Under
2001-02: 9-10-3 to the Under
2000-01: 7-16-1 to the Under
1999-00: 18-11-1 to the Under
1998-99: 13-7-1 to the Under
1997-98: 17-6 to the Under
1996-97: 13-12 to the Under
1995-96: 10-13-2 to the Under
1994-95: 10-12 to the Under
1993-94: 16-11-1 to the Under
1992-93: 12-10-2 to the Under
1991-92: 11-11 to the Under

last 15 years: 178-158-13 to the Under, 52.98%

<!-- / message -->

 

[brewers7]

Checking on brewers7's hypothesis that the Teams that have a 3-0 series lead will close out the series with a sweep in Game 4, I found the following data (SU & ATS):

2005-06: 1-0 SU & ATS
2004-05: 3-1 SU & ATS
2003-04: 3-0 SU & ATS
2002-03: 2-1 SU & ATS
2001-02: 1-0 SU & ATS
2000-01: 2-1 SU & ATS
1999-00: 0-2 SU & ATS
1998-99: 4-0 SU & ATS
1997-98: 1-0 SU & ATS
1996-97: 0-1 SU & ATS
1995-96: 2-2 SU & 1-3 ATS
1994-95: 1-0 SU & ATS
1993-94: 0-1 SU & 1-0 ATS
1992-93: 1-0 SU & ATS
1991-92: 0-0
1990-91: 1-0 SU & ATS
1989-90: 0-0
1988-89: 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS
1987-88: 0-0
1986-87: 1-1 SU & ATS
1985-86: 1-1 SU & ATS

last 21 years: 28-10 SU, 73.68% & 27-11 ATS, 71.05%


Obviously the Pistons and Bulls fit this criteria SAT and SUN, respectively...
<!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->

 

[Pyppurs]

Bump for playoffs

 

[brewer]

good bump. someone figure out what the plays are. im assuming they all come from the east. too lazy to look myself. breakfast more important at this point.

 

[flypped_out]

Games that fit the at least 10 more wins rule:

Boston vs. Atlanta
Detroit vs. Philly

* possibly Orlando vs. Toronto (Orlando has exactly 10 more wins with 1 game left for both teams tonight)

 

[linewatcher]

orlando just qualified...

i'm playing boston and detroit myself (whatever the number)...

 

[playtowin]

Re the Teams that have at least 10 more wins than their opponents cover the spread in Game 1 of Round 1 stats:

For 2006-2007, this trend was 0-4 ATS (or if you got the opening line on Detroit, 0-3-1).

I'm taking as fact the teams listed above qualified. The last two on Sunday (SA and Dallas) lost SU.

 

[wizardofodd]

yea pretty much all the teams in the west will be ruled out for this system play for the 10 or more wins. wow, how close can the west get!!!