Satyr
Paster of Muppets
Skipped last night due to Easter lunch and hanging out with the family afterwards, resting and chillin'. The mass was nice as well. 
Hope you guys had a good time as well, using the time to think about things in life, and eat some ham of course. :smiley_acbe: :shake:
Monday card time! Love it! Let's get to business.
I know, the Magic cover when they win, but since there's currently a 0.24 difference between the ML and -3,5, I feel more comfortable taking the moneyline.
The reasons were mentioned all over the net by many cappers, the Magic are in the playoff hunt, they have a huge inside advantage with Howard and Milicic, slowly getting Arroyo back to the rotation, while the Bucks are depleted, in a mental knockdown, and 1-9 in last 10 games. Orlando boast horrid h2h numbers in Bradley Center, as this has been a quite home oriented series in recent past, but this is all unimportant now. The Bucks are severely undermanned, trying to end the season and already thinking about their family arrangements and golf courts.
Orlando aren't a top notch road team (far from that), but as I said this is where they step up huge, or they'll put their playoff hopes in danger, since the Pacers are only a game behind. I had this one at 6 units on Magic -3,5, but since the line is changing, and spread odds aren't as attractive as when the line opened, I'll increase the stakes and go with the ML option. If Orlando limit their turnovers and keep playing hard inside they should win this one.
Magic ML (1.62 @ Pinnacle) 8 units
The Warriors have been winning games they should have won, playing the Spurs in San Antonio isn't one of those games. They're still well in the playoff hunt and despite the fact the Clippers have the same number of wins with 2 games in hand, they're still entitled to hope, as the Clippers are no world beaters either.
Golden State are a team that picked up their game somewhere after the All Star break and Utah are completely the opposite, they had a wonderful coupld of months into the season, but since that trip to the East, they're not the same team any more (they're 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games, and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall).
The Warriors aren't a team you can count on to dominate throughout the game, but as much as they like to pack it in after halftime, Utah have been even worse. Leading up to +20 (at home) against the Sonics and losing in the end is beyond anyone's understanding right now. Similar can be said about their affair against Sacramento, they're just not much of a team right now.
The Jazzers will be without Andrei Kirilenko tonight, and he's normally been more of a defensive stopper than anything else this season, meaning they should involve Millsap more, and the game should result in a high scoring affair if you ask me.
Sloan's Jazz are notorious for their defensive side, but they've shown recently that they tend to run against teams that play fast flowing basketball. The proof to that might have been the games against the Sonics (lost 103-106), Sacto (lost 103-107). Before that they met Houston and Portland, both hard nosed, defensive sides, and both games ended in an under.
But prior to that, Wolves, Wizards and Grizzlies, they played high scoring ball (even though the game against Washington ended up under the total).
What's interesting in Utah right now, they've been dominating the boards against most of their opponents, but somehow fail to find an edge and win games using that.
With Warriors' only inside threat being Andris Biedrins, I would expect the Jazz to win the battle on the glass (last game between the teams 44-30 rebounding edge for Utah), however without Kirilenko they should engage into series of outside shots and fast breaks more often than not, so I think this one will exceed the margin.
Warriors, on the other hand, have went over the projected margin in 7 out of last 8 games.
Expecting a 116-107 kind of game here.
OVER 213.5 points (1.95 @ Pinnacle) 6 units
Golden State -5,5 (2.05 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
Can't understand this Laker love all of a sudden. They're one of (if not THE) worst post All Star teams, and they're showing it night and night out. So now they're on b2b, and playing a back end of a back to back at the heights of Denver. I'm not a trend lover (at all), but look at this:
# LAL are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
# LAL are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Is this coincidental? I think not.
Plus, the Lakers will very probably be without Kwame Brown tonight, not to mention how they play for the past few weeks, feed the ball to Kobe, that's it. I expect Phil Jackson to wake this team up just in time for the playoffs, but so far they're nothing but a good fade. Denver should take advantage of Lakers' weary legs and one dimensional game setup and cover this one.
Nuggets (-6,5) (1.95 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
That's it, I probably won't touch anything else tonight when hoops are concerned.
Good luck guys. :cheers: :shake:
Hope you guys had a good time as well, using the time to think about things in life, and eat some ham of course. :smiley_acbe: :shake: Monday card time! Love it! Let's get to business.
I know, the Magic cover when they win, but since there's currently a 0.24 difference between the ML and -3,5, I feel more comfortable taking the moneyline.
The reasons were mentioned all over the net by many cappers, the Magic are in the playoff hunt, they have a huge inside advantage with Howard and Milicic, slowly getting Arroyo back to the rotation, while the Bucks are depleted, in a mental knockdown, and 1-9 in last 10 games. Orlando boast horrid h2h numbers in Bradley Center, as this has been a quite home oriented series in recent past, but this is all unimportant now. The Bucks are severely undermanned, trying to end the season and already thinking about their family arrangements and golf courts.
Orlando aren't a top notch road team (far from that), but as I said this is where they step up huge, or they'll put their playoff hopes in danger, since the Pacers are only a game behind. I had this one at 6 units on Magic -3,5, but since the line is changing, and spread odds aren't as attractive as when the line opened, I'll increase the stakes and go with the ML option. If Orlando limit their turnovers and keep playing hard inside they should win this one.
Magic ML (1.62 @ Pinnacle) 8 units
The Warriors have been winning games they should have won, playing the Spurs in San Antonio isn't one of those games. They're still well in the playoff hunt and despite the fact the Clippers have the same number of wins with 2 games in hand, they're still entitled to hope, as the Clippers are no world beaters either.
Golden State are a team that picked up their game somewhere after the All Star break and Utah are completely the opposite, they had a wonderful coupld of months into the season, but since that trip to the East, they're not the same team any more (they're 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games, and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall).
The Warriors aren't a team you can count on to dominate throughout the game, but as much as they like to pack it in after halftime, Utah have been even worse. Leading up to +20 (at home) against the Sonics and losing in the end is beyond anyone's understanding right now. Similar can be said about their affair against Sacramento, they're just not much of a team right now.
The Jazzers will be without Andrei Kirilenko tonight, and he's normally been more of a defensive stopper than anything else this season, meaning they should involve Millsap more, and the game should result in a high scoring affair if you ask me.
Sloan's Jazz are notorious for their defensive side, but they've shown recently that they tend to run against teams that play fast flowing basketball. The proof to that might have been the games against the Sonics (lost 103-106), Sacto (lost 103-107). Before that they met Houston and Portland, both hard nosed, defensive sides, and both games ended in an under.
But prior to that, Wolves, Wizards and Grizzlies, they played high scoring ball (even though the game against Washington ended up under the total).
What's interesting in Utah right now, they've been dominating the boards against most of their opponents, but somehow fail to find an edge and win games using that.
With Warriors' only inside threat being Andris Biedrins, I would expect the Jazz to win the battle on the glass (last game between the teams 44-30 rebounding edge for Utah), however without Kirilenko they should engage into series of outside shots and fast breaks more often than not, so I think this one will exceed the margin.
Warriors, on the other hand, have went over the projected margin in 7 out of last 8 games.
Expecting a 116-107 kind of game here.
OVER 213.5 points (1.95 @ Pinnacle) 6 units
Golden State -5,5 (2.05 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
Can't understand this Laker love all of a sudden. They're one of (if not THE) worst post All Star teams, and they're showing it night and night out. So now they're on b2b, and playing a back end of a back to back at the heights of Denver. I'm not a trend lover (at all), but look at this:
# LAL are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
# LAL are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Is this coincidental? I think not.
Plus, the Lakers will very probably be without Kwame Brown tonight, not to mention how they play for the past few weeks, feed the ball to Kobe, that's it. I expect Phil Jackson to wake this team up just in time for the playoffs, but so far they're nothing but a good fade. Denver should take advantage of Lakers' weary legs and one dimensional game setup and cover this one.
Nuggets (-6,5) (1.95 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
That's it, I probably won't touch anything else tonight when hoops are concerned.
Good luck guys. :cheers: :shake:
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