redbearde
Pretty much a regular
ML dogs: 76-136, 35.85%, +13.42 units
Spreads: 155-150-13, +48.74%, +2.65 units
GJ to you fellas who saw value in the Bulls. I'm very happy I took the day off..especially with the Spurs not quite dominating......
There are some interesting games for tomorrow. The one that really sticks out to me as a good spot for chalk is the Warriors at home. They're finally healthy again, and they really showed me something against the Nuggets. There were a ridiculous number of shots the nugs missed in the 3rd, but it can't all be attributed to Carmelo not being there. The Warriors actually got on the stick on defense, and with the full bench again, they didn't get warn down with fatigue.
Against the Clippers, who have an unfortunate set of problems at Guard, they should be able to run around like their hair's on fire all evening.
Interesting trend with these two...
Home team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
More to the point, the Clippers are looking tired and in disarray (with the occasional brilliant performance by Brand, Mobley, or Maggette).
Warriors -5.5 (-110) 2 units wsex
I'm thinking in terms of a 110 - 93 sort of game here.
As for dogs...
depending on how much trouble Yao's finger, Mutombo's knee, and Tmac's shot have tomorrow, the Nets may have a decent chance of winning. The two centers are probable to play, and I've got nothing bad to say about Tmac's shot except his damnable tendency to shoot it as soon as he touches it on the offensive end.
At first glance, I thought that -6.5 for the Rockets at home was stupid-low, but after a decent size road trip (Spurs at home still required travel), they come home wounded and face Carter and Kidd. I figure if the Rockets are healthy, they'll crush the Nets. But if the finger affects Yao's shot, or if the Center lynchpins of the defense aren't able to play effectively, then I have some reservations about the Rockets winning the game. I'll keep an eye out some, but I may just not bet this game at all because of my questions...
interestingly, the Road team won and covered the last 3 between them...including the recent shellacking the Rockets gave the Nets in December. Houston won 96-71 as 4.5pt dogs on the 27th...Jersey hasn't covered their last 3 games. Hmm, probably best to either take the chalk or nothing.
Phoenix has no one on the injury list, and after almost losing last time, they may well not play the slowdown game this time in the 4th...it was when they kept up the tempo that they pulled away in OT, and I doubt they'll make that mistake again. Not the spot to take the Hornets ML...maybe as DD points if you're a serious gambling man.
The rest just look like tiny dogs so far....
You know Kobe's pissed after the suspension; I would expect him and the lakers to take their frustration out on the 76ers. It would help, of course, for the laundry list that is the Lakers' injury report to shorten up a bit.
GL today, folks.
Spreads: 155-150-13, +48.74%, +2.65 units
GJ to you fellas who saw value in the Bulls. I'm very happy I took the day off..especially with the Spurs not quite dominating......
There are some interesting games for tomorrow. The one that really sticks out to me as a good spot for chalk is the Warriors at home. They're finally healthy again, and they really showed me something against the Nuggets. There were a ridiculous number of shots the nugs missed in the 3rd, but it can't all be attributed to Carmelo not being there. The Warriors actually got on the stick on defense, and with the full bench again, they didn't get warn down with fatigue.
Against the Clippers, who have an unfortunate set of problems at Guard, they should be able to run around like their hair's on fire all evening.
Interesting trend with these two...
Home team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
More to the point, the Clippers are looking tired and in disarray (with the occasional brilliant performance by Brand, Mobley, or Maggette).
Warriors -5.5 (-110) 2 units wsex
I'm thinking in terms of a 110 - 93 sort of game here.
As for dogs...
depending on how much trouble Yao's finger, Mutombo's knee, and Tmac's shot have tomorrow, the Nets may have a decent chance of winning. The two centers are probable to play, and I've got nothing bad to say about Tmac's shot except his damnable tendency to shoot it as soon as he touches it on the offensive end.
At first glance, I thought that -6.5 for the Rockets at home was stupid-low, but after a decent size road trip (Spurs at home still required travel), they come home wounded and face Carter and Kidd. I figure if the Rockets are healthy, they'll crush the Nets. But if the finger affects Yao's shot, or if the Center lynchpins of the defense aren't able to play effectively, then I have some reservations about the Rockets winning the game. I'll keep an eye out some, but I may just not bet this game at all because of my questions...
interestingly, the Road team won and covered the last 3 between them...including the recent shellacking the Rockets gave the Nets in December. Houston won 96-71 as 4.5pt dogs on the 27th...Jersey hasn't covered their last 3 games. Hmm, probably best to either take the chalk or nothing.
Phoenix has no one on the injury list, and after almost losing last time, they may well not play the slowdown game this time in the 4th...it was when they kept up the tempo that they pulled away in OT, and I doubt they'll make that mistake again. Not the spot to take the Hornets ML...maybe as DD points if you're a serious gambling man.
The rest just look like tiny dogs so far....
You know Kobe's pissed after the suspension; I would expect him and the lakers to take their frustration out on the 76ers. It would help, of course, for the laundry list that is the Lakers' injury report to shorten up a bit.
GL today, folks.
