NBA ML dogs 2.13

[redbearde]

ML dogs: 68-118, 36.56%, +14.01 units
Spreads: 121-121-12, 47.67%, +3.61 units

Spurs -5.5 (-110)

I am a chalky square public bettor. But the Nets are going to have to play against solid defense for the first time in an awful lot of games...

of note:
San Antonio is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Jersey
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey

For ML dogs, I'm thinking of a couple plays I expect to be Very Unpopular.

Raptors
Knicks

Raps I'll probably pick up as soon as I get a number I like. The Knicks I'll get a short time before gametime......I think that one will keep going up with folks jumping all over the Lakers...

 

[redbearde]

Raptors +170
Raptors +4 (+106)

Bulls first game home off a road trip. They leave again for a game tomorrow at Charlotte. This is essentially just another travel spot for them...

So their travel(road) record is more important to me than their homestand record. And these numbers, thanks to eames, look like this:

9-17 SU.
4-7-1 ATS AS ROAD FAVE.
3-11 ATS AS ROAD DOG.

and toronto has been playing some excellent basketball recently. Sure they lost Detroit, but who wouldn't right now?

of note:
Toronto is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road

and these are not yesteryear's raptors, so such trends as:

Toronto is 1-14 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago

are there to be busted up.

GL tonight gentlemen.

 

[redbearde]

Rockets -7 (-110) thegreek right now

Kings are terrible on the road.
Sacramento is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games
Sacramento is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road

Rockets are damned good at home.
Houston is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Houston is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento

No Brad Miller is significant, and the rebounding edge has GOT to go to Houston...

DD win...

 

[DuY!]

gl

 

[flounder101]

Forget the Spurs.

Go Rockettes!!

 

[Gorgolon Lives]

Bucks ML

 

[eggnoggin]

the kids at MENSA looked at me real funny when I asked them what they thought of your picks. Kinda like deer in the headlights.
OH well, BOL red:cheers:

 

[redbearde]

Bucks ML

sometimes I think you're making fun of me..

 

[redbearde]

Knicks +292

it's at 298 right now at matchbook...get it when I don't....

 

[Gorgolon Lives]

sometimes I think you're making fun of me..

Haha...I just get hunches on ML dawgs. I can't give reasons. But how many times have you looked at a full card and saw that one dog win that you would have never guessed?

 

[smh212]

Good number on the Spurs......they're up to 7.5 now. Had kidd been playing, I would have pounded the Nets.

Like the Knicks as well...GL

 

[redbearde]

Haha...I just get hunches on ML dawgs. I can't give reasons. But how many times have you looked at a full card and saw that one dog win that you would have never guessed?

well, this is most assuredly one of those. And at 5:1, it doesn't strike me as a good bet at all...

 

[redbearde]

Good number on the Spurs......they're up to 7.5 now. Had kidd been playing, I would have pounded the Nets.

Like the Knicks as well...GL

I'm seeing 8 in some places for the spurs, now...

Glad to know I'm not the ONLY person on the Knicks...heh. LakeShow seems to be damned popular tonight...

 

[redbearde]

Forget the Spurs.

Go Rockettes!!

Capt Flounder, I am a big fan of both!

Let's win some tonight!

 

[smh212]

Red,

Time to middle the NJ/Spurs game....5.5 and 9 is solid.

 

[redbearde]

yeah, but I really think the Spurs will spank the Nets like little redheaded stepchildren....

 

[SportsNut]

Let it ride Red...think SA puts a HURTin on NJ

 

[redbearde]

thanks SN...that's been my thinking the last few minutes.

And I don't like making these decisions on the clock........so I will be letting it ride. +9 isn't enough today in all likelihood. at least that's my opinion.

Good luck to us, this eve, gentlemen...Spurs by DD!

 

[redbearde]

Nets scored more than I thought they would, but thanks San Antonio...

anyone think for a SECOND that the Raptors won't beat the SHIT out of the Nets tomorrow?

 

[abcs]

I am shocked that the nets can score at all..
Marcus Williams? PUUHHLEEASE

 

[Satyr]

good job Red :shake:

 

[redbearde]

holy SHIT the raptors tried to lose that game.......nice win tho. w00t!

 

[redbearde]

I am shocked that the nets can score at all..
Marcus Williams? PUUHHLEEASE

didn't you hear?

He's better than kidd...

 

[Gorgolon Lives]

Bucks almost did it...

Nice job tonight!

 

[redbearde]

I watched that. The bucks SHOULD have done it...I'd feel very screwed by them if I had that ML...

 

[redbearde]

okay, rockets blew up on takeoff...

2-1 spreads tonight. I'll take it.

Spreads: 123-122-12, 47.68%, +4.55 units

I much prefer having more wins than losses.

.................not exactly a profound statement is it?

 

[redbearde]

2-0 ML dogs today.....it's days like this that make me feel EXTREMELY fucking smart.

ML dogs: 70-118, 37.23%, +18.63 units
Spreads: 123-122-12, 47.68%, +4.55 units