redbearde
Pretty much a regular
ML dogs: 11-9, 55%, 10.4 units
Washington @ Charlotte
I'm not too clear on Gilbachi's sitting out tonight, but they obviously didn't need his help vs the 76ers. The bullets toyed with philly, and then beat all holy hell out of the 76ers late....up by 30 at one point. Charlotte, otoh, hasn't faced a good team since Houston on the 11th...and they're off a win Monday vs Portland. In short, I honestly thought the Bobcats would be the dog in this one. I thought this would be a good spot to take them, and I was looking forward to it. NOW, though, I'm looking at 5 full points with the Bullets, and they're playing DAMN good ball even without agent zero.
No one will be tired. Caron played 26 mins. Jamison played 33 mins. Daniels played 31mins. Gilbert, obviously, didn't play at all. As long as the bullets keep the turnovers to a minimum, they can dictate tempo in this game, and with McInnis taking time on the court, that's a wonderful opportunity for the Bullets to capitalize on TOs.
Washington is in the midst of a 4th in 5, and they're on the first B2B.
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Charlotte
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte leads the league in three points made allowed with 4.6 per game.
I'm not sure if I'll get it, but I'd really like 2:1 for the Bullets on this one.
Nothing is a sure thing, but if I could have one of these every night, then I'd be a very rich man.
Golden St @ Boston
I really have no interest in this game. I don't know if they'll run or not, try the halftime game, or not, and I don't have any idea how the Warriors will defend the Celtics (aside from badly). I think betting on this one would be supremely optimistic and speculative, and I think there are far better games to worry about. This one does appear to fit in with one of Betcrimes' trend threads above. Boston is off 2 days rest, and GSW is on a B2B. I believe the play would be GSW +points.
GSW is on a brutal eastern road trip schedule.
Sun: @ Toronto
Mon: off
Tue: @ New York
Wed: @ Boston
Thu: off
Fri: @ Washington
Sat: @ Philadelphia
Sun: off
Mon: HOME vs Phoenix - they'll get CRUSHED in this one, I think.
Tues: off
Wed: @ Sac
Thu: HOME vs Houston
no rest for the weary.
Atlanta @ Miami
Flash is playing well, but the rest of the Heat just can't. It may be worthwhile to take the Hawks on the ML if the kids can get into a running game. The old fart tank in the middle can't run, and Mourning's knees may not let him, either. Nonetheless, it'll be tough for them to manage the win, I think. Miami is off 3 days rest, and they may be out of rhythm. At 8.5, this may be just stupid high, and I'll do it.
Both Johnsons played 40+ minutes, and Marvin Williams played 35., Childress 32, and Smith played 30. They are young, though, and if they move the damn ball they may well get some good open looks. Before I do anything, I'll look around at the Atlanta guys here...some of you fellas really know your team.
Dallas @ Houston
Word is that T-Mac is going to play. At least he said he is.
Mavs won the last 9 of 10.
Mavs won ATS 7 of last 10.
Rockets are off 3 days of rest, and T-Mac's been out for over a week.
Dallas had a tough game vs Toronto, but they managed to win SU and lose ATS.
I expect a big night from the mavs tomorrow, but I'm not sure I want to lay much road chalk.
Mavs are entering a 4th in 5.
Houston..well...isn't.
Washington @ Charlotte
I'm not too clear on Gilbachi's sitting out tonight, but they obviously didn't need his help vs the 76ers. The bullets toyed with philly, and then beat all holy hell out of the 76ers late....up by 30 at one point. Charlotte, otoh, hasn't faced a good team since Houston on the 11th...and they're off a win Monday vs Portland. In short, I honestly thought the Bobcats would be the dog in this one. I thought this would be a good spot to take them, and I was looking forward to it. NOW, though, I'm looking at 5 full points with the Bullets, and they're playing DAMN good ball even without agent zero.
No one will be tired. Caron played 26 mins. Jamison played 33 mins. Daniels played 31mins. Gilbert, obviously, didn't play at all. As long as the bullets keep the turnovers to a minimum, they can dictate tempo in this game, and with McInnis taking time on the court, that's a wonderful opportunity for the Bullets to capitalize on TOs.
Washington is in the midst of a 4th in 5, and they're on the first B2B.
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Charlotte
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte leads the league in three points made allowed with 4.6 per game.
I'm not sure if I'll get it, but I'd really like 2:1 for the Bullets on this one.
Nothing is a sure thing, but if I could have one of these every night, then I'd be a very rich man.
Golden St @ Boston
I really have no interest in this game. I don't know if they'll run or not, try the halftime game, or not, and I don't have any idea how the Warriors will defend the Celtics (aside from badly). I think betting on this one would be supremely optimistic and speculative, and I think there are far better games to worry about. This one does appear to fit in with one of Betcrimes' trend threads above. Boston is off 2 days rest, and GSW is on a B2B. I believe the play would be GSW +points.
GSW is on a brutal eastern road trip schedule.
Sun: @ Toronto
Mon: off
Tue: @ New York
Wed: @ Boston
Thu: off
Fri: @ Washington
Sat: @ Philadelphia
Sun: off
Mon: HOME vs Phoenix - they'll get CRUSHED in this one, I think.
Tues: off
Wed: @ Sac
Thu: HOME vs Houston
no rest for the weary.
Atlanta @ Miami
Flash is playing well, but the rest of the Heat just can't. It may be worthwhile to take the Hawks on the ML if the kids can get into a running game. The old fart tank in the middle can't run, and Mourning's knees may not let him, either. Nonetheless, it'll be tough for them to manage the win, I think. Miami is off 3 days rest, and they may be out of rhythm. At 8.5, this may be just stupid high, and I'll do it.
Both Johnsons played 40+ minutes, and Marvin Williams played 35., Childress 32, and Smith played 30. They are young, though, and if they move the damn ball they may well get some good open looks. Before I do anything, I'll look around at the Atlanta guys here...some of you fellas really know your team.
Dallas @ Houston
Word is that T-Mac is going to play. At least he said he is.
Mavs won the last 9 of 10.
Mavs won ATS 7 of last 10.
Rockets are off 3 days of rest, and T-Mac's been out for over a week.
Dallas had a tough game vs Toronto, but they managed to win SU and lose ATS.
I expect a big night from the mavs tomorrow, but I'm not sure I want to lay much road chalk.
Mavs are entering a 4th in 5.
Houston..well...isn't.
