NBA ML Dogs 1.26
- Thread starter redbearde
- Start date
redbearde
Pretty much a regular
Celtics at Raptors.
I am a fan of fading the Celtics right now. Al Jefferson says his ankle feels better and will likely go. TJ Ford is likely sitting out, but Bargnani is expected to play, and Jose Calderon has been playing magnificently.
of note:
Boston is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
On January 12, Toronto was -6 at Boston. Now they're -9 at home. Line strikes me as short.
On Top of that, this win gets the Raptors to .500. I doubt this has escaped anyone on that team...nor has how pathetically bad the Celtics are.
Raptors -9 (+109)
I am a fan of fading the Celtics right now. Al Jefferson says his ankle feels better and will likely go. TJ Ford is likely sitting out, but Bargnani is expected to play, and Jose Calderon has been playing magnificently.
of note:
Boston is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
On January 12, Toronto was -6 at Boston. Now they're -9 at home. Line strikes me as short.
On Top of that, this win gets the Raptors to .500. I doubt this has escaped anyone on that team...nor has how pathetically bad the Celtics are.
Raptors -9 (+109)
redbearde
Pretty much a regular
Cavaliers @ 76ers
No Lebron. He's the only one that drives to the hoop and gets a layup...or kicks out for an open jumper. Cavs will be lucky to break 80 or 85...the other option, of course, is for the team to come together and play as a team with Lebron unavailable. I think there's a fat fucking chance of that.
of note:
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
It is hard has hell for a team to win both home and homes.
BAR is on Cleveland and I lose every time I pick against him - ah, I now see he's off of it.
Anyway, 76ers +1 (+104)
No Lebron. He's the only one that drives to the hoop and gets a layup...or kicks out for an open jumper. Cavs will be lucky to break 80 or 85...the other option, of course, is for the team to come together and play as a team with Lebron unavailable. I think there's a fat fucking chance of that.
of note:
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
It is hard has hell for a team to win both home and homes.
BAR is on Cleveland and I lose every time I pick against him - ah, I now see he's off of it.
Anyway, 76ers +1 (+104)
redbearde
Pretty much a regular
Kings @ Hornets
I'm unclear on why the Hornets are laying points to anyone.
of a contrarian note:
Sacramento is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games
Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The thing is, NOK has been consistently given long dog numbers. The same is true for SacK's chalk numbers...and neither has performed well in those roles. Here we have the roles reversed. AND
New Orleans is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento
I think the Kings will pull off a road win in a relatively close game...5 or 6 points. 98-92 or so...
Kings pk (-101)
I'm unclear on why the Hornets are laying points to anyone.
of a contrarian note:
Sacramento is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games
Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The thing is, NOK has been consistently given long dog numbers. The same is true for SacK's chalk numbers...and neither has performed well in those roles. Here we have the roles reversed. AND
New Orleans is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento
I think the Kings will pull off a road win in a relatively close game...5 or 6 points. 98-92 or so...
Kings pk (-101)
redbearde
Pretty much a regular
T'wolves @ Supersonics
Timberwolves are in disarray. Maybe RayRay and the guys aren't a good spot to lay points, but the line is just a home to away line of their last meeting in Minny (line was -8ish), and the Twolves squeaked out a cover.
of note:
Home team has won the last 5 meetings.
Home team is 4-0-1 ATS the last 5 meetings.
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 6-11-2 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Seattle
Minnesota is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
of inscrutable note:
Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
If Ray Allen shoots tonight like he did against the Nuggets, this game is going to go Seattle's way. Oh, and if it matters to you, Earl Watson is playing (upgraded to probable).
Sonics -2 (+106)
Timberwolves are in disarray. Maybe RayRay and the guys aren't a good spot to lay points, but the line is just a home to away line of their last meeting in Minny (line was -8ish), and the Twolves squeaked out a cover.
of note:
Home team has won the last 5 meetings.
Home team is 4-0-1 ATS the last 5 meetings.
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 6-11-2 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Seattle
Minnesota is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
of inscrutable note:
Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
If Ray Allen shoots tonight like he did against the Nuggets, this game is going to go Seattle's way. Oh, and if it matters to you, Earl Watson is playing (upgraded to probable).
Sonics -2 (+106)
flounder101
Captain of the Million Dollar Fund
Good stuff. Hope it all works out for you.
flounder101
Captain of the Million Dollar Fund
Hahaha! Win - Win sounds good to me.
. One of us will hit :cheers:Skinnysmallzz
Pretty much a regular
gl beard
FrankyTheHook
Pretty much a regular
You will bounce back buddy. Remember, you gotta let the books win once in a while or they will not let you bet. lol. Get em tomarrow.
Franky The Hook
Franky The Hook
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