NBA Finals plays and thoughts

divol

The Spurs can suck my manhood
Stop lying to myself about having the time to calculate the record...
Small profit in regular season, in the red in the playoffs...

Golden State - Cleveland

Game 1 is the game that Bron likes to take the foot of the pedal and observe the rival and study. Game 1 this time, because he knows the rival or because it's the Finals, he went all in and lost... Very unlucky, with Hill missing the FT (Draymond got in too early - should have gotten another one), Smith not figuring out the purpose of basketball game and so on...
On the other hand... Smith still won a hard rebound and it could have easily been GSW ball after TO and game tied... even if Hill makes it, it's still GSW ball, down one and 4 seconds left...
No one knows, but obviously Bron feels crushed... Very interested to see how Hill, Bron and Smith go from here. Smith probably won't be effected... Hill can easily be crushed here and Bron... who knows...
I'm much more curious what the Dubs will do. Curry in his 4th straight Finals and still no MVP... Iggy, Bron, Durant... Curry says he doesn't care about MVP trophy, but I doubt it. I actually think that ego starts to get in between the Dubs, but doubt it will stop them from winning this series...
Durant should have better game, but other than him... Curry will want to prove again, he is the MVP, Clay with his injury, will try to play solid as always... Dubs miss Iggy in this series big time...
I don't get NBA coaches to be honest... what's going on with autoswitching on players? How about playing some D and go through screens or at least try to? KD on Nene, Bron on Rozier/ Baynes, Bron on Curry (best defender on Bron - stats wise btw)/ Looney/ McGee... That especially surprises me about Bron. He improved his three pointer a lot, but still... He is not a natural three point shooter. Go under the screen, but at least try to fight. Try a trap, try bringing third player to help - but what's up with autoswitching? No wonder natural centers can't find their place in the league... why try to play smart, when you can play lazy and just switch on everything...
Stevens was main reason for Game 7 loss and Kerr doesn't do anything new... GSW has enough solid defenders, to really play amazing defense, but they play right in to Cleveland hands...
 
Been betting on GSW regular and live bets, but mostly for viewing purposes, no real value... Do believe we have some tonight...

Cleveland - Golden State

Very good chance it's the final game of the season, but two narratives keep showing up...
Cleveland looks beaten up and no real interest in prolonging the misery and GSW always prefers to finish things at home (revenue and so on).
One thing comes up from both narratives - at least one of the teams doesn't care...
When Cleveland in the most important match of the season (Game 3), with Curry and Thompson not showing up, allow Dubs to score 110 points... hard to imagine how much Dubs can score with zero effort from Cavs...
If GSW doesn't care, it should show up mostly on defense, since everyone like an offense and padding their stats (Curry should really be trying to put up numbers - trying to get that first Finals MVP trophy). How the game can result in that scenario? Last year, in the same spot, it ended 137 - 116 in Cavs favor...
Dubs should finish it off... First sweep can be nice for this team, as they probably finish Bron's dominance over NBA Finals (assuming he goes West and losses to the Dubs much earlier), but who knows...
Either Dubs put up a clinic and win 135 - 110 or Cleveland gets a pity win 135 - 120, the only way to bet here (for me) is Over.
GSW Over 110 points, 1.96 odds - 6 units play
Over 215.5 points, 1.95 odds - 6 units play

Best of luck everybody!!!
 
Good luck. One thing I disagree with... there was enough value on gsw Live last game. The books just price them out like that this year. Still, at plus money to win in the 2Q is always worth a look.
 
Yeah, I took them at half time for more than even odds, but don't see a point posting live bets...
 
Go Warriors
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