NBA Elimination Game Totals: 2019 Playoffs

[BetCrimes1984]

Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.

*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.

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Since keeping records (based on opening lines) starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows:


Overall

All Elimination Games: U/O 171-130-3

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 72-72-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 99-58-2


1st Round of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 98-66-2

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 50-37-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 48-29-1


2nd Round & onwards of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 73-64-1

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 22-35
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 51-29-1

Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a losing rate of only 35.80%), a time when both teams already have a series win under their belts and have both won at least 2 games in the current series.

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The results below will only be integrated with the results noted above at the end of the current post season.

18-19 Elimination game results


Round 1

BOS@IND - Game 4: Over
MIL@DET - Game 4: Over
HOU@UTH - Game 4: Under
ORL@TOR - Game 5: Over
BRK@PHI - Game 5: Under
OKC@POR - Game 5: Over
UTH@HOU - Game 5: Under
LAC@GDS - Game 5: Over
DEN@SAS - Game 6: Over
GDA@LAC - Game 6: Over
SAS@DEN - Game 7: Under


Round 2

BOS@MIL - Game 5: Under
TOR@PHI - Game 6: Push
DEN@POR - Game 6: Over
GDS@HOU - Game 6: Over
POR@DEN - Game 7: Under
PHI@TOR - Game 7: Under


Round 3

GDS@POR - Game 4: Over
MIL@TOR - Game 6: Under


Round 4

GDS@TOR - Game 5: Push
TOR@GDS - Game 6: Over

 

[B.A.R.]

:shake:

 

[BenchCoach]

yep

 

[B.A.R.]

We should have our first instance hopefully on Monday night at the Hot N Ready Arena.

 

[B.A.R.]

We should have our first instance hopefully on Monday night at the Hot N Ready Arena.

Sorry, first was Sunday. What a brutal, brutal beat.

 

[eggman]

Sorry, first was Sunday. What a brutal, brutal beat.

Brutal

 

[pressitup]

This league is shit.
No one plays defense.

 

[B.A.R.]

Well, I hope 79.5 isn't scored in 4th in Milwaukee tonight....

This one should cash.

 

[pressitup]

Phil/Toronto was on pace to be under 198 with 10 min left. Nope.
I had under in hockey also, 4 goals in the 3rd.

 

[B.A.R.]

Phil/Toronto was on pace to be under 198 with 10 min left. Nope.
I had under in hockey also, 4 goals in the 3rd.

4th quarters in not so close games been flying over lately.

 

[pressitup]

yeah, it was a 22 or so points blow out? that used to be a sure fire under

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Just an occasional observer of this p.s., but has any previous 6-game series (GS/HOU) ever finished with every game being decided by 6 pts or less (4,6,5,4,5,5)? Not according to my quick thinking back (but closing in on 50, maybe my memory is showing its age: I stand to be corrected). Especially crazy I think is the fact you're dealing with 2 run'n gun teams, so you'd have thought at least 1 game would involve one (home) team lighting it up and running away with matters.

 

[B.A.R.]

Bumping this for @eggman

Obviously from 2 years ago... Don't remember anything during the bubble.