BetCrimes1984
CTG Big Brother
Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.
*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.
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Since keeping records (based on opening lines) starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows:
Overall
All Elimination Games: U/O 120-79-3
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 50-43-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 70-36-2
1st Round of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 67-44-2
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 35-24-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 32-20-1
2nd Round & onwards of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 53-35-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 15-19
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 38-16-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a losing rate of only 29.1%), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
The one team to prove the exception to the above trends over the time span to which these stats apply (and whose results I've not included above) was the Amar'e Stoudemire era...
Phoenix Suns
Elimination games they won SU: U/O 2-8
Elimination games they lost SU: U/O 4-2
For this incarnation of the Phoenix Suns it didn't matter the nature of the game (4, 5, 6 or 7) they were playing in, or what Round they're playing it in, as related to their final total result: it came down to their SU performance.
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The results below will only be integrated with the results noted above at the end of the current post season.
14-15 Elimination game results
Round 1
CHC@MIL - Game 4: Under
GS@NOR - Game 4: Over (ftr: Under the closing line)
CLE@BOS - Game 4: Under
TOR@WAS - Game 4: Over
HOU@DAL - Game 4: Over
MEM@POR - Game 4: Under
MIL@CHC - Game 5: Under
DAL@HOU - Game 5: Under
BRK@ATL - Game 5: Over
POR@MEM - Game 5: Over
CHC@MIL - Game 6: Under
LAC@SAS - Game 6: Under
ATL@BRK - Game 6: Under
SAS@LAC - Game 7: Over
.
Round 2
LAC@HOU - Game 5: Over
CLE@CHC - Game 6: Under
HOU@LAC - Game 6: Over
ATL@WAS - Game 6: Under
GS@MEM - Game 6: Over
LAC@HOU - Game 7: Under
.
Round 3
GS@HOU - Game 4: Over
ATL@CLE - Game 4: Over
HOU@GS - Game 5: Under
.
Round 4
GS@CLE - Game 6: Over
.
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*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.
------------------------------<wbr abp="3089">------------------------------<wbr abp="3090">----------
Since keeping records (based on opening lines) starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows:
Overall
All Elimination Games: U/O 120-79-3
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 50-43-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 70-36-2
1st Round of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 67-44-2
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 35-24-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 32-20-1
2nd Round & onwards of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 53-35-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 15-19
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 38-16-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a losing rate of only 29.1%), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
The one team to prove the exception to the above trends over the time span to which these stats apply (and whose results I've not included above) was the Amar'e Stoudemire era...
Phoenix Suns
Elimination games they won SU: U/O 2-8
Elimination games they lost SU: U/O 4-2
For this incarnation of the Phoenix Suns it didn't matter the nature of the game (4, 5, 6 or 7) they were playing in, or what Round they're playing it in, as related to their final total result: it came down to their SU performance.
------------------------------<wbr abp="3173">------------------------------<wbr abp="3174">----------
The results below will only be integrated with the results noted above at the end of the current post season.
14-15 Elimination game results
Round 1
CHC@MIL - Game 4: Under
GS@NOR - Game 4: Over (ftr: Under the closing line)
CLE@BOS - Game 4: Under
TOR@WAS - Game 4: Over
HOU@DAL - Game 4: Over
MEM@POR - Game 4: Under
MIL@CHC - Game 5: Under
DAL@HOU - Game 5: Under
BRK@ATL - Game 5: Over
POR@MEM - Game 5: Over
CHC@MIL - Game 6: Under
LAC@SAS - Game 6: Under
ATL@BRK - Game 6: Under
SAS@LAC - Game 7: Over
.
Round 2
LAC@HOU - Game 5: Over
CLE@CHC - Game 6: Under
HOU@LAC - Game 6: Over
ATL@WAS - Game 6: Under
GS@MEM - Game 6: Over
LAC@HOU - Game 7: Under
.
Round 3
GS@HOU - Game 4: Over
ATL@CLE - Game 4: Over
HOU@GS - Game 5: Under
.
Round 4
GS@CLE - Game 6: Over
.
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