19-9-1 +34.90 units
I didn't play anything yesterday. Glad to just watch the opening of the Dallas-Denver series and get a feel. Granted, I only saw pieces of it but I still think this will be a long series. I guess the viable option would have been Atlasnta minus the points and Miami ML. It certainly wasn't going to be a dog cover. Great homecrowd for the Hawks. I think that may help them steal one against the Cavs. Maybe. Saturday nights win on Boston was satisfying because I knew just looking at cthe points there was too easy. It came down to making FT's late and holding off that surge but most definitely the correct side. Interesting first round to say the least. Like I said before the playoffs, these could suck. Take away the Boston-Chicago series and the first round was a dud. New Orleans-Denver was nice from the hard foul point but 4 blowouts isn't good for a 5 game series. This round, two series should be solid and the other two should be 4-5 game sets involving Cleveland and Los Angeles.
Houston at Los Angeles
Well, one reason I didn't start a thread earlier or put any plays in was due to the fact that this game was OTB yesterday with Kobe's cold/flu, whatever. My feel is that this would be a scrappy ugly game. One of those feel out games to get the series started. The Lakers won all 4 in the regular season. The games in Houton were close but Kobe daggered them both times in the lategoing. The games at Staples were 12 and 29 point margins. The last meeting there in particular was ugly. LA played excellent defense and showed the Rockets very vulnerable on offense. They just are not creative. So, basically my play today was looking at the under. The NBA put me in a bind here with the officials...
Tony Brothers 38-33
Joe DeRosa 30-37
Scott Foster 46-25
No reason to touch this with under killer and point shaver Scotty Foster in there. One of those refs I have despised for a solid 15 years. As far as the side, I would lean Lakers. I think Kobe makes an early point against Ronny after the comments last week. I also think that Houston is poorly coached offensively(ands Adelman is a good offensive coach in past) putting them behind the 8-ball from the beginning. So, I will pass. I will watch the first half intently and go from there as far as a 2nd half play goes.
Orlando at Boston
It is so tough to tell how a team coming off a grueling series will react two days later starting a new series. In my NBA lifetime I have seen absolute full game duds, first half lulls and the occasional adrenaline still being there and a team coming out just perfect. That is what needs to be guaged here. Fatigue is something that will be mentioned. Well, the series stretched 15 days. Seven games in 15 days isn't that much during an NBA season. Add in the overtimes and you make a case it was almost 8 games. Either way, sometimes that gets overrated. What cannot be overrated though is the mental fatigue. That series had to take a lot out of Boston. Face it, guys like Pierce, Allen and Rondo have now played 33 outta a possible 35 playoff games the past two years. That is a lot of wear and tear. Flipping to the Orlando side...Dwight Howard certainly is rested. Whatever JJ Redick and Andre Miller have to say, he is still the key here. Boston has no depth up front without Powe and Garnett. It's so bad, Mikki Moore cannot even get past Scal on the depth chart. Perkins and Big Baby are going to see a lot of foul trouble this series. They already have a tough enough time keeping their hands out of the cookie jar. Howard needs to be utilized as much as possible early and often. The one good thing about Game 6 against Philly is it should boost the confidence of all the Magic role players.
Looking at both the side tonight and series price as they correlate. The Magic opened as dogs series wise and got bet dwn to favorites. The current Game One line is +1.5 for Orlando. This has been bet down as well. Even the opening line of 3 was pretty short. That right there tells me who they think wins this series. I agree as well. Already reading on net last night and this morning how Orlando is a sucker play here. I think it is the perfect situation still though. Boston is going to be a step slow tonight. Orlando should be able to control the tempo and the crowd. I expect Howard to be a beast and for the Boston frontline to be in foul trouble all night.
Now, as far as that total. I like a sluggish Boston start and not the hottest of shooting all game long. I don't expect Orlando to go hognuts wild either on offense. Just efficient. The posted total right now is 188.5. Looking back at the previous three matchups...
84-82
86-79
90-80
The last game is one in which Garnett played 16 minutes.
Now, the kicker here which sealed the play:
James Capers 29-43
Ken Muaer 26-37
M. Wunderlich 31-40
That is an excellent under ref crew here. Already liked it and add these fellas in and we have a play. So, again, side and total. Just hope for a profitable night.
Orlando +1.5 -110 3 units
Orlando U188.5 -110 3 units
I didn't play anything yesterday. Glad to just watch the opening of the Dallas-Denver series and get a feel. Granted, I only saw pieces of it but I still think this will be a long series. I guess the viable option would have been Atlasnta minus the points and Miami ML. It certainly wasn't going to be a dog cover. Great homecrowd for the Hawks. I think that may help them steal one against the Cavs. Maybe. Saturday nights win on Boston was satisfying because I knew just looking at cthe points there was too easy. It came down to making FT's late and holding off that surge but most definitely the correct side. Interesting first round to say the least. Like I said before the playoffs, these could suck. Take away the Boston-Chicago series and the first round was a dud. New Orleans-Denver was nice from the hard foul point but 4 blowouts isn't good for a 5 game series. This round, two series should be solid and the other two should be 4-5 game sets involving Cleveland and Los Angeles.
Houston at Los Angeles
Well, one reason I didn't start a thread earlier or put any plays in was due to the fact that this game was OTB yesterday with Kobe's cold/flu, whatever. My feel is that this would be a scrappy ugly game. One of those feel out games to get the series started. The Lakers won all 4 in the regular season. The games in Houton were close but Kobe daggered them both times in the lategoing. The games at Staples were 12 and 29 point margins. The last meeting there in particular was ugly. LA played excellent defense and showed the Rockets very vulnerable on offense. They just are not creative. So, basically my play today was looking at the under. The NBA put me in a bind here with the officials...
Tony Brothers 38-33
Joe DeRosa 30-37
Scott Foster 46-25
No reason to touch this with under killer and point shaver Scotty Foster in there. One of those refs I have despised for a solid 15 years. As far as the side, I would lean Lakers. I think Kobe makes an early point against Ronny after the comments last week. I also think that Houston is poorly coached offensively(ands Adelman is a good offensive coach in past) putting them behind the 8-ball from the beginning. So, I will pass. I will watch the first half intently and go from there as far as a 2nd half play goes.
Orlando at Boston
It is so tough to tell how a team coming off a grueling series will react two days later starting a new series. In my NBA lifetime I have seen absolute full game duds, first half lulls and the occasional adrenaline still being there and a team coming out just perfect. That is what needs to be guaged here. Fatigue is something that will be mentioned. Well, the series stretched 15 days. Seven games in 15 days isn't that much during an NBA season. Add in the overtimes and you make a case it was almost 8 games. Either way, sometimes that gets overrated. What cannot be overrated though is the mental fatigue. That series had to take a lot out of Boston. Face it, guys like Pierce, Allen and Rondo have now played 33 outta a possible 35 playoff games the past two years. That is a lot of wear and tear. Flipping to the Orlando side...Dwight Howard certainly is rested. Whatever JJ Redick and Andre Miller have to say, he is still the key here. Boston has no depth up front without Powe and Garnett. It's so bad, Mikki Moore cannot even get past Scal on the depth chart. Perkins and Big Baby are going to see a lot of foul trouble this series. They already have a tough enough time keeping their hands out of the cookie jar. Howard needs to be utilized as much as possible early and often. The one good thing about Game 6 against Philly is it should boost the confidence of all the Magic role players.
Looking at both the side tonight and series price as they correlate. The Magic opened as dogs series wise and got bet dwn to favorites. The current Game One line is +1.5 for Orlando. This has been bet down as well. Even the opening line of 3 was pretty short. That right there tells me who they think wins this series. I agree as well. Already reading on net last night and this morning how Orlando is a sucker play here. I think it is the perfect situation still though. Boston is going to be a step slow tonight. Orlando should be able to control the tempo and the crowd. I expect Howard to be a beast and for the Boston frontline to be in foul trouble all night.
Now, as far as that total. I like a sluggish Boston start and not the hottest of shooting all game long. I don't expect Orlando to go hognuts wild either on offense. Just efficient. The posted total right now is 188.5. Looking back at the previous three matchups...
84-82
86-79
90-80
The last game is one in which Garnett played 16 minutes.
Now, the kicker here which sealed the play:
James Capers 29-43
Ken Muaer 26-37
M. Wunderlich 31-40
That is an excellent under ref crew here. Already liked it and add these fellas in and we have a play. So, again, side and total. Just hope for a profitable night.
Orlando +1.5 -110 3 units
Orlando U188.5 -110 3 units
...although the homer in me cant condone you betting against Scal
