NBA 19/20

C

caboto13

Pretty much a regular
Playoffs 18/19:
Parlays 1-2 -1,05u
Singles: 15-26 -21,10
Overall: 16-28 -22,15u

Regular season 18/19
Parlays 14-30 +6.02
Singles 98-85 +12,98
Overall 111-109 +19,00

NBA 18/19: -3,15u

Can only be better in 19/20:
I do like the Clippers with the points in an imo even game und are tempted to play the Raptors ATS because I think the Pelicans are not good. Still lots of time to think about it.
 
1-3 -2,22u
Monday:
Raptors -4,5 @-111 to win 1u
Bucks -15,5 @-108 to win 1u
Clippers -15,5 @-108 to win 1u

Lay the chalk. Bucks bounce back after loss against the Heat, Raptors still NBA champion and imo way better than the Magic, buy low. Clippers also bounce back against a weak Hornets team.
 
3-4 -1.30
Wednesday:
Warriors - Suns over 229.5 @-111 to win 1u W
ML parlay Kings / Sixers / Magic / Raptors @145 to win 1.45u L
 
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ML parlay Jazz / Bucks @134 to win 1.34u L
Bucks -4.5 @-105 to win 1u W
Jazz -4.5 @-111 to win 1u L

Better teams with a short line.
 
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Saturday Blazers ML @-122 to win 1u L

Homecourt advantage against Sixers without Embiid. Blazers with first win at home.
 
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Buzzer beater in Portland. Happens. 5-8 -3,63

Tuesday:
Pacers -3,5 @-102 to win 1u L
Heat +4,5 @-105 to win 1u L
Bulls +7,5 @-114 to win 0,5u W

Think the PAcers are the better team, who seems to find ways to win. At least three in an row, can't see it stopped today, also a short line.

5-1 Heat team with a trashing of the Rockets. Think they win SU. Denver with losses against the Mavs and at NO, followes by a 91-87 win against a weak Magic team, not impressed by the last three games, take the points.
 
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Friday ML parlay Jazz / Celtics / Rockets @151 to win 1.51u L Jazz lost by 1 point
 
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Raptors -2.5 @-114 to win 2u W

Raptors 5-0 at home. Average win margin 13.8. Least point difference 4 against the Kings. Already beat the Magic by 9 104-95.
Trust the Raptors to go to 6-0 at home and cover a small line. Second game at home after a five game road trip worries me a little bit, but have to take a 9-4 team against a 6-7 team.
 
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Sunday: Raptors -2.5 @-102 to win 2u W

Raptors 8-0 SU at home on a six-game winning streak. Avg. home win by 17.25 points. Raptors only 2-4 SU against teams with a winning record, but Jazz have the forth game of a five game road trip, so I trust the NBA champs at home to win and cover a short line of 2.5.
 
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10-18 -5,73u

Tuesday: Raptors -4,5 @-113 to win 1u L
Arguments above still valid. Heat 5-6 OTR, short line, riding the train.

Pelicans - Mavs over 233.5 @-113 to win 1u L
 
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Friday: Celtics -3.5 @-113 to win 2u

Revenge game. Celtics lost a game at Denver two weeks ago that they never should have lost. Undefeated at home with a short line with Denver b2b. Take it.
 
Normally Pacers would be good. Not clear here Strongest homer ump is at the game and the previous manager just got fired?
 
I stay away from the game. New coach could lead to surprising results as the Falcons have shown in the NFL when they went into NO and won outright.
Normally Pacers win by 10+.
 
Wednesday
Celtics ML @-117 to win 1u L
Suns -6.5 @-113 to win 1u L

Celtics on a four game winning streak, think they will get another W.
 
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11-22 -7,29
One step forward, two backwards. Don't get a feeling for the NBA this season, but still a lot of time to right the ship.
 
Suns was annoying. Booker came in with his hand wrapped up and went 6 for 17. Oubre 5 for 13, Booker tried hard but Baynes was useless in the center position. only 1 more game using him. If Booker has a normal game I would not expect a problem but 9 for 34 shooting 3's was death
 
11-23 -8,37
Mondays fades:
Nuggets -3,5 @-116 to win 1u L - Nuggs won by 2
Blazers -5,5 @-119 to win 1u L
Parlay Jazz +8,5 / Rockets ML @102 to win 1.02u W
Pacers -6.5 @-111 to win 1u L Pacers won by 4
Grizzlies - Spurs over 227.5 @-113 to win 1u W
 
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13-26 -9,81

Wednesday going with the under trend
Raptors - Cs under 210,5 @104 to win 1,04u L
Celtics -3,5 @-115 to win 1u W
76ers - Bucks under 218,5 @-102 to win 1u L
Warriors - Rockets under 224,5 @103 to win 1.03u W
ML paraly Cs / Bucks / Rockets / Nuggets @239 to win 2,39u L
 
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15-30 -15.93u

Mavs lead by 102-85 less than 4 minutes left. Last minute up 7, Doncic missed two FT followed by a 3 pointer and Mavs won by 4:oops:

Time to change my strategy by fading myself.
 
1-0 +1,5 yesterday
16-30 -14,43

Tuesday
ML parlay Celtics / Clippers / Raptors @109 to win 1,09u W
 
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Thx B.A.R.
Happy New Year folks, stay healthy.

Rare two winning days in a row for me (2-0 +2,59), now 17-30 -13,34. Still a lot of money to get back.

The Mavs are 7-1 ATS and 8-0 SU after a loss.
Now they lost two in a row, which happened only once this season in November, when they lost @Boston and @New York. After these two losses in a row, the Mavs came back with a 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS streak against the Raptors, Spurs, Warriors, Cavs and @Rockets. In these 5 games they scored 649 points (129,8 ppg) and had a point differential of 119 (won by an average margin of 23,8. So I think the Mavs tend to deliver after a loss and even more after two losses, though the sample size is small. Porzingis questionable, but the Mavs are a good team and the Nets are not. So I play the Mavs and hope they bounce back.

Thursday: Mavs -7,5 @-105 to win 1u W
 
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