RetroVK
This claim is disputed
Hi folks. I had a bad week to start the year. It is especially disappointing due to the enormous numbers of hours i put into the preseason this year. Traditionally week 1 has been one of my better weeks each season as i feel i am more prepared than the average joe for week 1. With that said ... i was completely wrong on how some of these games played out. i feel lucky to have gone .500 at 4-4. I watched all my games except the troy/arkansas game and want to tell you how i feel about each game now.
fsu -1.5 ---- WRONG I would not make this bet again. It is hard to make out whether they were unprepared in the first half , uninspired or less talented than I thought. They seemed to put it together late as clemson tired a bit from adrenaline running out or inferior conditioning. While I wouldnt necessarily bet clemson in this spot either if i had to do over again I have to admit that the game did not go as i had envisioned. I deserved to lose this bet.
smu +11.5 ----WRONG Texas tech moved the ball at will on smu , playing pitch and catch on 3-8 yard patterns that smu failed to sit on properly. The huge ol of texas tech dominated the front of the smu dl and forced smu to blitz to get ANY kind of pressure on harrell. with time to throw all day long harrell showed the ability to hit the open man and made all the right reads to lead the red raiders down the field. the receivers didnt look particularly fast but they actually caught the balls thrown to them which is more than one can say for the smu receivers. willis looked a bit uncomfortable in the pocket for the mustangs and often tucked the ball and ran if his initial read wasn't there. smu's big back was a load for tech to tackle and i think he will be even tougher for conference usa foes to bring down later in the year. i apologize to my wallet for this game. texas tech was clearly the right side.
troy +25 ----COIN FLIP -- It looked really good for troy for most of the game until they gave up a bunch of scores late in the third quarter and early in the fourth quarter. arkansas also scored on a kickoff return for a td in the second quarter. troy eventually scored a backdoor td with their backups vs arkansas with under ten seconds to go. so i feel fortunate to ahve won that game even though there might have been a slight edge for troy at this number for a majority of the game. i call it a coin flip.
Virginia -3.5 ---- WRONG-- Virginia struggled mightily to get ANY offensive production and qb sewell looked lost as he threw inaccurate balls all day long to the covered receiver instead of the open one. The wyoming dl which i could not foresee doing anything vs the fatties of virginia dominated the line of scrimmage. suprisingly virginia ran right and up the middle a lot when their apparent advantage was on the other side of the ol. wyoming schemed beautifully for this game and qb sween executed those schemes with precision. Glenn used a lot of quick hitting routes and runs to protect his inexperienced offensive line that did struggle to give sween time to throw. the plan worked to perfection and groh failed to make the necessary adjustments to make wyoming throw deeper routes. This game was not a fluke .. it was domination.
missouri -3.5 -- WRONG -- at first glance one would think that missouri was the correct side in this one, as they led at one point 37-13. But the tigers acquired that lead by returning a fumble 100 yards for a td, returning a punt for a td and then recovering a fumble on the ensuing kickoff. by the end of the game illinois was driving for a possible winning score before being intercepted at the goalline. not sure i would bet missouri again in this spot although i would have felt a bit unfortunate if i had lost with such a big lead .. but illinois was very competitive.
houston +17 -- CORRECT -- finally get to talk about a game that i capped correctly. houston outplayed oregon for a majority of this game. they gashed the ducks with a running attack that was mixed to the edges and up the middle. there passing game was effective enough to keep the safeties and linebackers honest and were actually tied with the ducks at 20-20 and first and goal midway through the third quarter. they turned it over there and then had a int return for a td called back by penalty and then let dixon run for a long td. after a bad possession the cougars had a punt blocked and allowed another score. they had firts and goal at the 5 near the end of the game as well and failed to punch that in. lots of drives deep into duck territory without scoring any points. would bet this again in a heartbeat as they actually looked equal to or better than oregon in this game.
ulm/tulsa over 47 CORRECT tulsa ran the no huddle offense and it was clicking fairly well. it created a lot more plays from scrimmage than one would have expected in this game based on last years teams. ulm showed an ability to run well but failed to stick with it and the qb looked inefficient at making quality throws. the game was actually flying over the total until a mid third quarter storm slowed the scoring down and made the game somewhat of a sweat. would bet again without blinking.
temple +21.5 -- CORRECT Had it not been for untimely first half penalties temple would have scored considerably more than the 19 they ended up with. they were hurt in the first half by several terrible calls but then were the recipients of some interesting calls int he second half. they used a short passing game with use of swings, screens and misdirection to move the ball effectively on the middies defense. they were torched on the ground by the navy option attack and gave up some large pas plays in the first half. they adjusted to the option attack at halftime however and slowed them down considerably. was impressed with how hard temple hit. i would play this number instantly again.
So while i am a bit angry that after this much preparation i still lost money , i have to be happy that my week finished better than it probably could have.
eight games
3 correctly capped ( one of which lost )
4 wrongly capped (one of which won )
and one coin flip ( which won )
expected record 3 wins - 4 losses - 1 tie
i feel like i have gotten to know some of you guys at this site and hope you can coach up my morale a little heading into next week. all in all a very depressing week.:hang:
fsu -1.5 ---- WRONG I would not make this bet again. It is hard to make out whether they were unprepared in the first half , uninspired or less talented than I thought. They seemed to put it together late as clemson tired a bit from adrenaline running out or inferior conditioning. While I wouldnt necessarily bet clemson in this spot either if i had to do over again I have to admit that the game did not go as i had envisioned. I deserved to lose this bet.
smu +11.5 ----WRONG Texas tech moved the ball at will on smu , playing pitch and catch on 3-8 yard patterns that smu failed to sit on properly. The huge ol of texas tech dominated the front of the smu dl and forced smu to blitz to get ANY kind of pressure on harrell. with time to throw all day long harrell showed the ability to hit the open man and made all the right reads to lead the red raiders down the field. the receivers didnt look particularly fast but they actually caught the balls thrown to them which is more than one can say for the smu receivers. willis looked a bit uncomfortable in the pocket for the mustangs and often tucked the ball and ran if his initial read wasn't there. smu's big back was a load for tech to tackle and i think he will be even tougher for conference usa foes to bring down later in the year. i apologize to my wallet for this game. texas tech was clearly the right side.
troy +25 ----COIN FLIP -- It looked really good for troy for most of the game until they gave up a bunch of scores late in the third quarter and early in the fourth quarter. arkansas also scored on a kickoff return for a td in the second quarter. troy eventually scored a backdoor td with their backups vs arkansas with under ten seconds to go. so i feel fortunate to ahve won that game even though there might have been a slight edge for troy at this number for a majority of the game. i call it a coin flip.
Virginia -3.5 ---- WRONG-- Virginia struggled mightily to get ANY offensive production and qb sewell looked lost as he threw inaccurate balls all day long to the covered receiver instead of the open one. The wyoming dl which i could not foresee doing anything vs the fatties of virginia dominated the line of scrimmage. suprisingly virginia ran right and up the middle a lot when their apparent advantage was on the other side of the ol. wyoming schemed beautifully for this game and qb sween executed those schemes with precision. Glenn used a lot of quick hitting routes and runs to protect his inexperienced offensive line that did struggle to give sween time to throw. the plan worked to perfection and groh failed to make the necessary adjustments to make wyoming throw deeper routes. This game was not a fluke .. it was domination.
missouri -3.5 -- WRONG -- at first glance one would think that missouri was the correct side in this one, as they led at one point 37-13. But the tigers acquired that lead by returning a fumble 100 yards for a td, returning a punt for a td and then recovering a fumble on the ensuing kickoff. by the end of the game illinois was driving for a possible winning score before being intercepted at the goalline. not sure i would bet missouri again in this spot although i would have felt a bit unfortunate if i had lost with such a big lead .. but illinois was very competitive.
houston +17 -- CORRECT -- finally get to talk about a game that i capped correctly. houston outplayed oregon for a majority of this game. they gashed the ducks with a running attack that was mixed to the edges and up the middle. there passing game was effective enough to keep the safeties and linebackers honest and were actually tied with the ducks at 20-20 and first and goal midway through the third quarter. they turned it over there and then had a int return for a td called back by penalty and then let dixon run for a long td. after a bad possession the cougars had a punt blocked and allowed another score. they had firts and goal at the 5 near the end of the game as well and failed to punch that in. lots of drives deep into duck territory without scoring any points. would bet this again in a heartbeat as they actually looked equal to or better than oregon in this game.
ulm/tulsa over 47 CORRECT tulsa ran the no huddle offense and it was clicking fairly well. it created a lot more plays from scrimmage than one would have expected in this game based on last years teams. ulm showed an ability to run well but failed to stick with it and the qb looked inefficient at making quality throws. the game was actually flying over the total until a mid third quarter storm slowed the scoring down and made the game somewhat of a sweat. would bet again without blinking.
temple +21.5 -- CORRECT Had it not been for untimely first half penalties temple would have scored considerably more than the 19 they ended up with. they were hurt in the first half by several terrible calls but then were the recipients of some interesting calls int he second half. they used a short passing game with use of swings, screens and misdirection to move the ball effectively on the middies defense. they were torched on the ground by the navy option attack and gave up some large pas plays in the first half. they adjusted to the option attack at halftime however and slowed them down considerably. was impressed with how hard temple hit. i would play this number instantly again.
So while i am a bit angry that after this much preparation i still lost money , i have to be happy that my week finished better than it probably could have.
eight games
3 correctly capped ( one of which lost )
4 wrongly capped (one of which won )
and one coin flip ( which won )
expected record 3 wins - 4 losses - 1 tie
i feel like i have gotten to know some of you guys at this site and hope you can coach up my morale a little heading into next week. all in all a very depressing week.:hang:
illow:
