Monday this sport is tough Discussion

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
Saw McCann walk off live today, pretty cool but man CHW is depressing...

overnight leans:
COL +165
HOU +158 (is this for real?)
KC u7.5
SEA u8
MIA +148

on the radar:
 
Whatever it is about the ESPN Monday Night tv spot, it has a distinct theme for the 2014 season -

Road dogs are 14-5 SU & 16-3 on the runline (vs. Home dogs 1-2 SU/2-1 RL).
Road dogs scoring 1st have gone 10-1 SU & 11-0 RL.
All dogs are on a 7-0 SU/RL run.

Monday's game is NYY@KCR.
 
Angels have gone a season high 15 games without conceding a 6+ run total.
Their previous longest streaks this season have been 13 then 10 games. Before this current streak they conceded an average of one 5+ run total every 3.93 games played.

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The Marlins have a curious angle to their overall road efforts this season -
against sub-.500 NL teams, they're 5-17 SU; against everyone else, they're 22-17 SU.
 
The Cards haven't had a game total less than 6 runs for a season high 11 games.
Their previous longest streaks this season have been 8 then 6 (x2) games. Before this current streak they combined w/their opponent to produce one sub-6 run game every 2.74 games played.

The Cards haven't held an opponent to less than 2 runs for a season high 25 games.
Further, they've only once held an opponent to less than 2 runs over their last 39 games: prior to this latter run, they averaged such a result once every 3.46 games played.
Their longest streak in 2013 was 11 games (x2), averaging one result every 4.05 games played.


Cards on the road this season vs. divisional opponents -

Game 1's: 3-5 SU
Game 2's: 5-3 SU
Game 3's: 5-3 SU

-----

Pirates @home this season vs. divisional opponents* -

Game 1's: 5-1 SU
Game 2's: 1-5 SU
Game 3's: 2-4 SU
Game 4's: 0-2 SU

(*not counting the waste-of-space road-Cubs, who they're 5-2 SU against)
 
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The Yankees -- currently 5 games above .500 -- are:
- 38-21 SU (.644) in games played w/their record at 2 games above .500 or worse.
- 28-40 SU (.412) in games played w/their record at 3 games above .500 or better.

-----

Royals are 10-2 SU their L12 home games vs. +.500 teams, after going 10-17 SU in their previous 27 @home against them.
 
Whatever it is about the ESPN Monday Night tv spot, it has a distinct theme for the 2014 season -

Road dogs are 14-5 SU & 16-3 on the runline (vs. Home dogs 1-2 SU/2-1 RL).
Road dogs scoring 1st have gone 10-1 SU & 11-0 RL.
All dogs are on a 7-0 SU/RL run.

Monday's game is NYY@KCR.

runs against your NYY stat below (which is funny because at the game yesterday the Yanks were cooked off a solo shot to lead off the game until Viciedo dropped a flyball and four unearned runs scored)
 
Shields better on the road since he's been with KC and better as a dog. Dunno if the Royals have seen Pineda. Huge 10 game stand for KC....crowd should be solid tonight for DJ's last game in KC.
 
Whatever it is about the ESPN Monday Night tv spot, it has a distinct theme for the 2014 season -

Road dogs are 14-5 SU & 16-3 on the runline (vs. Home dogs 1-2 SU/2-1 RL).
Road dogs scoring 1st have gone 10-1 SU & 11-0 RL.
All dogs are on a 7-0 SU/RL run.

Monday's game is NYY@KCR.

Do any dogs have a winning record? If so what percentage? Curious to know what the three RL loser records were.

The Yankees -- currently 5 games above .500 -- are:
- 38-21 SU (.644) in games played w/their record at 2 games above .500 or worse.
- 28-40 SU (.412) in games played w/their record at 3 games above .500 or better.

-----

Royals are 10-2 SU their L12 home games vs. +.500 teams, after going 10-17 SU in their previous 27 @home against them.

Yankees sound like a clone of Indians. Cleveland went on losing runs almost every time they were 3 over .500.

Great info BetCrimes. Thanks,
 
The Cards haven't had a game total less than 6 runs for a season high 11 games.
Their previous longest streaks this season have been 8 then 6 (x2) games. Before this current streak they combined w/their opponent to produce one sub-6 run game every 2.74 games played.

The Cards haven't held an opponent to less than 2 runs for a season high 25 games.
Further, they've only once held an opponent to less than 2 runs over their last 39 games: prior to this latter run, they averaged such a result once every 3.46 games played.
Their longest streak in 2013 was 11 games (x2), averaging one result every 4.05 games played.


Cards on the road this season vs. divisional opponents -

Game 1's: 3-5 SU
Game 2's: 5-3 SU
Game 3's: 5-3 SU

-----


Cards killed this yesterday.

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runs against your NYY stat below (which is funny because at the game yesterday the Yanks were cooked off a solo shot to lead off the game until Viciedo dropped a flyball and four unearned runs scored)

I tend to post the striking stats I come across that I know (or guess) won't be readily found via other sources. If they conflict, as in the instance you point out, so be it. None are obviously any guarantees of a winner for whatever angle they lay out, since there's always multiple "ins" to any particular game. As I've noted before, my attitude to trends is if they align themselves to the more basic elements that can be found pointing to one particular side or total, then they're like the icing on the cake. So I see myself just providing an "in" for game X that I doubt will be come across otherwise.

Do any dogs have a winning record? If so what percentage? Curious to know what the three RL loser records were.

Monday road dog winners: OAK-NYY-LAD (all x2), WAS, SEA, STL, KCR, TBY, TOR, CIN, TEX & CHC
Monday home dog winner: NYY

Runline losers: COL (away), PHI (@home), TEX (away) & MET (away) - not a single dog w/a winning record has failed to cover the runline in this scheduling spot in 2014.
 
BC-- i was just noticing that it's funny they run against each other, not gonna make a play solely based off it so please don't feel guilty about anything

updated leans:
COL +168
HOU +155
KC u7.5
MIA +151

on the radar:
SEA u7.5
 
I tend to post the striking stats I come across that I know (or guess) won't be readily found via other sources. If they conflict, as in the instance you point out, so be it. None are obviously any guarantees of a winner for whatever angle they lay out, since there's always multiple "ins" to any particular game. As I've noted before, my attitude to trends is if they align themselves to the more basic elements that can be found pointing to one particular side or total, then they're like the icing on the cake. So I see myself just providing an "in" for game X that I doubt will be come across otherwise.



Monday road dog winners: OAK-NYY-LAD (all x2), WAS, SEA, STL, KCR, TBY, TOR, CIN, TEX & CHC
Monday home dog winner: NYY

Runline losers: COL (away), PHI (@home), TEX (away) & MET (away) - not a single dog w/a winning record has failed to cover the runline in this scheduling spot in 2014.

Great! makes the Yanks a good RL play tonight.

Appreciate the added work to answer my questions. :shake:
 
Stults has been pitching well but he is so hittable. Lohse has ankle and has been wearing down. These guys have good BAA histories. I just dont believe in them. Like over. Really like Padres tt ov 3/-120
 
Do any dogs have a winning record? If so what percentage? Curious to know what the three RL loser records were.



Yankees sound like a clone of Indians. Cleveland went on losing runs almost every time they were 3 over .500.

Great info BetCrimes. Thanks,

I agree. I have never considered that relationship about what a team tends to do when are getting back to neutral. Very interesting
 
Stults has been pitching well but he is so hittable. Lohse has ankle and has been wearing down. These guys have good BAA histories. I just dont believe in them. Like over. Really like Padres tt ov 3/-120

can't go over in that park, especially at night
 
one of the rare days where i'm comfortable with my prices and it appears i'm on the unpopular sides, too
 
Still thinking re the 2 games Warner is pushing. Houston game concerned about the 121 pitches. SF, the price is moderate for Colorado on the road and SF is looking at major revenge. Problem is I really do not like the general direction of SF so I might not play them
 
Still thinking re the 2 games Warner is pushing. Houston game concerned about the 121 pitches. SF, the price is moderate for Colorado on the road and SF is looking at major revenge. Problem is I really do not like the general direction of SF so I might not play them

good point on the 121, he hasn't thrown that many since at least 2011 and while I like seeing how well he threw against OAK in this exact same matchup a few weeks ago I'm hesitant to expect him to have that level of success again. Kind of a play against Samardizja, though I can't get Qualls blowing that save (and my under) out of my mind

I probably overrate COL a lot, but I've had success over the years with big dogs at AT&T when SF is struggling to hit and though Pagan's back I'm not sure they're playing well
 
Whatever it is about the ESPN Monday Night tv spot, it has a distinct theme for the 2014 season -

Road dogs are 14-5 SU & 16-3 on the runline (vs. Home dogs 1-2 SU/2-1 RL).
Road dogs scoring 1st have gone 10-1 SU & 11-0 RL.
All dogs are on a 7-0 SU/RL run.

Monday's game is NYY@KCR.

i'm a firm believer this goes for all espn and espn2 broadcasts...dogs are a consistent moneymaker...i am actually going to start a thread on espn/espn2 college football games this season tracking their winning %
 
Hit Miami, 8-5 away vs lefties. Call this Cosart's revenge. He is better away than at home but there is a big drop from on 6 but he is still 6-1 away last 7 and getting 50 plus he is a play
 
i'm a firm believer this goes for all espn and espn2 broadcasts...dogs are a consistent moneymaker...i am actually going to start a thread on espn/espn2 college football games this season tracking their winning %

I would do this for weeknight games. Doubt there would be much to trying to figure out the regional coverage breakdowns of abc/espn/espn2 on weekends w/ the 40 plus games. But the prime-time games for sure
 
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