Satyr
Paster of Muppets
Spurs (-3.5) (1.99 @ Pinnacle) 5 units
The Spurs have managed to win game 3 and there are no doubts they still have the upper hand when their matchup with the Suns is concerned. The whole thing is heating up as Amare called out the Spurs as a "dirty team", these guys will be fired up to go 3-1 up and not give HCA back to Arizona run and gun show.
I'm fading a serious trend here, the Suns have managed to get a split on the road whenever they needed since D'Antoni arrived, with sole exception being the series with the Lakers a few years ago.
I know I said this series could come down to game 7, and it still could, but I can't close my eyes in front of this mini spread here.
If the Spurs win, they should cover. If you think the Suns have a shot here, take a stab at the ML, don't mess with the points, as I really don't see this one coming down to these couple of points. Either a DD Spurs win (or near) or a +5 (or more) Suns win. Messing with the points takes away the value for Suns backers.
However, I won't be one. The Spurs have shown they still have one too many weapons, whether D'Antoni double teams TD or not, the Spurs have far more offensive plays to rely on than the Suns. The story hasn't changed much compared to recent seasons, the Spurs are still a team that can shift the tempo and the Suns are still relying on fast breaks and scoring runs as their main weapon. The Spurs are winning the battle on the backcourt, judging from the first three games, and they have Duncan inside, which gives them an extra spark, something Suns can't solve regardless of how they guard him.
Undecided on the other game, initial lean was Cleveland but I think the Nets take this one in a thriller. Won't touch it.
Good luck tonight guys.:cheers:
The Spurs have managed to win game 3 and there are no doubts they still have the upper hand when their matchup with the Suns is concerned. The whole thing is heating up as Amare called out the Spurs as a "dirty team", these guys will be fired up to go 3-1 up and not give HCA back to Arizona run and gun show.
I'm fading a serious trend here, the Suns have managed to get a split on the road whenever they needed since D'Antoni arrived, with sole exception being the series with the Lakers a few years ago.
I know I said this series could come down to game 7, and it still could, but I can't close my eyes in front of this mini spread here.
If the Spurs win, they should cover. If you think the Suns have a shot here, take a stab at the ML, don't mess with the points, as I really don't see this one coming down to these couple of points. Either a DD Spurs win (or near) or a +5 (or more) Suns win. Messing with the points takes away the value for Suns backers.
However, I won't be one. The Spurs have shown they still have one too many weapons, whether D'Antoni double teams TD or not, the Spurs have far more offensive plays to rely on than the Suns. The story hasn't changed much compared to recent seasons, the Spurs are still a team that can shift the tempo and the Suns are still relying on fast breaks and scoring runs as their main weapon. The Spurs are winning the battle on the backcourt, judging from the first three games, and they have Duncan inside, which gives them an extra spark, something Suns can't solve regardless of how they guard him.
Undecided on the other game, initial lean was Cleveland but I think the Nets take this one in a thriller. Won't touch it.
Good luck tonight guys.:cheers:
illow:
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