Monday not a ton lining up for me Discussion

Oakland is probably going to be a little miffed to not have a day off, but probably happy as hell to be home. About half way through that road trip they just said fuck it.
 
Over in Baltimore?

Converted reliver, ubaldo ok.
Two studly lineups. 9 not too much to ask for.
 
Over in Baltimore?

Converted reliver, ubaldo ok.
Two studly lineups. 9 not too much to ask for.

Jays have struggled with Ubaldo this year after the pitching mechanics change that he went through this year, his delivery is much different...

Bautista has seen him 29 times and is hitting .069
Edwin and Russ are probably the ones who have hit him better but overall the free swinging jays haven't done so well against him
 
Going to be real hot in Toronto but it's pretty much gloom and doom rain all day so don't expect the dome to be opened
 
Sammy off routine, pitchers are creatures of habit.
believe you're calling Samardzija sammy...if so, he's on 6 days of rest which equates to an ERA of 6.36 and a whip of 1.77- already played the over there.
 
I mean, if they are really going to keep letting me fade CC at decent numbers, I am going to keep doing it
 
Milwaukee looks great. KC -114, as Lewis is being priced with way too much respect: he is not nearly as good as his numbers this year would indicate.

pitt RL
Mil
KC
Tampa

Also think Miami is worth a look if you're getting close to +200. Grienke is due for a sub-par outing
 
I mean, if they are really going to keep letting me fade CC at decent numbers, I am going to keep doing it

He is on 4 days rest. Would check ump first but fading makes sense.
18.1 innings
7.36 ERA
0-3 still have noticed he improves a lot with friendly umps so very interested in that. Possibly too cautious after yesterday with Clay.
 
With the way Shelby's throwing the ball, Braves worth a look.

definitely worth a look...leake off 2 8 inning performances and shelby off a 9 inning performance....so both pitchers are off lengthy efforts...not sure if it means a lot but i am always wary of pitchers who threw a lot in recent performances
 
pitt/atl...pitt coming back around....W3/4 after L5 and philly L4/5....looks like a total mismatch....cole dealing and williams belongs in aaa...probably have pitt in a parlay

atl/cinn...looks like a duel...but both pitchers coming off long performances....not sure that means anything....leake good but shelby better and he's dog money....hard to pass up

wash/col....scherzer/collmenter....good matchup....wash 10-3 last 13 in this series....both pitchers have pitched once and effectively against the opposing team....wash in very good form but line up and down....maybe wash in a parlay and maybe under but probable pass

mets/cubs...degrom has not been effective on the road in a small sample but he is capable....lester after a slow start (not atypical for him) has put up two very good 7 inning performances...i will be on the cubs in some form

mia/lad....mia off a heartbreaker....one out away and blew the save....grienke never lost to mia....3-0...5-0 team....lad pen unhittable at home....65/.813....lad somehow

back later with al

good luck to all
 
Milwaukee looks great. KC -114, as Lewis is being priced with way too much respect: he is not nearly as good as his numbers this year would indicate.

I don't know if the line is priced to respect Lewis so much as it's taking into account the fact that KC didn't finish their game last night until after midnight CT then had to board a plane to Texas...I'll probably stay away. That factor makes it more difficult to cap I think.
 
tor/balt...jiminez/estrada...ubaldo suspect in my mind and estrada spot starter out of pen....both teams score and both teams allow.....balt 6.1 rpg home...tor 5.5 rpg road.....neither team with a prolific starter or very good pen....tomorrow buerle/tillman best matchup of this series...i will chase over and be surprised if it doesn't hit

nyy/colome....rare spot where the opposing team may have a better pen as tb pen at home been very good and nyy pen only been hit on road (weak argument i know) colome coming off two very good starts and cc actually better than his 0-5 start....this feels like tb and under but nyy 3-0 this year and all have gone over....fading cc regardless

kc/tex....tex W5/7....probably last time we will say that this season....duffy 1 inning last start....can't remember why.....colby 1-4 and 1-5 team...6.55/1.474 vs kc....kc with vastly superior pen....tex may win one....kc will definitely win one and probably series....chase kc in this series

bos/oak....seriously worried about my sox....porcello only bright spot,not hitting for shit and pen has sucked.....11 blown saves between these two....both teams L7/9....porcello very good his last two and kaz excellent at home....would take the dog money if it weren't for that east coast west coast cardadium thing....did i spell that correctly?.....under in a park that discourages runs with two teams with silent bats currently
 
cws/mil....samargi bad on 6 as stated above....0-5 and 1-7 team vs mil....4.50/1.217...tough to bet mil here but line move agrees with a mil play
 
Arizona is starting to look interesting.
Josh this season on 4 days rest has a 0 ERA based on 17 innings. May is Max's worse month . He is 6-8 at the site with a 4.03 ERA. Nothing firm yet.
 
Last year Rick was 5-1 in May and on 5 days rest he was 4-2 with a 2.69 ERA. Yes I am interested in Boston.
 
Leake really seems to like May. On 5 this season based on 24 innings .75 ERA
Leake career in May has a ERA of 2.68. Much better than every other month
 
Texas in first game of a home series is 0-4
KC has lost 1 first game of series this year.
Let me think.
 
LA DODGERS are 12-1 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
 
Nyy: 1-9 off a win in previous game with CC starting L2 seasons
Nyy: 1-9 L10 and 2-12 L 14 CC trop starts
 
Koehler 5-0 o/u last 5 on road
Greinke 4-2 o/u last 6 at home (3-0 2015)
Fish are 11-5 o/u on road this year
Dodgers are 10-4 o/u at home
 
Miami at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Miami: 10-1 OVER SU after 1 or more consecutive unders
LA Dodgers: 16-0 SU as a favorite of -200 or more
 
Nyy: 1-9 off a win in previous game with CC starting L2 seasons
Nyy: 1-9 L10 and 2-12 L 14 CC trop starts

His last start at trop pretty solid. Rays hitting sub .200 against lhp last 10. Not inspiring a play on Rays, but cc as an ace a few years ago was getting rocked at trop. I look to fade him more than support, but would like to have more confidence in rays bats.
 
His last start at trop pretty solid. Rays hitting sub .200 against lhp last 10. Not inspiring a play on Rays, but cc as an ace a few years ago was getting rocked at trop. I look to fade him more than support, but would like to have more confidence in rays bats.

exactly the way i'm looking at it smo....cc almost an auto fade but rays bats quiet and longoria scuffling also
 
Regarding Jeff on 6----he has been very bad on 2 starts this season.
Last year however he had an ERA of 1.50 based on 36 innings so not entirely sure what I think here.
 
Any solidarity type feelings for O's coming off the no public home game? I played balty mostly for the emotional aspect, plus like Ubaldo.
 
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[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]-103[/TD]
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[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-112[/TD]
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[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]O[/TD]
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[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]4[/TD]
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Bal 6-0 L6 Ubaldo home starts, he hasn't allowed an ER in two home starts this season, Bal 11-4 L15 Mon.
Tor 3-7 L10 road
 
Ubaldo Jimenez

(bal) - throws R vs. tor - 7:05 PM ET - Camden Yards [SIZE=-1]RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo BB-Ref FanGraphs[/SIZE]
BATTERSBCS
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[TD="class: textright"].103[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].285[/TD]

[TD="class: textright"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]

[TD="class: textright"].125[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].125[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].125[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].250[/TD]

[TD="class: textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]

[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].167[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].167[/TD]

[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
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[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]

[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
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[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
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[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
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</tbody>
 
[TABLE="width: 100%"]
<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border-top-width: 1px; border-top-style: solid; border-top-color: rgb(204, 204, 204);">[TR="class: Column_Headers"]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]PITCHED FOR[/TD]
[TD="width: 7%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]RUNS[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]OPP[/TD]
[TD="width: 7%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]RUNS[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]IP[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]ER[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]BB[/TD]
[TD="width: 3%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]K'S[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]TEAM RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]O/U RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 15%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]OPP PITCHER[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: Sport_data"]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]04/29/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]BAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]CHW[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 3%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]O[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]-103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 15%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]J Samardzija[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: Sport_data"]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]04/11/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]BAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]TOR[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 3%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]P[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-112[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 15%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]A Sanchez[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: Sport_data"]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]09/16/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]BAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]TOR[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 3%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]O[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]-102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 15%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]D Hutchison[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: Sport_data"]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]08/09/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]BAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]10[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]STL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 3%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]8½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]O[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-105[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 15%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]J Lackey[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: Sport_data"]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]06/30/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]BAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]TEX[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 3%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]U[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]-135[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 15%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]J Saunders[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: Sport_data"]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]06/25/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]BAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]CHW[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]6⅓[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 4%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 3%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]P[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]-143[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 15%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]H Noesi[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
Bal 6-0 L6 Ubaldo home starts, he hasn't allowed an ER in two home starts this season, Bal 11-4 L15 Mon.
Tor 3-7 L10 road

Pretty good run support for those that prefer the team total route
 
[TABLE="class: lines"]
<tbody>[TR="class: linesRow, bgcolor: #F6F6F6"]
[TD]Mon 5/11[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]7313 PHI C.Utley hits+runs+RBI over 1½[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]<input id="editx" name="M1_247" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; "> -125 [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesRowBot, bgcolor: #F6F6F6"]
[TD]7:00PM[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]7314 PHI C.Utley hits+runs+RBI under 1½[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]<input id="editx" name="M2_247" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; "> -105 [/TD]
[TD]


this is strange.. utley is hittin .105 and facing Cole who he is 1 for 5 against.
why is this juiced to the over?
fishy to me[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Teams hitting .329 vs Jerome Williams this season, he only made it through 5 innings and 4.1 innings in his last two starts
 
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