Monday Night Football (Week Four)...

[emkee]

10-10 (+2.23)

3-2 so far this week.

Hit the big quinella with the Hags last night, saved what was looking like a brutal week.

Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs

The play...

Chiefs -6.5 -115 (2.3 to win 2)

opcorn:

 

[tuck321]

With you. Hope thats good

 

[emkee]

My last memory of the Chiefs playing a MNF game at Arrowhead is them beating the shit out of the Pats, winning by a final score of 41-13.

Believe that was the last time they played a home game on MNF.

Think we see something similar here.

Chiefs atop my ELO based power rankings.

ELO spread here is 8.5, advance line (April) was 5, my line is 8.

Skins 1-11 ATS on MNF vs a non-divison opponent.

Skins were 0-2 last season in this spot losing by an average margin of 16.5 points.

Also SNF winners from the previous week tend to struggle if playing again on MNF as a dog going 2-8 ATS last 10 occasions.

0-5 ATS in said spot if they are off a home win and are a road dog, losing by an average margin of 20.4 points.

And the theme with primetime games and NFL games in general is only play the dog if you believe they can win SU,

As the points rarely come into play.

I can't see the Skins winning SU here at Arrowhead which arguably has the league's best home advantage.

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Strong case. Tailing. BOL

 

[detroit187]

Mine is them beating the snot out of the Broncos last year in primetime, think it was a SNF or even Satruday night, either way them at night in that place always been scary.

 

[Hulu]

Love me some ELO.

BOL emkee

 

[YoungGun11]

Packers...W
Falcons...L
Raiders...L
Seahawks...W

I'm tailing, I must have missed an W somewhere for your 3-2?

 

[emkee]

Hags 2nd half in the in-game, fella.