Monday Night Football (Week Four)...

emkee

The Truth Is Out There
9-7 (+1.12)

2-1 on Sunday.

Just staying in front of the chains for now.

Business end Week 5 through 16.

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks

The play...

Seahawks -10.5 +109 (2 to win 2.18)

:shake:
 
Elo spread is -9, my spread is -12.

10 not a 'key' number for me, so basically sold the hook for plus money.

Rate 13 as a more relevant number. If it lands exactly on 10, then feel free to call me stupid.

Lions a team in turmoil. No O-line, pass-rush and Stafford banged-up.

The dink and dunk corpse of Peyton behind his shitty O-line only got sacked once last week, Wilson gonna present a whole heap of problems tonight.

Cheaty Petey loves a primetime contest.

You also have my old favorite 'circadian rhythm' thing happening for Detroit being a late night West Coast tilt.

Lions 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games when dogged (Stafford 1-5 ATS as a double-digit dog).

Not a fan of team trends but the above trend ties in with Stafford and Co stinking it up against good teams.

Overall really like the spot for the Hags.

We shall see.
 
agree that the seahawks get up for primetime games but man their offense looked shabby last week...

bol
 
agree that the seahawks get up for primetime games but man their offense looked shabby last week...bol

1H and 2H of that game were very different for the Seahawks offensively. Even Sweezy said after the game that the 2H was the first time they finally played their style of offense this season and that the offensive line is improving.
 
1H and 2H of that game were very different for the Seahawks offensively. Even Sweezy said after the game that the 2H was the first time they finally played their style of offense this season and that the offensive line is improving.


:shake:

im just bitter bc I had a TT o29 ticket... the series at the end of the 1h where the seahawks got within the 10 yardlines and had 3 straight incompletions ticked me off
 
Fellas...

:shake:

Trend supporting the 'Circadian Rhythm'...

Pacific time zone teams at home are 12-1-1 ATS vs any other time zone on Monday night since 2006.
 
A new study on the circadian rhythm, a good night's sleep and the energy it provides for the body suggests that professional football players on the US West Coast have an edge over their East Coast opponents when the match is held starting after 8 p.m. Eastern Time.

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Roger S. Smith, a sleep specialist at Harvard University, said that in the past 40 years, even if you account for the quality of the teams, West Coast teams have "had a significant athletic performance advantage over East Coast teams when playing games starting after 8 p.m" EST.
Smith and his colleagues conducted an analysis of every NFL game played from 1970 to 2011 that started after 8 p.m. EST and involved East Coast versus West Coast teams, a total of 106 games. For controls, an additional 293 games involving the same match-ups but during daytime games were included in the study.
Even after adjusting for the Las Vegas points spread, which takes into account injuries, home field advantage and other factors, including the quality of the team, West Coast teams still showed strong advantage over East Coast teams in games beginning after 8 p.m. EST.
The researchers calculated that during night games, West Coast teams beat the spread in 66 percent of the games and did so by an average of 5.26 points. There was no statistically significant advantage reported when the same teams played during daylight hours.
The study authors report that biological rhythms can determine the specific times at which peak performance is likely to occur. Prior research has suggested that peak athletic performance occurs during the late afternoon. Therefore, a night game on for a West Coast team on after 8 p.m. on the East Coast could mean that the West Coast athletes are hitting their biological prime time for peak athletic performance well after it has passed for the East Coast team.
"This study is a reminder that the body has an intricate timing system that regulates both sleep and aspects of human performance," American Academy of Sleep Medicine President Dr. M. Safwan Badr said in a statement. "We function best when we maintain a daily routine that promotes healthy sleep, which is critical for daytime alertness, performance and public safety."
 
Last one was Niners (W) v Vikings in Week 1, will put up the other games a bit later.

Got to pop out for a bit.
 
Not tonight.

Lions pass rush surprised as did their O-line.

Same thing goes off next Monday.

Shit will start clicking soon enough.
 
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