Monday July 30 Discussion: Will Gerrit Cole continue to dominate?

VirginiaCavs

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Houston lineup worth fading without Altuve (and Correa) (averaging 2.5 runs in last four games) but I want to find out more about Paxton's status before locking in an under there.

Robbie Ray worth fading at home?

Nola in Boston interesting

Carlos Martinez on the mound vs underrated Rockies

...
 
price is electric with extra rest
nola excellent on 5 at night

I think we see some goose eggs

perfect weather with some ssw flow, not humid like
 
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I have a strong lean to over 8.5 at Toronto. It's blowing out quite hard.
Plus to that. Marco Estrada is coming off from rehab and missed only AAA game with a blister in hand. As he is extreme flyballer, I don't think he can hold this game low scoring as opponents are slugging his poorly slow fastball .545 and secondary pitch changeup .443. Jackson is winless in july and last game was worst in Athletic jersey.

P.S Sorry for my bad english and grammar errors. English is my third language and I live in Finland...

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Tend to agree JOTS. Nola should wear down a little earlier than normal due to a lineup with no easy pitcher outs but Sox lineup sans Devers less than stellar also. I was expecting an 8 not 9 for a total
 
Astros: Cole 9-1 L19 team starts during July, including 5-0 away; and 2-0 career team starts versus Seattle … Mariners: 2-10 L12 games in this series, and 1-8 home in this series.

Of course this is with McCann, Altuve and Correa most likely.
 
I agree Johnny. I see lots of trends with no logical reason behind them. Those trends are unwitting counterpoints because they should see regression for simple statistical reason that there‘s no reason for gap to widen like why expect heads 8 times out of ten when theres 50% chance (5/10)
 
This might not be the greatest time for the young Philadelphia Phillies to be visiting Fenway Park for a brief interleague series.

Yes, the Phillies are in first place in the National League East, leading the Atlanta Braves by 1 1/2 games. But after belting a team-record seven home runs in the opener of a four-game series in Cincinnati, they stopped hitting, didn't pitch and lost three in a row to the Reds.
Now they have to visit the sizzling Boston Red Sox, who have won three in a row and 17 of their last 21. They have won 13 of their last 15 at Fenway, where they have posted the best home record in the major leagues at 37-14. Their starting pitchers have allowed zero earned runs in eight of the last 11 games.
David Price (11-6) looks to continue that run against Phillies ace Aaron Nola.
Philly starters allowed 11 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in the last three games. But Nola, an All-Star, comes in 12-3 with a 2.42 ERA this season.
"I think it's more the waves and the ebbs and flows of a baseball season," rookie manager Gabe Kapler said after Sunday's loss. "You can click on some days. You don't click on others."
For Kapler, Monday marks a homecoming. He was a member of the 2004 Red Sox team that ended the franchise's long drought with the first title since 1918. He was with the Red Sox from 2003 to 2006 and also worked for the organization. Kapler batted .272 with six homers and 33 RBIs for the 2004 team and was in the postseason with Boston in 2003.
That's the distant past. Now his Phillies (58-47) have four games against the Red Sox (74-33) coming in a two-week span. The teams play Aug. 14-15 in Philadelphia.
Boston is as many as 41 games above .500 for the first time since 1946, when it entered play on Sept. 28 with a 104-48 record. The Red Sox are the fourth team since 1960 to win 74 of their first 107 games. Only one of those, though, the 1998 New York Yankees, went on to win the World Series.
The Red Sox, who lost their series opener against the Minnesota Twins, got seven shutout innings from Nathan Eovaldi in his debut with his new team Sunday.
"What a great way to start his career with the Red Sox," Boston manager Alex Cora said. "People can now talk about how good he is and how he's going to help us out."
J.D. Martinez drove in all three runs in the 3-0 win that kept the Red Sox 5 1/2 games ahead of the winning New York Yankees atop the American League East.
The Yankees visit Fenway for a four-game series starting Thursday night, with Eovaldi in line to face J.A. Happ, who won his debut with New York on Sunday.
While Nola faces the Red Sox for the first time in his young career, Price is 1-1 with a 4.67 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies -- and 15-12 in interleague play.
He worked a scoreless inning in Baltimore last Wednesday before the game was rained out -- and is in line to pitch against his nemesis, the Yankees, next Sunday night.
Three Phillies with significant at-bats against Price have big numbers against the left-hander. Newly acquired Asdrubel Cabrera is 7-for-20 (.350), Trevor Plouffe is 10-for-29 (.345) and Carlos Santana 10-for-31 (.323).
Martinez (1-for-3, .300) and Eduardo Nunez (0-for-3) are the only current Red Sox hitters who have faced Nola.
The Red Sox placed Rafael Devers on the 10-day disabled list with a hamstring injury Sunday and recalled Tzu-Wei Lin from Triple-A. The Phillies optioned Jesmuel Valentin to Triple-A.
 
Who is umpiring tonight?

I only posted the trends as extra info. Never should trends be used blindly but only considered and taken into an account when making a wager. Don’t think I’m saying anything anyone doesn’t know already. All good points though.
 
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Won't know SEA ump til at earliest about 60-90 minutes before 1st pitch I'd guess
 
Sox have been hammering NL teams for years now....play Philly at your own risk as this sox team does not take days off and they hammer bad teams...Philly does not qualify as bad though and Nola been very good....game under my favorite tonight
 
i like stros and seems like a good line, BUT would you believe HOU is 0-8 as road fav less than 130 on year :shocked:

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Perez and Ray both off very good performances, know what that means if we get an over ump. I do like Ray and he's gradually improving off the injury but pretty sure he went fairly deep last time out. Perez is a turd.
 
Perez and Ray both off very good performances, know what that means if we get an over ump. I do like Ray and he's gradually improving off the injury but pretty sure he went fairly deep last time out. Perez is a turd.

Ray has terrible home splits. He is a road guy.
 
Ray has terrible home splits. He is a road guy.
Still getting the arm back in shape, hasn't been leaving hangers as often as he was but still has a left a few up and at the altitude and dry air (it's finally dry) those tend to go far. Perfect over situation I think
 
I have a strong lean to over 8.5 at Toronto. It's blowing out quite hard.
Plus to that. Marco Estrada is coming off from rehab and missed only AAA game with a blister in hand. As he is extreme flyballer, I don't think he can hold this game low scoring as opponents are slugging his poorly slow fastball .545 and secondary pitch changeup .443. Jackson is winless in july and last game was worst in Athletic jersey.

P.S Sorry for my bad english and grammar errors. English is my third language and I live in Finland...

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I played this over as well., been waiting to start fading Edwin w some overs. Just hope Oakland bats wake up from their slumber in Colorado this past weekend.
 
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