Monday, July 23 SDQL

[JROCK1966]

Overall YTD: -$293.27

Since July 5th: +$215.38

-$27.80 yesterday.

Dodgers @ Phillies: This situation normally draws an Under. 4-0 O/U record listed below although Eflin is starting not Velasquez. Will check out some ump stalking later to see if it's a play.

 

[JROCK1966]

Braves @ Marlins: some nice historical mojo for the Braves. The home team is 2-7 SU and 2-7 RL in the 1st pic which can be further whittled down to 1-4 SU & 1-4 RL in the 2nd.

 

[JROCK1966]

Yankees @ Rays: Is Severino good enough to overcome all the mojo for the home team in this situation? Yes, of course he is, but this one is an interesting dog possibility considering the Rays went thru a stretch of beating the Yanks and Astros at home prior to the ASB. The situation for the home team has a 5-1 SU record in the 1st pic and, in the 2nd pic, when the opponent has a day of rest on a Monday the only time it happened was a blowout home win.

 

[JROCK1966]

Couple of Severino splits....he's not quite at his best on 6+ rest however he has been lights out @ Tropicana Field:

 

[JROCK1966]

A's @ Rangers: There was some home mojo for the home team in the 1st pic but whittling it down further it became 50/50. However, the Over looks good in Arlington for tonight!

 

[JROCK1966]

Pirates @ Indians: 1st pic has the home team in good shape for tonight. 2nd pic shows the previous game margin for the road team and the results are not as kind to the home team. Considering the Pirates are on fire right now and I'm not sure who the hell would lay -270 on a pitcher that had a gel injection after his last time out. Seems like either pass on this game or take a shot with the Pirates.

 

[JROCK1966]

Padres @ Mets: DeGrom should own the Padres tonight. Home teams on a day of rest in this situation are 3-0 SU. When you add in a starter with an ERA <3 it's 1-0 and a blowout. DeGrom's ERA is < 2. Mets -1.5 RL for tonight!

 

[JROCK1966]

Cards @ Reds: The only time the home team won was as a dog. See pic 1. Add in the opponent has more wins than the home team and it's more mojo for the road team. See pic 2.

 

[JROCK1966]

DBacks @ Cubs: Over in Chicago? Corbin has a 6.88 ERA at Wrigley in 3 starts.

 

[JROCK1966]

Nats @ Brewers: Read a post on here not long ago that a Brewers' fan said to start fading the Brew Crew. Here's some historical mojo for tonight's game that does not speak highly of the Brewers chances. The situation has a 1-7 SU & 1-7 RL record. See pic 1. When I enter the win for the Brewers from Saturday, it goes winless. Furthermore, I know from following the Nats Gio is at his best when well rested. However he has not had much success at Miller Park. Hmmmm....I actually hate backing the Nats. Gonna have to ponder this one further.

 

[JROCK1966]

Nats @ Brewers: Read a post on here not long ago that a Brewers' fan said to start fading the Brew Crew. Here's some historical mojo for tonight's game that does not speak highly of the Brewers chances. The situation has a 1-7 SU & 1-7 RL record. See pic 1. When I enter the win for the Brewers from Saturday, it goes winless. Furthermore, I know from following the Nats Gio is at his best when well rested. However he has not had much success at Miller Park. Hmmmm....I actually hate backing the Nats. Gonna have to ponder this one further.

View attachment 33606View attachment 33607View attachment 33604View attachment 33605

The only time the home team won in this situation DeLaRosa was going thru a rough patch. I went back and looked at his splits in July of 2015. See below.

Winning over the Braves yesterday may have given the Nats hope and, having Gonzalez going tonight being on his best rest, they have a chance to get some momentum going.....

 

[mrpickem]

Nice runs JRock! Keep it rolling :shake:

 

[JROCK1966]

White Sox @ Angels: All queries point towards a -2.5 RL win by the home team.

 

[JROCK1966]

Upping the ante a bit but reducing the number of plays:

1. 7/23/2018 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 955 Atlanta Braves* -1½ +135 vs Miami Marlins
   S Newcomb - L Listed J Urena - R Listed
   Risking $20.00 To Win $27.00
2. 7/23/2018 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 955 Atlanta Braves* -120 vs Miami Marlins
   S Newcomb - L Listed J Urena - R Listed
   Risking $24.00 To Win $20.00
3. 7/23/2018 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 961 Washington Nationals* -1½ +150 vs Milwaukee Brewers
   G Gonzalez - L Listed J Chacin - R Listed
   Risking $20.00 To Win $30.00
4. 7/23/2018 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 961 Washington Nationals* -105 vs Milwaukee Brewers
   G Gonzalez - L Listed J Chacin - R Listed
   Risking $21.00 To Win $20.00
5. 7/23/2018 10:05 PM MLB Baseball 974 Los Angeles Angels* -1½ -110 vs Chicago White Sox
   L Giolito - R Listed J Barria - R Listed
   Risking $22.00 To Win $20.00
6. 7/23/2018 10:05 PM MLB Baseball 974 Los Angeles Angels* -2½ +160 vs Chicago White Sox
   L Giolito - R Listed J Barria - R Listed
   Risking $20.00 To Win $32.00

BOLTA!!

 

[VirginiaCavs]

BOL today Virginia man

 

[JROCK1966]

Gawd ahmighty I can't help myself. 2 & 3-teamer RRs:

1. 7/23/2018 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 955 Atlanta Braves* -2½ +205 vs Miami Marlins
   S Newcomb - L Listed J Urena - R Listed
2. 7/23/2018 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 961 Washington Nationals* -2½ +225 vs Milwaukee Brewers
   G Gonzalez - L Listed J Chacin - R Listed
3. 7/23/2018 10:05 PM MLB Baseball 974 Los Angeles Angels* -2½ +160 vs Chicago White Sox
   L Giolito - R Listed J Barria - R Listed
   

Risking $12.00 (4 parlays at $3.00) To Win $144.20


BOLTA!!

 

[JROCK1966]

Adding....the only time this situation won Randy Johnson had to throw a shutout. Gausman is hardly Randy Johnson.

7/23/2018 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 963 Boston Red Sox* -1½ -120 vs Baltimore Orioles
R Porcello - R Listed K Gausman - R Listed
Risking $24.00 To Win $20.00

7/23/2018 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 963 Boston Red Sox* -2½ +130 vs Baltimore Orioles
R Porcello - R Listed K Gausman - R Listed
Risking $20.00 To Win $26.00

 

[JROCK1966]

Lost $48 last night. Not happy.