Monday I overslept openers Discussion

[GWarner27]

Saw DET -105 and was trying to figure out if I should buy as that number is $0.30 below what I made it and BM opened while I was deciding...

Leans:
CIN +146
CHW +153

On the radar:
DET -118/u7.5
CHW u8.5
LAA u7.5

 

[EFC1878]

Tigers are -101 for Monday at 5dimes right now.

 

[GWarner27]

Tigers are -101 for Monday at 5dimes right now.

thanks, i've been watching and i'm debating when to jump in because a lot of people I respect think this line is crazy (and I'd love to get DET + money against a dumpster fire of a team)

 

[austinhous]

Tigers are 9-1 at Cleveland since last year.

 

[tuck321]

Cleveland just got swept at home for the first time this year.

 

[tuck321]

No contest thread? Playing over in Angels for sure.
Under is a Warner lean. Just noticed. Would urge you to switch. Keuchel has not been good on 5 days rest.
Keuchel is off his first career shutout. .491 ERA at Angels based on 11 innings. In his 3 road games this year he has received 6,7 and 6 runs,
Richards in his 2 home games vs Astros has gone 12.1 innings and given up 9 runs. Richards 2 home games getting 5 and 9 runs. Houston huge chip on shoulder aimed at Angels after losing 5 of last 6 games at home to Angels. This year that last 9-1 beat of Cosart and the Richards 11-1 beat of Harrel stand out. Richards has 2 good 4 days rest starts but over time 4,5 ERA based on 84 innings

 

[GWarner27]

No contest thread? Playing over in Angels for sure.
Under is a Warner lean. Just noticed. Would urge you to switch. Keuchel has not been good on 5 days rest.
Keuchel is off his first career shutout. .491 ERA at Angels based on 11 innings. In his 3 road games this year he has received 6,7 and 6 runs,
Richards in his 2 home games vs Astros has gone 12.1 innings and given up 9 runs. Richards 2 home games getting 5 and 9 runs. Houston huge chip on shoulder aimed at Angels after losing 5 of last 6 games at home to Angels. This year that last 9-1 beat of Cosart and the Richards 11-1 beat of Harrel stand out. Richards has 2 good 4 days rest starts but over time 4,5 ERA based on 84 innings

i think Richards could throw a no-no tonight (i realize this is prediction #2 and the last one resulted in TJ for Fernandez), but agree I don't want to touch the Astros pen when LAA is starting to swing the bats or at least did yesterday with 10+ hits vs my main man Price in my under that pushed

 

[austinhous]

tweeted 4 minutes ago:

@jonmorosi
Tigers travel saga update: They're about to take off from Boston. Clubhouse supposed to open to media in 1 hour . . . It will be empty.

 

[smo1a]

Went ahead and took Tribe 1st 5 and game. Kluber gets to face some tired bats tonight. Can't believe I'm passing on Detroit at plus money (rare opportunity) but the situation combined with Tribes best pitcher dictates the play. Considering a half unit on tribe / under parlay.

 

[Gyno]

Salami under

 

[orangemonk]

FYI, Smyly flew in yesterday before the Boston game, so he's been there & rested.

 

[tuck321]

Trends

[h=2]MLB Baseball Betting Trends for Mon, May 19[/h] Cincinnati at Washington, 7:05 ET
Leake: CINCINNATI 98-62 after a loss
Strasburg: WASHINGTON 25-29 after having won 3 of their last 4 games
Milwaukee at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Peralta: MILWAUKEE 29-18 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Minor: 11-2 OVER at home when the total is 7 or less
Detroit at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Smyly: DETROIT 10-2 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Kluber: CLEVELAND is 10-0 OVER after a loss by 4 runs or more
Chicago at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Carroll: CHI WHITE SOX 43-77 after a loss
Vargas: 21-9 TSR in May games
Houston at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Keuchel: HOUSTON is 17-55 as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Richards: LA ANGELS are 44-22 after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games
more trends

MAY 19, 2014
Featuring
the SDQL
Presented By SportsBook Breakers
DAILY MLB TIPSHEET
SBB’S SDQL SU TREND OF THE DAY:
T
he Royals are 16-0 since September 15, 2008 as a home
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and p:W and SG!=SGS and date>=20080915
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M
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starter=’Mike Minor’ and HF and s:QS and s:W and
date>=20120802
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND :
T
he Astros are 0-12 (+$1,220) since June 2004 in the open
-
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allowed six or less hits.
SDQL TEXT:
team=Astros and 20040601<=date and A and
po:hits<=6 and p:FW and SG=1
SBB’S SDQL CHOICE TREND:
T
he Brewers are 9-0 since September 04, 2013 when they
lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit
of $1158.
SDQL TEXT:
team=Brewers and s:L and ss:L and date>=20130904
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W
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after going at least 6 innings and giving up no home runs
for a net profit of $1138 when playing against.
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USER Submitted: NONE
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[GWarner27]

Went ahead and took Tribe 1st 5 and game. Kluber gets to face some tired bats tonight. Can't believe I'm passing on Detroit at plus money (rare opportunity) but the situation combined with Tribes best pitcher dictates the play. Considering a half unit on tribe / under parlay.

technically not only passing on DET + money, but playing them and 1H as well lol

 

[theking]

FYI, Smyly flew in yesterday before the Boston game, so he's been there & rested.

With/without all the travel BS, I still like Kluber on the mound for the Indians. If you saw what he did in his last outing against the Jays you would be very impressed. I realize the Indians hit Left-Handed batters like shit and Smyly is also a great pitcher but something has got to give. I took Indians 1st 5 innings (-105). I think Kluber can keep the Indians in this game early, giving them a good chance to win the 1st 5 if they can put up a run or two.

 

[tuck321]

This guy is very good
[TABLE="class: forum"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: forumhead, width: 20%"]uthor:[/TD]
[TD="class: forumhead"][MLB Betting] Topic: 30-7 W/L[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: sp-info"]
[TD] SportsLab[/TD]
[TD] View Space | Friends | Playbook | [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: odd"]
[TD="class: forumpost"]

Prospect
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 74
Location:
[/TD]
[TD="class: forumpost-post"]#1
Posted: 5/19/2014 12:07:42 PM
under 7.5 in anaheim monday[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[tuck321]

Playing off a shut out and at Anaheim Keuchel should get hit. I do not understand why Richards should not get hit. Will wait on umpire.
One possible angle is because Houston is on 2 wins.
This season 2 runs, 3 runs. 3 runs. All losers. Houston has scored 14 runs last 2 games. Just thinking

 

[tuck321]

With/without all the travel BS, I still like Kluber on the mound for the Indians. If you saw what he did in his last outing against the Jays you would be very impressed. I realize the Indians hit Left-Handed batters like shit and Smyly is also a great pitcher but something has got to give. I took Indians 1st 5 innings (-105). I think Kluber can keep the Indians in this game early, giving them a good chance to win the 1st 5 if they can put up a run or two.

Based on situation Cleveland is obvious. Betting it---?

 

[tuck321]

Kluber on 4 days rest
3-1 2.11 ERA
been a long time for Smyly 2 years I believe 3.91 ERA

 

[BJPLAYER]

i find it does not make sense to go against a team that is as hot as detroit....especially with a team like cleveland....i don't care who is pitching

 

[tuck321]

Then just forget about situations. They just swept 2 teams in a row and the second one was major playoff revenge. Its a let down situation for them while Cleveland should be sky high

 

[tuck321]

Cleveland 4-3 at home vs lefties 0-8 on the road.
short sample Kluber bad with ump and Symly good
1-6 record for home teams. Have to jump ship and avoid Cleveland

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

We are looking to fade reds and houston tonight as road dog loss chase

 

[Engineer]

No way I could bring myself to play CLE

DET is red hot, playing loose, and having fun

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Im confused. The wind is blowing out 17 mph to left with fb vargas and gas can. Is there a reason why this doesnt go over?

 

[GWarner27]

Im confused. The wind is blowing out 17 mph to left with fb vargas and gas can. Is there a reason why this doesnt go over?

CHW struggles with soft-throwing LHP (look at Bruce Chen's numbers against them) and KC can't hit. Weather scares me a bit, but it's really hard to hit a HR there

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Thanks GW. Im going to lay off. Plus no Abreu for a while.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Gomez is playing. Not sure of Rmairez status but glad hes not playing. He owns Minor. Gattis catching , Pena at second.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

nats lineup looks weak, as does reds w/o bruce and votto.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

everybody on that over tho

 

[GWarner27]

everybody on that over tho

not sure why haha

 

[P-Unit]

Is Dusty Baker still managing the Reds? my fucking god.

top of 12, men on first and second with no outs. 3rd batter of the inning bunts into FC with the runner out at third and fourth batter GIDP. goddammit.