Monday DC was fun this weekend Discussion

GWarner27

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
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<tbody>[TR="class: even"]
[TD="class: forumpost-post"]Guesses:
ATL -140/7.5u20
CHC +120
COL -150/9o20
LAD -205/7.5
TOR -110/9.5
HOU +195/7.5
NYY -170/8o15
CHW +110/7.5
MIN +110/9
KC made with Duffy
ARI made with Miguel Gonzalez

leans:
PHI +160
TOR o9.5: Foster
NYY u8
MIN o8
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Straily on 5 days rest
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[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc, align: center"]I[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc, align: left"]Split[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]W[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]L[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]<nobr>W-L%</nobr>[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, align: center"]ERA[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]G[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]GS[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]GF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]CG[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SHO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SV[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]IP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]H[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]R[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]ER[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]HR[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]IBB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]SO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]HBP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BK[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]WP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, align: center"]BF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, align: center"]WHIP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]SO/9[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, align: center"]SO/BB[/TH]
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[TD][/TD]
[TD]4 Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].200[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]45.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]51[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]35[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]31[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]37[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]210[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.577[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.76[/TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]5 Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.000[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.16[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]93[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.720[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.60[/TD]
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[TD][/TD]
[TD]6+ Days,GS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].500[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.68[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]29.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]27[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]30[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]118[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.091[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.00[/TD]
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Damn nice #s there. Was leaning over. Doubt any of those 3 games were in conditions like Toronto today.
 
Line makes no sense to me in Tor. Oak hits lefties. Happ is a can and he's in bad form.
 
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]Oakland vs. Toronto - August 12, 12:37 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]Oakland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
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[TD]Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
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[TD]Toronto is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]Texas vs. Houston - August 12, 2:10 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
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[TD]Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]LA Angels vs. NY Yankees - August 12, 7:05 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
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[TD]LA Angels are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
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[TD]NY Yankees are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]Philadelphia vs. Atlanta - August 12, 7:10 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
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[TD]Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
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[TD]Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]Cincinnati vs. Chi Cubs - August 12, 8:05 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
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[TD]Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
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[TD]Chi Cubs are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]Detroit vs. Chi White Sox - August 12, 8:10 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
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[TD]Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
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[TD]The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Detroit
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[TD]Chi White Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Detroit
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]Cleveland vs. Minnesota - August 12, 8:10 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
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[TD]Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
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[TD]The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home
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[TD]The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]Miami vs. Kansas City - August 12, 8:10 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
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[TD]The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Miami's last 25 games
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[TD]Kansas City is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
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[TD]Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]San Diego vs. Colorado - August 12, 8:40 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 12 games on the road
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[TD]San Diego is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
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[TD]The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]Baltimore vs. Arizona - August 12, 9:40 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
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[TD]Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
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[TD]The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 12 games
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[TD]Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
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[TD="class: trends-team, width: 100%, bgcolor: #B6CACF, colspan: 2, align: left"]NY Mets vs. LA Dodgers - August 12, 10:10 PM - See more trends![/TD]
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[TD]The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
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[TD]NY Mets are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
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[TD]The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Dodgers's last 16 games
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[TD]LA Dodgers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home
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Yeah 3/4 vs Yanks and Giants. 2 of the worst offenses in
bases at the time. Rangers offense been hit or miss all year.
 
I think this A's hit lefties thing is fake. .238 vs lefties, .244 vs. righties. HR rates down too. Might have made sense in May. Actually a pathetic .224 on the road vs lefties.
 
8/12

Source: http://armadillosports.com/mlb.html


Hot pitchers
-- Atlanta won last four Teheran starts (2-0, 1.13). Hamels has a 1.64 RA in his last three starts, but no wins; Phils are 3-9 when he starts on the road.
-- Latos is 3-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
-- Chacin is 2-3, 2.41 in his last six starts. Volquez is 2-1, 3.97 in his last four.
-- Mejia is 1-1, 2.45 in three starts this season.
-- Davis is 1-0, 1.46 in his last couple starts. Koehler is 2-2, 3.24 in last four.
-- Miley is 3-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.
-- Oberholtzer is 2-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in his first two MLB starts. Darvish is 3-1, 1.37 in his last four starts.
-- Kuroda is 3-1, 1.13 in his last six starts. Richards is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three.
-- Detroit won last five Fister starts (4-0, 1.85). Sale has a 2.95 RA in his last three starts; White Sox scored seven runs in his last four outings.
-- Albers blanked the Royals for 8.1 innings in winning his MLB debut. Salazar is 1-0, 3.46 in his first two MLB starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Wood is 1-2, 4.82 in his last five starts.
-- Nolasco has a 4.50 RA in his last five starts, and hasn't finished sixth inning in any of those five games, but LA won last four, scoring 30 runs.
-- Feldman is 2-3, 6.16 in his last five starts.
-- Toronto lost Johnson's last three home starts (0-2, 8.82). Straily is 0-4, 6.30 in his last four starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. You're reading armadillosports.com. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Hamels 4-24 (1 of last 14); Teheran 7-22 (0 of last 8)
-- Latos 8-23 (0 of last 4); Wood 3-23
-- Volquez 8-24; Chacin 2-22
-- Mejia 0-3; Nolasco 7-23
-- Koehler 5-14 (1 of last 5); Davis 8-20 (6 of last 10)
-- Feldman 5-21 (0 of last 5); Miley 6-23
-- Straily 4-18; Johnson 4-16
-- Darvish 7-21; Oberholtzer 0-2
-- Richards 1-7; Kuroda 6-23 (0 of last 6)
-- Fister 5-23 (0 of last 5); Sale 7-22 (1 of last 7)
-- Salazar 0-2; Albers 0-1

Totals
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Cincinnati road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Colorado games.
-- 12 of last 16 Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Miami games.
-- Three of last four Arizona games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Toronto games.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Angel games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won 15 of their last 16 games.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five games.
-- Colorado won five of its last six home games.
-- Dodgers are 37-8 in their last 45 games. Mets won four of their last five.
-- Kansas City won 16 of its last 19 games.
-- Orioles won nine of their last thirteen road games.
-- Rangers won 12 of their last 13 games.
-- Tigers won 17 of their last 20 games.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost 17 of their last 20 games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last nine home games.
-- Padres lost five of their last seven games.
-- Marlins lost seven of their last eight games, scoring 17 runs.
-- Arizona is 3-4 in its last seven home games.
-- Oakland lost seven of its last ten games. Toronto lost three of last four.
-- Astros lost 23 of their last 28 games.
-- Angels lost 11 of last 16 games. Bronx Bombers lost five of their last six.
-- White Sox lost 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Indians lost six of their last seven games.​
 
Inspekdah said:
I think this A's hit lefties thing is fake. .238 vs lefties, .244 vs. righties. HR rates down too. Might have made sense in May. Actually a pathetic .224 on the road vs lefties.
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Yeah, I hadn't realized the A's have come back down to earth vs. lefties lately. (7th best in majors vs. lefties). I think some of it were some struggles vs. lefties when Cespedes was out.



Vs Lefties:

10% bb rate, 20% k rate, .324 OBP, .398 Slugging, .723 OPS, .318 wOBA

Vs. Righties

9%, 19%, .319, .398, .717 OPS, .315 wOBA


In recent games started vs. lefties:

Buerhle 4 runs, 11 hits
Holland 0 runs, 5 hits
Buerhle 0 runs, 5 hits
Wilson 3 runs, 6 hits
Keuchel 4 runs, 8 hits

I wonder how much of it has to do with the level of competition. They are facing some tough lefties. Overall, the lineup today vs. lefty pitching:

Young .638 OPS
Lowrie .720
Donaldson 1.006
Cespedes .830
Freimon .776
Reddick .720
Collaspo .704
Vogt low abs
Sogard .676

I think the lineup looks solid and Happ is a can. Surprised to see how the numbers have come down, but I'm still on Oakland. Best of Luck.
 
Yeah and their good #s before that we're probably Saunders or some bum like that. I hear ya GW.

My gut is telling me to take the more experienced bum of the 2 as I think Happ sucks but will rebound off 1st start back. Straily just been borderline awful and could be sent down.
 
If you needed another reason to back the Dodgers, Mejia isn't 100% healthy. He intentionally cut back on his velocity during Tuesday's start and admitted before that the bone spur in his elbow, which is slated to be surgically removed after the season, was bothering him in the start against Miami.
 
I parlayed Oak and over. Added a decent size play on Indians. Really like Salazar and the Indians hit lefties really well. Slight concern is the Indians crapping bed on the road.
 
I have the over in Canada

Is there a setting or something you can change on yahoo mlb page ? what the fuck have they done to it ? fuckin always messing
 
Inspekdah said:
Meija 6 days to rest a bone spur and was still dealing... 7 k's 1 run
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He was dealing to the Rockies who were a combined .249/.290/.339 on their road trip at the time. And they struck out 80 times in those 10 games.
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A's ain't winning crap cause they can't hit with men on. Rangers division all the way. Hopefully don't have to see these guys in the playoffs either as its a terrible watch.
 
Line got as high as 10, then 9.5 -120, then 9.5 +100 about 15 mins before. Closed at 9.5 -120 tho.

Just seems like a typical move on game. Fast paced even tho both pitchers don't look great.
 
Think it's gonna be up to the Jays to get this over moving. Straily walking or letting on about 2 an inning
 
some of these games lately have relievers giving up 5-6 runs in an inning...hope it continues today....over 9.5 here
 
Inspekdah said:
Line got as high as 10, then 9.5 -120, then 9.5 +100 about 15 mins before. Closed at 9.5 -120 tho.

Just seems like a typical move on game. Fast paced even tho both pitchers don't look great.
Click to expand...

yeah but the vast majority are on the over. I took it as well but I went small because I hate going with 78% on wagers
 
Yeah it seemed square. Straily great on 5 days and A's bad on road vs lefties. But I dove in as well. I'm terrible betting work/day games.
 
Dollaz said:
I parlayed Oak and over. Added a decent size play on Indians. Really like Salazar and the Indians hit lefties really well. Slight concern is the Indians crapping bed on the road.
Click to expand...

I think Albers gets smacked tonight, hoping for over there
 
They didn't hit Wilson all that well but Wilson is a quality lefty. I was on Cleveland pretty large in that one too. Scared to back them again. Minny the hotter team. I think Over might be the right angle GW.
 
GWarner27 said:
Talk me off Phils, not hitting over in min
Click to expand...

Lol, seriously? Braves the hottest team in the majors, own the best record at home this season (and overall), are behind a good pitcher (Teheran) who has given up one run or less in 10 of 15 outings, plus the Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 home series openers.

But Hamels does come at a damn good price...
 
There is more action on the under in Colorado. The line movement on baseball sides is complete nonsense. IMO it's FAR MORE important to look for "shady" lines rather than following line movement.

Theres nothing wacky about the rox price
 
I agree w/ everything you just said. I guess I just thought you would have been a bit scared seeing large public on Colorado. I agree, I think it's fair.
 
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