Whats up everyone? Just saw one game that I really liked:
Florida/Washington OVER 8 (4.4-4)
Washington comes into this game with John Patterson on the bump. He is one of the few bright spots on this team IMO. A few reasons why I like Florida's chances to score some runs:
The way Patterson ended his year: L3 8.00 ERA 1.889 WHIP. Now I do not like to read too much into last year, especially when you are talking about a solid player but this stat stands out a little. Patterson did alright when he was healthy (4.43 ERA 1.106 WHIP...8 games) and a pretty good one at home (3.95 ERA 1.024 WHIP...3 games). After a short season(arm surgery, I believe) he gets the nod for opening day. In his 8 games of work, he only averaged 5 innings per. In 2005 he had a tremendous year. Washington is banking that he will return to that form he had 2 years ago. Why I wont think he will be in top form tomorrow...I do not see The Nats pushing their luck with him (meaning they will get him out of the game- at any sign of fatigue). Waiting to come in for Patterson is the Nats pen who supported a 4.49 ERA a year ago. Now, that is not horrendous but they did give up many homeruns and walks.
In general, The Marlins were a better offensive team on the road last year. They batted .270 and averaged 5 rpg. Dontrelle Willis will toe the bump for the visiting team. Willis ended last season on a sour note...ERA near 5 in his L3. Someone correct me if I am wrong here BUT doesnt Willis usually start the year off slow? For some reason, I remember him struggling early in the year. WIllis did have another phenominal year LY and pitched better on the road (3.30 ERA).
The Marlin bullpen is absolutely horrid. Their WHIP was 1.566 LY in all games! On the road they had a 5.89 ERA with a 1.722 WHIP. Though Washington is by no means a power house offense, they do have success against lefties. They averaged nearly 5 runs but batted .277 and had a OBP og .356. Why is this important if they are only scoring 5 runs per? Pitch Count...make Willis throw many pitches, thus getting to that pen.
This is all I have right now...have to run...
BOL:cheers:
Florida/Washington OVER 8 (4.4-4)
Washington comes into this game with John Patterson on the bump. He is one of the few bright spots on this team IMO. A few reasons why I like Florida's chances to score some runs:
The way Patterson ended his year: L3 8.00 ERA 1.889 WHIP. Now I do not like to read too much into last year, especially when you are talking about a solid player but this stat stands out a little. Patterson did alright when he was healthy (4.43 ERA 1.106 WHIP...8 games) and a pretty good one at home (3.95 ERA 1.024 WHIP...3 games). After a short season(arm surgery, I believe) he gets the nod for opening day. In his 8 games of work, he only averaged 5 innings per. In 2005 he had a tremendous year. Washington is banking that he will return to that form he had 2 years ago. Why I wont think he will be in top form tomorrow...I do not see The Nats pushing their luck with him (meaning they will get him out of the game- at any sign of fatigue). Waiting to come in for Patterson is the Nats pen who supported a 4.49 ERA a year ago. Now, that is not horrendous but they did give up many homeruns and walks.
In general, The Marlins were a better offensive team on the road last year. They batted .270 and averaged 5 rpg. Dontrelle Willis will toe the bump for the visiting team. Willis ended last season on a sour note...ERA near 5 in his L3. Someone correct me if I am wrong here BUT doesnt Willis usually start the year off slow? For some reason, I remember him struggling early in the year. WIllis did have another phenominal year LY and pitched better on the road (3.30 ERA).
The Marlin bullpen is absolutely horrid. Their WHIP was 1.566 LY in all games! On the road they had a 5.89 ERA with a 1.722 WHIP. Though Washington is by no means a power house offense, they do have success against lefties. They averaged nearly 5 runs but batted .277 and had a OBP og .356. Why is this important if they are only scoring 5 runs per? Pitch Count...make Willis throw many pitches, thus getting to that pen.
This is all I have right now...have to run...
BOL:cheers:
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