E.T.G.
One of trus baby mommas
100-77-5 +$3,974.60
Got an early start here. Took Sunday off and just closed the wk out positive. Hopefully that can continue. Very small card here with only 5 games and it is not a strong card at all. I broke them all down because I had some time to kick back. A few games are pending on Sunday but it doesn't have that big of an effect on my thoughts for Monday.
Mets -106 / Dodgers -104.... O/U 7.5-110
Mets will be happy to go play an NL team again after losing 2/3 over the wkend to the Tigers and getting drilled on Sunday. They have now lost 6 of their last 7 games. The good news is that the offense has finally showed up again. The Dodgers are not hitting much of anything right now (as I am typing this they score 2 in first inning vs. Halliday) Hernandez has been brilliant and really caught me by surprise since coming back from the D/L. In 8 starts this yr he has given up more than 2er only one time.
Last 3 starts: 1-0, 0.95era, 19ip, 7h, 2er, 5bb, 10k
Away this yr: 2-0, 1.04era, 4g, 26ip, 12h, 3er, 8bb, 20k... Batters hitting just .145 off him and .173 overall on the yr.
Hernandez has 1 batter in the LAD lineup to worry about, Nomar who hits .333 in 27ab off him.
Wolf will take the mound for the Dodgers and he has not been as impressive lately.
Last 3 starts: 1-1, 5.06era, 16ip, 18h, 9er, 7bb, 14k
Home this yr: 5-2, 3.51era, 8g, 48.2ip, 44h, 13bb, 55k... Batters hitting .234 off him and .253 overall on the yr.
Wolf has been a better pitcher at home, without a doubt and this is a big series for two of the NL's elite teams.
Only Mets hitters with real success of Wolf:
Beltran = .316 in 19ab, LoDuca = .400 in 25ab, Reyes = .261 in 23ab
Prior to the games on Sunday the Mets were 19-8 on the road and the Dodgers were 18-11 at home.
Again there is that whole thought of "Mets kill LHP" and while I tried to explain that they haven't been killing LHP and the number is inflated last wk when they faced Hamels, they do hit LHP significantly better than RHP and they have been crushing LHP on the road at .344, a number worth paying attention to.
No series this yr, Mets were 7-3 vs. LAD last yr and 3-1 in LA.
This line is going to get hammered tonight, just my prediction.
LEAN TO THE METS -106
White Sox +128 / Phillies -138.... O 9.5 -120 / U 9.5 +100
The White Sucks are playing terrible ball right now and were losers of 8 of 10 games going into Sunday where they AVOIDED a SWEEP from Houston, Ouch, and losers of 13 of their last 16games going into Sunday.. Going into Sunday the WSox were hitting just .215 over that 10game spand and average 2.6runs/game going into the game Sunday.. Taking the mound for the Sox will be Vazquez who is 3-4 w/ 4.13era on the yr.
Last 3 starts: 1-2, 3.92era, 20.2ip, 21h, 9er, 6bb, 21k.... 1.86WHIP
Away this yr: 2-1, 3.76era, 6g, 40.2ip, 36h, 9bb, 37k... Batters hitting .240 off him
He is 10-6 w/ 4.55era in his career vs. Phillies but those numbers are outdated and the only hitters to have real success off him are Burrell = .300 in 40ab and Utley = .500 in 6ab.
WSox bullpen has been very very bad as well.
They are 13-16 away this yr, same record they have at home.
The Phillies will send out Eaton who went 6ip-2er last start vs. the Mets, will note that he is 5-0 w/ 1.98era in his career vs. the Mets.
Last 3 games: 2-1, 7.07era, 14ip, 17h, 9bb, 6k
At home this yr: 2-3, 7.04era, 30.2ip, 38h, 21bb, 22k... Batters hitting .314 off him and .282 overall.
Those numbers are bush league.
Phillies are 6-5 in their last 11 games and 15-15 at home.
This is the first time the teams will meet since the 04' season.
Both Chitown and Philly hit RHP better than RHP.
I am not laying any kind of chalk with Eaton and the White Sox are not exactly a reliable Doggie to bet on right now but if I have to pick one its White Sox +128
Blue Jays +145 / Giants -155... O/U 8.5 -110
Towers has just been inserted back into the starting rotation and is 2-3 w/ 5.15era this yr. The bright spot is that he has 5bb and 33k on the yr.
Towers has started 1 game on the road this yr and has appeared in 11innings total posting a 7.36era, 16h, and batters hitting .340 off him, .290 overall on the yr.
Blue Jays are playing the Dodgers right now (3-2 score) and are 5-5 in their last 10 heading into that game.
Blue Jays are 11-17 away from home.
The Giants are just 3-7 in their last 10 games and are trying to avoid being swept by A's (0-0 score).
Morris has gone 7 straight games of giving up 3er or less and has been tough this yr and in his last 3 games.
Last 3 games: 1-2, 1.29era, 21ip, 16h, 5bb, 12k
At home this yr: 2-1, 2.14era, 5g, 33.2ip, 34h, 10bb, 15k.
Alfonzo will likely be out for the yr and Lewis is on the D/L for the Giants.
While Morris has been solid, he is 2-2 in his last 4 starts giving up 4er total. Run support is hard to come by for the Giants but Towers should help the cause a little bit. Toronto is a really bad road team.
Lean to the Giants -155
Mariners +141 / Indians -151.... O 10 -120 / U 10 +100
Just want to note that this is a makeup game once again. Mariners will fly from San Diego to Cleveland for this game then head to Chicago for a series with the Cubs. Indians will come back from Cinci, play at home, then head to Florida for a series with the Marlins.
Cleveland just dropped a 12inning game to Cinci 1-0, Sabathia went 9ip and got no run support, could of used the W for my fantasy team!
Baek has faced Cleveland once already this yr and it was in the first makeup game, a 5-2 loss where he went 6.1ip, 8h, 5er, 1bb, 6k.
Although Baek gave up 5er, he gave up 3er in the 7th when he prob should have been pulled anyway as he had thrown over 100pitches already.
One interesting note, Mariners are 7-2 when Baek pitches.
Baek last 3: 2-0, 3.79era, 19ip, 19h, 2bb, 14k
Baek away: 2-1, 5.34era, 5g, 30.1ip, 35h, 5bb, 22k... Batters hitting .285 off him and .267 overall
Cleveland will send out Paul Byrd who is 6-2 w/ 3.80era on the yr. I will say that he is very hittable.
Byrd last 3: 2-1, 4.42era, 18.1ip, 28h, 1bb, 9k
Byrd at home: 4-1, 4.22era, 5g, 32ip, 39h, 4bb, 22k
Byrd career vs. M's: 6-2, 2.29era, 8games
Mariners vs. Byrd:
Beltre = .238 in 21ab, Guillen = .429 in 7ab, Ibanez = .529 in 17ab, Ichiro = .241 in 29ab, Vidro = .636 in 11ab, Lopez = .250 in 8ab, Broussard = .333 in 6ab, Betan Court = .250 in 8ab.
Indians are 6-4 when Byrd pitches.
In 5 of Byrd's last 6 starts he has given up 9hits or more.
Mariners have been crushing the ball for pretty much the last month and average 6.8runs/game in their last 10 games going into the game Sunday. Indians average 6.1runs/game over the same span.
Mariners Vs. RHP = .284overall, .330 L10 games.
Indians Vs. RHP = .283overall, .321 L10 games.
Seattle is 15-13 on the road this yr.
Cleveland is 21-7 at home this yr.
Lean to the Mariners +141 despite the mid country flight from San Diego to Ohio, the Mariners are too hot on offense and Byrd gives up too many hits to not get punished one of these days. Lucky for him he doesn't walk a lot of guys. Baek just has to keep his team in the game and not get shelled himself.
Astros +175 / Cubbies -185
Really no value at all here. Cubs are playing much better but I have no desire to lay such a large number. Which Zambrano shows up? The one who beats LAD, Brewers, Mets on the road or the one that gets steamrolled at home?
Zambrano at home this yr: 1-4, 7.91era, 6g, 33ip, 43h, 18bb, 24k... Batters hitting .316 off him, .282 overall.
There has been no consistency in Zambrano's game except that he consistently sucks at home and pitches well on the road. I wouldn't consider laying this kind of number until shown otherwise.
On the other side there is Woody Williams, a pitcher I have no feel for at all. He has a 6.75era in his last 3 games but when you expect him to get rolled, he goes out and pitches 6ip of 2er baseball. Williams faced Cubs once this yr and recieved ND over 6ip-6h-2er but is just 3-8 w/ 4.55era in his career vs. Cubs.
Got an early start here. Took Sunday off and just closed the wk out positive. Hopefully that can continue. Very small card here with only 5 games and it is not a strong card at all. I broke them all down because I had some time to kick back. A few games are pending on Sunday but it doesn't have that big of an effect on my thoughts for Monday.
Mets -106 / Dodgers -104.... O/U 7.5-110
Mets will be happy to go play an NL team again after losing 2/3 over the wkend to the Tigers and getting drilled on Sunday. They have now lost 6 of their last 7 games. The good news is that the offense has finally showed up again. The Dodgers are not hitting much of anything right now (as I am typing this they score 2 in first inning vs. Halliday) Hernandez has been brilliant and really caught me by surprise since coming back from the D/L. In 8 starts this yr he has given up more than 2er only one time.
Last 3 starts: 1-0, 0.95era, 19ip, 7h, 2er, 5bb, 10k
Away this yr: 2-0, 1.04era, 4g, 26ip, 12h, 3er, 8bb, 20k... Batters hitting just .145 off him and .173 overall on the yr.
Hernandez has 1 batter in the LAD lineup to worry about, Nomar who hits .333 in 27ab off him.
Wolf will take the mound for the Dodgers and he has not been as impressive lately.
Last 3 starts: 1-1, 5.06era, 16ip, 18h, 9er, 7bb, 14k
Home this yr: 5-2, 3.51era, 8g, 48.2ip, 44h, 13bb, 55k... Batters hitting .234 off him and .253 overall on the yr.
Wolf has been a better pitcher at home, without a doubt and this is a big series for two of the NL's elite teams.
Only Mets hitters with real success of Wolf:
Beltran = .316 in 19ab, LoDuca = .400 in 25ab, Reyes = .261 in 23ab
Prior to the games on Sunday the Mets were 19-8 on the road and the Dodgers were 18-11 at home.
Again there is that whole thought of "Mets kill LHP" and while I tried to explain that they haven't been killing LHP and the number is inflated last wk when they faced Hamels, they do hit LHP significantly better than RHP and they have been crushing LHP on the road at .344, a number worth paying attention to.
No series this yr, Mets were 7-3 vs. LAD last yr and 3-1 in LA.
This line is going to get hammered tonight, just my prediction.
LEAN TO THE METS -106
White Sox +128 / Phillies -138.... O 9.5 -120 / U 9.5 +100
The White Sucks are playing terrible ball right now and were losers of 8 of 10 games going into Sunday where they AVOIDED a SWEEP from Houston, Ouch, and losers of 13 of their last 16games going into Sunday.. Going into Sunday the WSox were hitting just .215 over that 10game spand and average 2.6runs/game going into the game Sunday.. Taking the mound for the Sox will be Vazquez who is 3-4 w/ 4.13era on the yr.
Last 3 starts: 1-2, 3.92era, 20.2ip, 21h, 9er, 6bb, 21k.... 1.86WHIP
Away this yr: 2-1, 3.76era, 6g, 40.2ip, 36h, 9bb, 37k... Batters hitting .240 off him
He is 10-6 w/ 4.55era in his career vs. Phillies but those numbers are outdated and the only hitters to have real success off him are Burrell = .300 in 40ab and Utley = .500 in 6ab.
WSox bullpen has been very very bad as well.
They are 13-16 away this yr, same record they have at home.
The Phillies will send out Eaton who went 6ip-2er last start vs. the Mets, will note that he is 5-0 w/ 1.98era in his career vs. the Mets.
Last 3 games: 2-1, 7.07era, 14ip, 17h, 9bb, 6k
At home this yr: 2-3, 7.04era, 30.2ip, 38h, 21bb, 22k... Batters hitting .314 off him and .282 overall.
Those numbers are bush league.
Phillies are 6-5 in their last 11 games and 15-15 at home.
This is the first time the teams will meet since the 04' season.
Both Chitown and Philly hit RHP better than RHP.
I am not laying any kind of chalk with Eaton and the White Sox are not exactly a reliable Doggie to bet on right now but if I have to pick one its White Sox +128
Blue Jays +145 / Giants -155... O/U 8.5 -110
Towers has just been inserted back into the starting rotation and is 2-3 w/ 5.15era this yr. The bright spot is that he has 5bb and 33k on the yr.
Towers has started 1 game on the road this yr and has appeared in 11innings total posting a 7.36era, 16h, and batters hitting .340 off him, .290 overall on the yr.
Blue Jays are playing the Dodgers right now (3-2 score) and are 5-5 in their last 10 heading into that game.
Blue Jays are 11-17 away from home.
The Giants are just 3-7 in their last 10 games and are trying to avoid being swept by A's (0-0 score).
Morris has gone 7 straight games of giving up 3er or less and has been tough this yr and in his last 3 games.
Last 3 games: 1-2, 1.29era, 21ip, 16h, 5bb, 12k
At home this yr: 2-1, 2.14era, 5g, 33.2ip, 34h, 10bb, 15k.
Alfonzo will likely be out for the yr and Lewis is on the D/L for the Giants.
While Morris has been solid, he is 2-2 in his last 4 starts giving up 4er total. Run support is hard to come by for the Giants but Towers should help the cause a little bit. Toronto is a really bad road team.
Lean to the Giants -155
Mariners +141 / Indians -151.... O 10 -120 / U 10 +100
Just want to note that this is a makeup game once again. Mariners will fly from San Diego to Cleveland for this game then head to Chicago for a series with the Cubs. Indians will come back from Cinci, play at home, then head to Florida for a series with the Marlins.
Cleveland just dropped a 12inning game to Cinci 1-0, Sabathia went 9ip and got no run support, could of used the W for my fantasy team!
Baek has faced Cleveland once already this yr and it was in the first makeup game, a 5-2 loss where he went 6.1ip, 8h, 5er, 1bb, 6k.
Although Baek gave up 5er, he gave up 3er in the 7th when he prob should have been pulled anyway as he had thrown over 100pitches already.
One interesting note, Mariners are 7-2 when Baek pitches.
Baek last 3: 2-0, 3.79era, 19ip, 19h, 2bb, 14k
Baek away: 2-1, 5.34era, 5g, 30.1ip, 35h, 5bb, 22k... Batters hitting .285 off him and .267 overall
Cleveland will send out Paul Byrd who is 6-2 w/ 3.80era on the yr. I will say that he is very hittable.
Byrd last 3: 2-1, 4.42era, 18.1ip, 28h, 1bb, 9k
Byrd at home: 4-1, 4.22era, 5g, 32ip, 39h, 4bb, 22k
Byrd career vs. M's: 6-2, 2.29era, 8games
Mariners vs. Byrd:
Beltre = .238 in 21ab, Guillen = .429 in 7ab, Ibanez = .529 in 17ab, Ichiro = .241 in 29ab, Vidro = .636 in 11ab, Lopez = .250 in 8ab, Broussard = .333 in 6ab, Betan Court = .250 in 8ab.
Indians are 6-4 when Byrd pitches.
In 5 of Byrd's last 6 starts he has given up 9hits or more.
Mariners have been crushing the ball for pretty much the last month and average 6.8runs/game in their last 10 games going into the game Sunday. Indians average 6.1runs/game over the same span.
Mariners Vs. RHP = .284overall, .330 L10 games.
Indians Vs. RHP = .283overall, .321 L10 games.
Seattle is 15-13 on the road this yr.
Cleveland is 21-7 at home this yr.
Lean to the Mariners +141 despite the mid country flight from San Diego to Ohio, the Mariners are too hot on offense and Byrd gives up too many hits to not get punished one of these days. Lucky for him he doesn't walk a lot of guys. Baek just has to keep his team in the game and not get shelled himself.
Astros +175 / Cubbies -185
Really no value at all here. Cubs are playing much better but I have no desire to lay such a large number. Which Zambrano shows up? The one who beats LAD, Brewers, Mets on the road or the one that gets steamrolled at home?
Zambrano at home this yr: 1-4, 7.91era, 6g, 33ip, 43h, 18bb, 24k... Batters hitting .316 off him, .282 overall.
There has been no consistency in Zambrano's game except that he consistently sucks at home and pitches well on the road. I wouldn't consider laying this kind of number until shown otherwise.
On the other side there is Woody Williams, a pitcher I have no feel for at all. He has a 6.75era in his last 3 games but when you expect him to get rolled, he goes out and pitches 6ip of 2er baseball. Williams faced Cubs once this yr and recieved ND over 6ip-6h-2er but is just 3-8 w/ 4.55era in his career vs. Cubs.
