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Monday April 22nd MLB Discussion Thread

Not to beat a dead horse, but fading the hapless O's is so easy.

At home ant night since last year 18-43 29.5% or 24.4% ROI fading them. They aren't getting much juice tonight though.

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Batting splits against LH for teams facing LH tonight...

Phillies: .255/.341/.475
Orioles: .253/.305/.408
Tigers: .200/.282/.286
Red Sox: .246/.308/.411
Angels: .206/.299/.320
Athletics: .267/.338/.498

None of these teams really BASH lefties, but Detroit has been particularly poor against them, with just 4 XBH in 70 AB.
 
Hows Jeremy Hellickson fared at Coors throughout his career? Couldn't find any info
Rocks bats have come alive a little

Looking for reasons to grab the over
 
Hellickson is 2-0, 1.54 in two starts; he is 1-1, 6.00 in two starts vs Colorado- he’s never pitched in Denver.
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0

Nats split their last 14 games; three of their last four games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 in last four.

Rox won 6 of L7; under is 8-2-1 in L11. 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 in L10
 
mrpickem said:
Hellickson is 2-0, 1.54 in two starts; he is 1-1, 6.00 in two starts vs Colorado- he’s never pitched in Denver.
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0

Nats split their last 14 games; three of their last four games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 in last four.

Rox won 6 of L7; under is 8-2-1 in L11. 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 in L10
Click to expand...

Sounds like a whole lotta under
 
Is it me or do the Nats win a lot of Hellboy's starts?

Edit: just checked, Nats are 13-9 in his starts.
 
peelpub94 said:
Is it me or do the Nats win a lot of Hellboy's starts?

Edit: just checked, Nats are 13-9 in his starts.
Click to expand...

They are more profitable RL in Helly starts, away, but even more $$ playing unders
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I guess we are supposed to believe Sale will pitch outstanding tonight?! Been terrible, why should that change tonight?!
Det +185
Det +1.5 -105
Over 7.5 -110
:shake:
 
Vap'sBack said:
I guess we are supposed to believe Sale will pitch outstanding tonight?! Been terrible, why should that change tonight?!
Det +185
Det +1.5 -105
Over 7.5 -110
:shake:
Click to expand...

Because Tigers stink at hitting lefties so far. I liked under but doesn’t matter with it PPD.
 
Weather Forecast Looks Bleak You Are Correct. Just Noticed.
That being said, I'll take a weak team against lefties vs a lefty who can't find his 'Stuff' every time.
:shake:
 
Looks like Sale rediscovered his velo vs the Yanks tho. Gotta look at the other details like release point consistency
 
My brother and I have been successful over the years riding the hot pitcher, and fading the ones that are not until they (hot and not) show us differently...:shake:
 
Falco_7 said:
322 wrc+ against his fastball, that is a home run derby number, lol
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He was having huge issues with his velo and delivery so yea he got slammed in every start but the point is to look and see if those mechanical and whatever issues are still there
 
Nationals are 0-13 OU in franchise history with Jeremy Hellickson when he averaged fewer than 4.1 pitches per batter in his last start, staying under by an average of 3.19 runs per game


Astros have won 19 of the past 26 at home, and they're 6-1 in Brad Peacock's past seven outings, and 4-1 in his past five against winning teams, too. The Twins have won just three of the past 15 meetings overall, and they're 0-4 in the past four at the Juice Box. The under is also 4-1 in the past five in Houston, and 6-2 in the past eight meetings overall in this series.
 
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