BringInTheLefty
Pretty much a regular
Haven't ventured into the NFL yet this season, but after researching stats I've decided to play the Falcons based on the following:
1-The Superdome is one of the top home-field advantages in the NFL. However, the Saints haven’t defended their home field well from a betting perspective the last few seasons by compiling a 4-10-1 ATS mark as a favorite since 2014. In 2013, New Orleans owned a terrific 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS mark in the Big Easy, but the Saints have actually lost 10 of their past 14 home contests since November 2014.
2-Atlanta has performed well as a Monday night underdog. The Falcons have compiled a 4-1 ATS record in five opportunities as a Monday ‘dog, including an outright victory over the Eagles in Week 1 last season.
3-Through two weeks, Ryan has the league’s #1 quarterback rating and he could build on those numbers against a New Orleans defense that has allowed 336 passing yards per game on 8.5 yards per attempt so far this season. Atlanta’s pass defense hasn’t been significantly stronger as a Saints offense that has posted 6.4 yards per play this season could also have great results, but it is the Falcons leading the league with 7.0 yards per play through the first two weeks with 355 passing yards per game.
Here are my plays:
Falcons 1st Qtr ML +$115 $800/$920
Falcons team total over 26 -$115 $1,150/$1,000
Falcons team total 1st half over 13 -$125 $1,000/$800
Falcons 1st half ML +$120 $800/$960
Falcons game ML +$125 $800/$1,000
1-The Superdome is one of the top home-field advantages in the NFL. However, the Saints haven’t defended their home field well from a betting perspective the last few seasons by compiling a 4-10-1 ATS mark as a favorite since 2014. In 2013, New Orleans owned a terrific 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS mark in the Big Easy, but the Saints have actually lost 10 of their past 14 home contests since November 2014.
2-Atlanta has performed well as a Monday night underdog. The Falcons have compiled a 4-1 ATS record in five opportunities as a Monday ‘dog, including an outright victory over the Eagles in Week 1 last season.
3-Through two weeks, Ryan has the league’s #1 quarterback rating and he could build on those numbers against a New Orleans defense that has allowed 336 passing yards per game on 8.5 yards per attempt so far this season. Atlanta’s pass defense hasn’t been significantly stronger as a Saints offense that has posted 6.4 yards per play this season could also have great results, but it is the Falcons leading the league with 7.0 yards per play through the first two weeks with 355 passing yards per game.
Here are my plays:
Falcons 1st Qtr ML +$115 $800/$920
Falcons team total over 26 -$115 $1,150/$1,000
Falcons team total 1st half over 13 -$125 $1,000/$800
Falcons 1st half ML +$120 $800/$960
Falcons game ML +$125 $800/$1,000
