J
joebrensports
Guest
My Play:
BAL +9
PIT enters this contest with a resume that is nothing to get excited about. They won @ CLE when Frye was starting, beat two mediocre teams in BUF, SF, lose @ AZ, beat a bad SEA team, lose at a terrible DEN team and beat a terrible defensive team in CIN. So how do PITT's numbers look after playing these bad wins? On offense they look quite avg. PIT is rushing for 4.7 ypr against teams who give up 4.4ypr, passing for 6.9 ypp vs teams who give up 6.5ypp and gain only 5.7yppl vs 5.5yppl. On defense PITT is quite good against the pass only giving up 5.2ypp vs teams who gain 6.3ypp.
BAL enters this contest with a terrible resume as well. Losing to CIN, BUF, close win vs SF, AZ, etc. But here is the key, BAL has played several games now without alot of key players. BAL has been without 3/5 of their OL as LT-OGden, C-Flynn, and RT- Terry have all missed significant time. BAL has also been without DE- Pryce and TE-Heap. All these players come back tonight. For BAL, their offense is below avg- just like LY, and their pass def is weak yielding 6.6ypp vs 5.9ypp. Parker should have another weak game vs BAL as BAL yields just 3.0ypr vs 3.9ypr.
Here is the keys to the game- Billick is outstanding off byes winning his last 5 and has now won 6 of 8 off a bye. McNair is outstanding vs PIT going 11-4. Billick has only lost 2 games ATS when getting 8 points or more. PITT does not play well ATS as a fav of 7 or more. Weather will play a key factor as well, as I believe it helps BAL more because PIT has the better offense. BAL has owned PITT throughout the years and getting key guys back tonight should make a HUGE difference. BAL is the pick tonight. GL
BAL +9
PIT enters this contest with a resume that is nothing to get excited about. They won @ CLE when Frye was starting, beat two mediocre teams in BUF, SF, lose @ AZ, beat a bad SEA team, lose at a terrible DEN team and beat a terrible defensive team in CIN. So how do PITT's numbers look after playing these bad wins? On offense they look quite avg. PIT is rushing for 4.7 ypr against teams who give up 4.4ypr, passing for 6.9 ypp vs teams who give up 6.5ypp and gain only 5.7yppl vs 5.5yppl. On defense PITT is quite good against the pass only giving up 5.2ypp vs teams who gain 6.3ypp.
BAL enters this contest with a terrible resume as well. Losing to CIN, BUF, close win vs SF, AZ, etc. But here is the key, BAL has played several games now without alot of key players. BAL has been without 3/5 of their OL as LT-OGden, C-Flynn, and RT- Terry have all missed significant time. BAL has also been without DE- Pryce and TE-Heap. All these players come back tonight. For BAL, their offense is below avg- just like LY, and their pass def is weak yielding 6.6ypp vs 5.9ypp. Parker should have another weak game vs BAL as BAL yields just 3.0ypr vs 3.9ypr.
Here is the keys to the game- Billick is outstanding off byes winning his last 5 and has now won 6 of 8 off a bye. McNair is outstanding vs PIT going 11-4. Billick has only lost 2 games ATS when getting 8 points or more. PITT does not play well ATS as a fav of 7 or more. Weather will play a key factor as well, as I believe it helps BAL more because PIT has the better offense. BAL has owned PITT throughout the years and getting key guys back tonight should make a HUGE difference. BAL is the pick tonight. GL
rayer
