MNF Bucs v Giants

[skanless13]

Do Bucs cover the spread now up to 13? Can Giants make this close? I feel a blowout...

 

[The 'Ol Coach]

45 degrees and 8mph wind tonight, not enough bad weather to help NYG. Brady gonna slice them up. No run game as the NYG are without Freeman out and not sure they can score enough or hold enough drives to make this competitive. I do like TB to cover but I worry about getting backdoored on a late garbage TD.

 

[inZane]

45 degrees and 8mph wind tonight, not enough bad weather to help NYG. Brady gonna slice them up. No run game as the NYG are without Freeman out and not sure they can score enough or hold enough drives to make this competitive. I do like TB to cover but I worry about getting backdoored on a late garbage TD.

Yeah, double digit lines are always open to those back door fuckin's.

I'm on the over 45 small and over TB tt 29* for a lil' more.

Glta...

 

[Frank Costanza]

Brees (re)passed Brady yesterday on the all-time TD list. Up by 1. So you can expect at least 2 TD passes tonight from Brady.

Out on a limb, I know.

 

[pb278817]

Pretty sure there’s a strong trend that favours home dogs of 10+ pts on Monday night football. The sdql guys might be able to find the specifics

 

[emkee]

Pretty sure there’s a strong trend that favours home dogs of 10+ pts on Monday night football. The sdql guys might be able to find the specifics

No strong trend.

Home dogs of 10 or more on MNF are 2-12 SU and 7-7 ATS since 1990.

Have failed to cover the last 3 straight occurrences (2017, 2018, 2019) losing by an average of 26.7 points.

Not sure if COVID times change anything as there have been some weird results during this pandemic.

 

[pb278817]

Thanks, my bad

 

[babyneedshoes]

Hoping for a no stress blow out, used TB in my suicide pool. Hope Tommy boy doesn't throw in a clunker as he's been known to do against the Jints over the years. HC knows him like a book which worries me a bit. As long as TB doesn't go all Raiders with the stupid penalties we should be alright.

 

[emkee]

Brady 15-2 SU (10-6-1 ATS) as double-digit road chalk.

 

[spooks]

Based on JPP's comments, Daniel Jones may be in for a long night.

Looking at these props:

Who will score first TD of the game:

Gronk +750
R. Jones II +600
Scotty Miller +1000 (If you want to get cute)

 

[emkee]

Brady 15-2 SU (10-6-1 ATS) as double-digit road chalk.

5-0 SU and ATS in his last 5 winning by an average +26 points (2x in 2018, 3x in 2019).

All as a Patriot obviously but you could easily say this Bucs team is way more talented than those NE teams.

 

[emkee]

Brady has won his last 2 MNF games as road chalk of 10+ by an average of +26 points.

Week 8, 2018 defeated the Bills 25-6 as -14 road chalk.

Week 7, 2019 defeated the Jets 33-0 as -10 road chalk.

 

[emkee]

Only bad one I could find is Brady being 2-5 ATS vs the Giants.

 

[skanless13]

Only bad one I could find is Brady being 2-5 ATS vs the Giants.

Yep. But again, as you've pointed out, with vastly inferior offensive talent around him. Plus, many of those NYG teams could really rush the passer... not sure about this NYG team.

 

[B.A.R.]

Good info

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

The one dude I love on Giants is Gallman.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Slayton, Shepard, tate, gallman ain't too shabby

 

[emkee]

Giants 1-12 ATS in their past 13 as a home dog losing by an average of -14.2 points.

With Daniel Jones starting the Giants are 0-6 SU and ATS as a home dog losing by an average of -18.2 points.

0-2 SU and ATS as a home dog in 2020 losing by an average of -18.5 points.

 

[Lexington 125]

The Bucs lost 3 weeks ago to the Bears. Giants playing with no pressure at all. TB 2 divisional games on deck could come out flat. Teaser buster they win by 6 on some late game gronk shit

 

[emkee]

Bears have a defense though.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

TB #1 DVOA #6 Offense #1 Defense
Giants #29 DVOA #30 Offense #19 Defense. #6 special teams

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Bucs have Saints in 6 days on Sunday night.

I see them playing smart methodical here


Lean under

 

[skanless13]

I like the under here too.

 

[pressitup]

home dogs @ dbl digits this season 1-0-1
I see +13, hoping to get more but I'll throw a whopping $20 on the Gints

 

[pressitup]

I like the under here too.

under is the trend on MNF

 

[emkee]

Dogs went 8-4 yesterday. No harm, no foul if Tommy runs it up tonight.

There was also more money on the Cows spread last night.

 

[emkee]

Road chalk of 10+ playing a non-division game with a division game on deck are 8-0 SU (6-0-2 ATS) last 8 winning by an average of +21.1 points.

 

[emkee]

NFL 'dogs bark in Week 8, betting public suffers

 

[pressitup]

Road chalk of 10+ playing a non-division game with a division game on deck are 8-0 SU (6-0-2 ATS) last 8 winning by an average of +21.1 points.

huh?

20201004	Sunday	4	2020	Washington	Ravens	home	0-7	10-14	0-7	7-3	17-31	14.0	47.0	-14	0.0	1.0	0.5	0.5	L	P	O	0
20201025	Sunday	7	2020	Jets	Bills	home	3-0	7-6	0-6	0-6	10-18	12.0	48.0	-8	4.0	-20.0	-8.0	-12.0	L	W	U	0

 

[emkee]

huh?

20201004	Sunday	4	2020	Washington	Ravens	home	0-7	10-14	0-7	7-3	17-31	14.0	47.0	-14	0.0	1.0	0.5	0.5	L	P	O	0
20201025	Sunday	7	2020	Jets	Bills	home	3-0	7-6	0-6	0-6	10-18	12.0	48.0	-8	4.0	-20.0	-8.0	-12.0	L	W	U	0

Double-huh ?

 

[pressitup]

Double-huh ?

looks like the jets covered vs the bills

 

[Ryno14]

looks like the jets covered vs the bills

Same division

 

[pressitup]

Same division

ahahhhhh,
I searched home dogs. seeemed more pertinent.

 

[2daBank]

No strong trend.

Home dogs of 10 or more on MNF are 2-12 SU and 7-7 ATS since 1990.

Have failed to cover the last 3 straight occurrences (2017, 2018, 2019) losing by an average of 26.7 points.

Not sure if COVID times change anything as there have been some weird results during this pandemic.

i would think if anything they lesson the home dog chances but hell if I know. I’m not real interested in laying the points or taking the Gmen, think I’ll just be thrilled I had a winning week and leave well enough alone.

 

[emkee]

Is what it is with this league.

That #1 defense showed up in small samples.

All the fades at 'Blankets' ate well tonight with the 'square' dog.

 

[emkee]

Guy I watched the game with over here had a little over 7k on the Bucs -5.5, turribel.

 

[skanless13]

Guy I watched the game with over here had a little over 7k on the Bucs -5.5, turribel.

Gosh damn. I feel sick if I lose $50