For this matchup the Philadelphia Phillies implied win probability is 52.8%, Cincinnati Reds 47.2%. The line opened at an average of -105/-105 and with the line moves this morning the Phillies now provide great value, currently in the mid +120's.
Cincinnati this season ranks tenth in runs but has a batting average of .219, ranking them third to last in the league. This is because the Reds rank tenth overall in home runs this season and have gotten most of their runs from them.
Philadelphia this season ranks tenth overall in batting average with an average at .247 and an on-base percentage at .318.
The Philadelphia Phillies have been performing exceptionally well recently, having won seven out of their last eight games, including a convincing 7-0 victory in the series opener. In contrast, the Cincinnati Reds have been experiencing a more average level of success, winning just four of their last eight games.
Current Phillies lineup vs Nick Lodolo
258 BA, .394 SLG and .319 wOBA through 74 career plate appearances.
Current Reds lineup vs Spencer Turnbull
143 BA, .238 SLG and .165 wOBA against through 21 career plate appearances.
Best of luck.
