MLB - Wednesday 4/3

GameHunter

GameHunter

Pretty much a regular
SEASON: 6-4, +3.6625 Units
YESTERDAY: 2-2, -0.0625 units

Still kicking myself for not playing the Tribe yesterday after mentioning I liked them in my thread. I am still looking for my cajones.

Also, a few non-baseball notes. Rutgers, are you kidding me? If Mike Rice isn't fired today, you won't get a quality recruit for the next 10 years. Is that AD kidding us when he tries to defend his actions of only suspending Rice for 3 games earlier this year....Mark Cuban cracks me up and his talk about possibly drafting Brittney Griner...I don't put it past him as it would be huge publicity but be serious...she would get snapped in half in an NBA game and her two inch vertical leap wouldn't help....Like everyone else, how could I not love the Florida Gulf Coast march to the Sweet 16. However, it amazes me how two wins can catapult a coach to a 600% salary increase and a 7 figure Pac 12 job at USC. Don't get me wrong, I am rooting for Andy Enfield, but FGCC didn't even win the regular season Atlantic Sun title (Mercer did) and recruiting at FGC is a different animal than USC. I do hear Andy is a great guy and I will be rooting for him.

Big card today:

PITTSBURGH -132 (1.25 Units)

ATLANTA -127 (1.5 Units)

OVER COL/MILW 8.5 RUNS (-115) (1.5 Units)

OVER SF/LAD 6.5 RUNS (-120) (1.5 Units)

OVER DET/MINN 8 RUNS (-105) (1.25 Units)

OVER BALT/TB 7 RUNS (-115) (1.25 Units)

OAKLAND -141 (1.25 Units)

REDS -124 (1.5 Units)


Leans: KC, Bos, Balt


 
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not sure if you have time but can I get your thought on Roy Halladay getting plus money? :shake:
 
Talk to me about the Reds. I really like the matchup for the Halos but I hate betting against a good team coming off a home loss.
 
GoIrish! said:
not sure if you have time but can I get your thought on Roy Halladay getting plus money? :shake:
Click to expand...

Just my take, but Halladay didn't have it all spring. His velocity was wayyyyy down. This is a direct correlation to that as it's not like the Braves have Cy Kershaw on the hill. I think you can figure out what the books think of Halladay at the moment.

I took the over with Maholm as a favorite with a total of 7.5?
 
Thanks and GL! I'm going to pass on the leans, they drive me crazy because I never know whether to ignore, play or play small...brings too much subjectivity into it, which is not my strongpoint.
 
love the redlegs in this spot coming off a home loss and Latos has been nails coming out of Spring Training!! good start to your season MrGameHunter
 
GoIrish! said:
not sure if you have time but can I get your thought on Roy Halladay getting plus money? :shake:
Click to expand...

I try and remove the name Roy Hallday from the equation and call him "John Doe" because I think most people including myself, have a certain winning image about Halladay that may or may not still be there. In John Doe's L7 starts last season, he tossed 45 innings and allowed 56 hits, 31 earned runs (6.20 ERA), 7 HRs and 20 BB's (1.69 WHIP). Freeman, Uggla and BJ Upton are a combined 33 for 91 off John Doe and overall Braves' hitters have a .310 average against him. The Braves torched him last season. In 4 starts, he lasted 17 2/3 innings and allowed 30 hits, 6 HRs and an 11.21 ERA. In Spring Training, John Doe threw 16.3 innings and allowed 21 hits, 11 earned runs (6.06 ERA), 3 HRs and 9 walks (1.80+ WHIP). I just don't think he is who he once was and the article below highlights some of the concerns. Meanwhile Maholm was solid this spring. He threw 29.3 innings and allowed 22 hits and 5 earned runs for a 1.53 ERA. I also think the Phillies will be less effective against crafty lefties with Utley, Howard, Revere from the left side and Rollins batting right handed.

Here is an article on Halladay I found on the Philly Comcast site:

Halladay’s transition from pitching wizard to muggle began last season when he was plagued by injury, a flagging fastball and ineffectiveness.

He had hoped a winter of hard work and a return to good health would put the zip and bite back on his pitches this spring, but all a month’s worth of Grapefruit League starts did is raise more questions.

So nobody is quite sure what to expect from Halladay on Wednesday night.

Will he provide the hint of encouragement that team officials have been waiting for?

Or will he continue to look like a pitcher in serious decline?

On Monday, manager Charlie Manuel was asked about his expectations for Halladay and his hedging answer was indicative of the uncertainty surrounding this start in particular and Halladay’s future in general.

“I think he’s going to be OK,” Manuel said. “I think he’s going to be fine, and, of course, I’m hoping he’s going to be OK. I’m a little concerned about it, but I wouldn’t say I’m overly concerned because I think he’ll eventually get it going and have a big season.

“I think he’s ready to pitch and (pitching coach Rich) Dubee thinks he’s ready. Roy thinks he’s ready to pitch and the doctors think he’s ready. We’re going to see where he’s at. I don’t have a crystal ball. I can’t tell you how he’s going to do. If I could tell you, he’d throw a no-hitter and strike out 15.”

It’s important to note: Halladay says he is completely healthy. As a matter of fact, he says he feels better physically coming out of this spring training than he has any of the last five years. He says his back feels good. He says his shoulder feels good.

Despite this good health, Halladay had a brutal spring. His velocity lagged -- as it did last spring and season. His location -- control within control -- was poor. He appeared to have trouble keeping the ball down and was hit hard. In six official spring starts, he gave up 21 hits and 11 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings for a 6.06 ERA.

The pitcher’s struggles might just be as simple as this: He turns 36 in May and has thrown over 3,300 innings as a professional. Wear and tear might be just taking its toll.

Halladay acknowledged that he is not the same pitcher he was in his prime. He knows his velocity has dropped. He thinks he can win with good preparation, command, competitiveness and overall pitching knowledge.

Time will tell if he can.

Dubee remains Halladay’s biggest supporter and enforcer of positive vibes.

“This guy's still got plenty of ability, believe me, and he's got the utmost character on the mound,” Dubee said. “He's a winner. He may not have the same bullets, but he’s still going to be able to pitch us quality games and win ballgames for us."

Halladay will be going for his 200th regular-season win Wednesday night.

It won’t be easy -- and not just because of what we saw in spring training.

The opponent will be difficult.

The Atlanta Braves bruised Halladay for 30 hits, including six homers, and 22 runs in 17 2/3 innings (11.21 ER) over four starts last season. In their minds, Halladay is no longer invincible and that’s an important part of the equation because mental edge means a lot in the one-on-one, pitcher-hitter matchup.

Halladay’s waning velocity makes it imperative that he locate the ball with precision and keep it out of the heart of the plate without falling behind in counts. That was difficult for him in spring training and it was difficult for Cole Hamels against the Braves on Monday night. Hamels made mistakes over the plate and was tagged for three homers, two doubles and an opening day loss.

If Halladay makes similar mistakes over the plate against the Braves’ potent lineup, it could be a short night for him and a long night for the entire Phillies organization as questions about the pitcher’s long-term effectiveness rise anew.

If he’s precise with his location and gives the Phillies a chance to win, the concerns will dissipate, at least temporarily.
 
MusicCityGambler said:
Talk to me about the Reds. I really like the matchup for the Halos but I hate betting against a good team coming off a home loss.
Click to expand...

I was really down on CJ Wilson the 2nd half of last year. Over the L2.5 months, he threw 84 innings and allowed 96 hits, 54 earned runs (5.79 ERA), 40 BB's (1.62 WHIP) and 12 HRs. He seemed to have real command issues which plagued him early in his career and this spring, he really struggled. In 12 2/3 innings this spring, he allowed 23 hits and 10 earned runs (7.11 ERA). Latos struggled a bit this spring but I just don't have the same concerns with him. While the Halos' pen was solid on Monday, I give the Reds' pen a huge advantage here. I feel this is the game the Reds must win in this series as tomorrow is a complete toss up.
 
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