Wiretowire
Pretty much a regular
YTD +7995
2-0 last
Going to Montreal Thursday to visit wife's parents and do some work on the apartments. I should be able to post MLB Friday and Saturday but Sunday's post will be late as we leave at 6 am to come back. I will probably post around 5 or 6 for Sunday night's game.
Atlanta +2 1/2 -280 x50 - Fried is more trustworthy than Urquidy. Whoa.... deja vu. Fried has only allowed more than 3 runs twice in his last 16 starts. Urquidy has allowed 15 runs (5 of those homeruns) in his last 20 innings of work (4 starts). That's 1 homerun every 4 innings. Not good. Atlanta can relax and play loose as they took the home field advantage away from Houston no matter what happens tonight with their win last night. If the Braves win outright tonight, and they can, the Astros are really hurting. All they will have left to start is a very hittable Garcia or a very questionable Greinke. McCullers is out and Dusty threw Odorizzi last night. True, Atlanta lost Morton for the series but they still have a very capable Anderson to start at home and even Chavez who they almost used last night but wisely didn't.
Atlanta/Houston over 7 -220 x50 - I really don't like this bet but I am making it for 5 reasons. 1) Tom Hallion behind the plate. He has a 10+ runs scored average when he calls balls and strikes. 2) Tom Hallion behind the plate. He also has a 19-6 record for the home team winning when he is behind the plate. That is a serious lean in favor of the home team and this over could protect the Atlanta side + runs bet if Fried gets seriously frustrated and starts throwing at Hallion instead of the strike zone. 3) 3-3 is not hard to get with these two offenses and Atlanta could do the heavy lifting against Urquidy. 4) As solid as Fried is it's not beyond the realm of possibility Houston breaks out. (especially if Hallion helps them) 5) If the Braves score 3 runs, and they should, I can't do worse than a 1-1 split and I will take that despite the juice.
Don't bet a lot on Atlanta tonight without runs. 76% of the time the home team wins with Hallion back there. That's incredible. GL
2-0 last
Going to Montreal Thursday to visit wife's parents and do some work on the apartments. I should be able to post MLB Friday and Saturday but Sunday's post will be late as we leave at 6 am to come back. I will probably post around 5 or 6 for Sunday night's game.
Atlanta +2 1/2 -280 x50 - Fried is more trustworthy than Urquidy. Whoa.... deja vu. Fried has only allowed more than 3 runs twice in his last 16 starts. Urquidy has allowed 15 runs (5 of those homeruns) in his last 20 innings of work (4 starts). That's 1 homerun every 4 innings. Not good. Atlanta can relax and play loose as they took the home field advantage away from Houston no matter what happens tonight with their win last night. If the Braves win outright tonight, and they can, the Astros are really hurting. All they will have left to start is a very hittable Garcia or a very questionable Greinke. McCullers is out and Dusty threw Odorizzi last night. True, Atlanta lost Morton for the series but they still have a very capable Anderson to start at home and even Chavez who they almost used last night but wisely didn't.
Atlanta/Houston over 7 -220 x50 - I really don't like this bet but I am making it for 5 reasons. 1) Tom Hallion behind the plate. He has a 10+ runs scored average when he calls balls and strikes. 2) Tom Hallion behind the plate. He also has a 19-6 record for the home team winning when he is behind the plate. That is a serious lean in favor of the home team and this over could protect the Atlanta side + runs bet if Fried gets seriously frustrated and starts throwing at Hallion instead of the strike zone. 3) 3-3 is not hard to get with these two offenses and Atlanta could do the heavy lifting against Urquidy. 4) As solid as Fried is it's not beyond the realm of possibility Houston breaks out. (especially if Hallion helps them) 5) If the Braves score 3 runs, and they should, I can't do worse than a 1-1 split and I will take that despite the juice.
Don't bet a lot on Atlanta tonight without runs. 76% of the time the home team wins with Hallion back there. That's incredible. GL
