I was in a hurry to get under in before first pitch, and bet the wrong game. Then decided to play it live at a bad number, but I liked it. Eric Skoglund has been bad, but in his last start his stuff looked better than I had seen last year, more velocity and he pitched more aggressively. So I felt there was some value vs his historical track record. Also historically Jaime Garcia has been an animal in home day games. Royals have a horrific lineup, and I don't think Blue Jays lineup minus Donaldso is all that fantastic. Also a couple of the royals better bats are left handed. Then you factor in Blue Jays haven't swung the bats in live action in forever and 2 straight days off for Royals, and it being a day game. Also Blue Jays bullpen has been fantastic so far. Royals bullpen has been a disaster, but thought if I could just hold down Blue Jays a bit, Royals would probably do their part by not scoring much to sneak under.
Just think Duffy at this price vs Biagini is value. I don't think the teams are as far apart as the their two records indicate. Also this is a double-header which they normally split, and the pitching matchup in first game favors the Blue Jays winning, and the night game starting matchup favors Royals quite a bit an given this price it's screaming value.