Wiretowire
Pretty much a regular
YTD +225
Yesterday
0-1 well kinda 0-2 but it was the same game = -28
Couple of things before I get started......
A rant.....
Why does baseball every year at the trade deadline always talk about "Valuable and available" players that would "help a team tremendously on their playoff run!" What the fuck are these guys talking about? Every year they talk about a player, almost always a pitcher, that would be a GREAT boost. The playoff contenders simply MUST have this guy. Shows the talking heads have two things going for them. First, they talk just to hear themselves talk and start stories and second, they have their heads planted completely up their collective asses. And to top it all off everyone in the media and sports bars and on these forums just jump right on their bandwagon and perpetuate their bullshit.
Who's this years prize? Jake Peavy!!!!!!! Oh my god I simply must have him!!!. Doesn't matter that this guy sucks. The only thing that matters is he was once a big name and he now plays for a team that would love to dump his contract for a box of baseballs. On paper his stats look great but in his last 6 starts he has a whopping 6.62 era and he has averaged over 1 HR a game. You're not getting Peavy of 3 years ago. You are getting Peavy of the last 6 games because if you want to go back farther than May and look at his stats you are looking at ancient history. Go ahead playoff team take this clown but I am betting over every time he starts for you.
Next.................
This is not a rant just FYI. August is the time to start capping baseball. I know many folks drop this sport and start looking at football but now is the time to make some money. I am not a big value bettor. I think a starter is more important than gaining +.20 on a line that is off. But there is value in August and September in baseball because the linesmakers start jacking up the lines on the favorites. A team that should be -160 becomes -300 simply because they are playing a team that isn't in the playoffs and the favorite is trying to make the playoffs. I have said a million times "wanting" to win in baseball doesn't work. The players can react after the fact but you have to maintain your fundamentals or your mechanics break down and you don't perform well. You can't try to hit the ball harder. You can't try to throw the ball harder and of course you can't try to catch the ball harder. When the media talks about emotion in baseball they are talking about reactions after the fact not I'm going to hit a home run because I really, really want to. Wouldn't they always do that if it were only about emotion? This is why every year bettors take the "must win" teams against the "out of it" teams and they always lose their money. Big money. The lines get skewed way off and if you throw out the names of teams and pitchers and just cap by the numbers you can find some really good dogs at really stupid prices. So before you pack in the baseball season take a look at the really big favorites and see if you can't go the other way on the dog. You may only make 3 bets a week but you will be pleased at the return. And if you really want to have fun and make money take the dog at ML for 1/2 unit and a full unit on the dog +2 1/2 runs. You'll lay only -120 and in some cases get even or plus money and those runs. I make a living in baseball just taking +2 1/2 runs at + money and sometimes I look for just that and don't even cap the damn games. Just a thought.
Sides:
BC/Toronto over 49 -110 (10 units) (CFL)
Cleveland ML -160 (10 units)
ST Louis/Pitt over 6 -180 Gm #1 (5 units)
MLW/Cubs over 7 -180 Gm #1 (5 units)
Parlays:
Cleveland +2 1/2 -400
Colorado +2 1/2 -200
Anaheim +2 1/2 -240
-5/+8.3
BC/Toronto over 49 -110 (CFL)
Cleveland ML -160
ST Louis/Pitt over 6 -180 Gm #1
MLW/Cubs over 7 -180 Gm #1
Round robin groups of 4 and 3 for 3 units each
CFL: Probably shouldn't take the over here as Toronto has a new starting QB. Collaros has some experience but not a lot. BC defense tonight I still think will allow around 20 points to the home team because the Toronto O line is very good allowing just 7 sacks all year. That makes BC's Harris (RB) and company have to carry the bulk of the scoring load to get to 30 but I think they will. Could be a BC blowout though as I am counting on some turnovers by Toronto. Laying the BC -5 is a very good bet here but I will take the hunch and go with the over. GL
Yesterday
0-1 well kinda 0-2 but it was the same game = -28
Couple of things before I get started......
A rant.....
Why does baseball every year at the trade deadline always talk about "Valuable and available" players that would "help a team tremendously on their playoff run!" What the fuck are these guys talking about? Every year they talk about a player, almost always a pitcher, that would be a GREAT boost. The playoff contenders simply MUST have this guy. Shows the talking heads have two things going for them. First, they talk just to hear themselves talk and start stories and second, they have their heads planted completely up their collective asses. And to top it all off everyone in the media and sports bars and on these forums just jump right on their bandwagon and perpetuate their bullshit.
Who's this years prize? Jake Peavy!!!!!!! Oh my god I simply must have him!!!. Doesn't matter that this guy sucks. The only thing that matters is he was once a big name and he now plays for a team that would love to dump his contract for a box of baseballs. On paper his stats look great but in his last 6 starts he has a whopping 6.62 era and he has averaged over 1 HR a game. You're not getting Peavy of 3 years ago. You are getting Peavy of the last 6 games because if you want to go back farther than May and look at his stats you are looking at ancient history. Go ahead playoff team take this clown but I am betting over every time he starts for you.
Next.................
This is not a rant just FYI. August is the time to start capping baseball. I know many folks drop this sport and start looking at football but now is the time to make some money. I am not a big value bettor. I think a starter is more important than gaining +.20 on a line that is off. But there is value in August and September in baseball because the linesmakers start jacking up the lines on the favorites. A team that should be -160 becomes -300 simply because they are playing a team that isn't in the playoffs and the favorite is trying to make the playoffs. I have said a million times "wanting" to win in baseball doesn't work. The players can react after the fact but you have to maintain your fundamentals or your mechanics break down and you don't perform well. You can't try to hit the ball harder. You can't try to throw the ball harder and of course you can't try to catch the ball harder. When the media talks about emotion in baseball they are talking about reactions after the fact not I'm going to hit a home run because I really, really want to. Wouldn't they always do that if it were only about emotion? This is why every year bettors take the "must win" teams against the "out of it" teams and they always lose their money. Big money. The lines get skewed way off and if you throw out the names of teams and pitchers and just cap by the numbers you can find some really good dogs at really stupid prices. So before you pack in the baseball season take a look at the really big favorites and see if you can't go the other way on the dog. You may only make 3 bets a week but you will be pleased at the return. And if you really want to have fun and make money take the dog at ML for 1/2 unit and a full unit on the dog +2 1/2 runs. You'll lay only -120 and in some cases get even or plus money and those runs. I make a living in baseball just taking +2 1/2 runs at + money and sometimes I look for just that and don't even cap the damn games. Just a thought.
Sides:
BC/Toronto over 49 -110 (10 units) (CFL)
Cleveland ML -160 (10 units)
ST Louis/Pitt over 6 -180 Gm #1 (5 units)
MLW/Cubs over 7 -180 Gm #1 (5 units)
Parlays:
Cleveland +2 1/2 -400
Colorado +2 1/2 -200
Anaheim +2 1/2 -240
-5/+8.3
BC/Toronto over 49 -110 (CFL)
Cleveland ML -160
ST Louis/Pitt over 6 -180 Gm #1
MLW/Cubs over 7 -180 Gm #1
Round robin groups of 4 and 3 for 3 units each
CFL: Probably shouldn't take the over here as Toronto has a new starting QB. Collaros has some experience but not a lot. BC defense tonight I still think will allow around 20 points to the home team because the Toronto O line is very good allowing just 7 sacks all year. That makes BC's Harris (RB) and company have to carry the bulk of the scoring load to get to 30 but I think they will. Could be a BC blowout though as I am counting on some turnovers by Toronto. Laying the BC -5 is a very good bet here but I will take the hunch and go with the over. GL
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