Wiretowire
Pretty much a regular
YTD +158.3
Last post
3-1 = +7.8
Parlays = +3
From yesterday ..... Cruse, When I cap MLB games I am going by starting pitcher first and foremost. Then I will look at how the teams did against those certain pitchers, how they have been scoring recently in the series, scoring against each other this year, against everyone and so on. The umpire will determine if I want to go big or small on the bet but by themselves umps don't influence my bets. Many take only the umps as an indicator and make their bets based on ump tendencies. The biggest danger in that is that even though the ump is a dead under ump if the starting pitchers suck the game will go over. The opposite is also true that if an ump is dead over in his tendency but the starters have been lights out their last 3 starts that game is going under despite the ump tendency. That should start a firestorm of disagreement but that is how I look at it. If I cap a game under and the ump leans under then I'll add a unit or two to the bet. But if I cap over I really don't care who the ump is or what his tendency is.
To answer your question "Would you assume another under based on umps for Sunday games?" I would have to say although it's not wrong thinking for me it doesn't apply because I have to see the starters first. For me to go over or under in the Grand Salami I have to see at least 3/4 of the starters either sucking or in the groove. Hope that helps. GL
All for 3 units each.
Pitt/Balt over 7 -170
Atlanta/Miami over 5 -180 (Over 5 any pitchers, any umps, any park, every time)
Texas ML -110
Detroit ML -140
LA ML -160
Cleveland/Ana under 9 -170
SD/SF over 6 -180
Parlay:
Texas ML -110
Detroit ML -140
LA ML -160
-3/+13
GL
Last post
3-1 = +7.8
Parlays = +3
From yesterday ..... Cruse, When I cap MLB games I am going by starting pitcher first and foremost. Then I will look at how the teams did against those certain pitchers, how they have been scoring recently in the series, scoring against each other this year, against everyone and so on. The umpire will determine if I want to go big or small on the bet but by themselves umps don't influence my bets. Many take only the umps as an indicator and make their bets based on ump tendencies. The biggest danger in that is that even though the ump is a dead under ump if the starting pitchers suck the game will go over. The opposite is also true that if an ump is dead over in his tendency but the starters have been lights out their last 3 starts that game is going under despite the ump tendency. That should start a firestorm of disagreement but that is how I look at it. If I cap a game under and the ump leans under then I'll add a unit or two to the bet. But if I cap over I really don't care who the ump is or what his tendency is.
To answer your question "Would you assume another under based on umps for Sunday games?" I would have to say although it's not wrong thinking for me it doesn't apply because I have to see the starters first. For me to go over or under in the Grand Salami I have to see at least 3/4 of the starters either sucking or in the groove. Hope that helps. GL
All for 3 units each.
Pitt/Balt over 7 -170
Atlanta/Miami over 5 -180 (Over 5 any pitchers, any umps, any park, every time)
Texas ML -110
Detroit ML -140
LA ML -160
Cleveland/Ana under 9 -170
SD/SF over 6 -180
Parlay:
Texas ML -110
Detroit ML -140
LA ML -160
-3/+13
GL
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